Flawless-Decadence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$186

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-06 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

84% 93% -$69

Politics

11% 88% -$116

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	06-04 03:13
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	1	$120	124	+124	No	-$120	06-06 10:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	1	$116	119	+119	Yes	+$3	06-02 07:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$116	116	+116	No	+$0	05-30 06:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$115	116	+116	No	+$1	05-28 07:28
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	1	$114	114	+114	No	+$0	05-22 02:31
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?	1	$114	114	+114	No	+$0	05-19 07:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$114	116	+116	No	+$2	05-24 06:58
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	1	$113	114	+114	Yes	-$113	04-14 01:22
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	04-12 08:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	04-07 09:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$111	114	+114	No	+$3	05-17 08:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	04-02 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	05-15 02:57
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	1	$109	110	+110	No	+$0	02-12 10:47
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	02-07 09:58
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$2	02-05 10:44
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$107	108	+108	No	+$0	02-02 10:39
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$107	107	+107	Yes	+$0	01-30 08:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	03-07 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	03-22 08:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$106	106	+106	Yes	+$0	03-31 02:14
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	1	$105	110	+110	No	+$4	03-18 07:25
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	03-14 02:21
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-26 08:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-18 01:51
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$105	106	+106	Yes	+$1	01-27 08:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-16 11:15
ethereum above 2300 on march 10	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-10 06:41
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$105	106	+106	Yes	+$1	01-22 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:37:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0xad0026…
06-04 03:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc534d3…
06-02 07:05:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	97¢	$116	0xa5de8b…
05-30 06:49:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x24220d…
05-28 07:28:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x25b399…
05-24 06:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$114	0xee3213…
05-22 02:31:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x65fa29…
05-19 07:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9dc085…
05-17 08:19:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$111	0x477fab…
05-15 02:57:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85da05…
05-15 02:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3fa85b…
05-13 09:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0x04dcfb…
05-08 09:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x11b105…
05-08 01:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	103	85¢	$87	0xac62d8…
05-06 03:40:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x588654…
05-04 03:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xff7280…
05-03 08:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xde7cbb…
04-14 01:22:25	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x475e10…
04-12 08:16:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3b474b…
04-07 09:41:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x8158dc…
04-02 08:22:31	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8f16d5…
04-02 08:22:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8b5455…
04-02 08:22:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8998be…
04-02 08:20:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x665b76…
03-31 02:14:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x21834e…
03-26 08:58:45	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9c38c2…
03-26 08:58:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1c9f04…
03-26 08:55:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x218fa9…
03-22 08:56:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc74d14…
03-22 08:56:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x2822d0…
03-18 07:25:57	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0xa37330…
03-14 02:21:53	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6fe53f…
03-10 06:41:15	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe8d0f4…
03-10 06:40:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0x114c67…
03-07 02:49:13	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe932f8…
03-07 02:49:03	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x889077…
03-01 06:32:15	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xc9eff2…
03-01 06:32:05	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc781fa…
03-01 06:31:27	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xbaff84…
02-12 10:47:39	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xb3e7b5…
02-07 09:58:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xf59396…
02-05 10:44:01	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xada247…
02-02 10:39:50	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x489bb6…
01-30 08:52:16	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x3b8b41…
01-27 08:17:43	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd334cf…
01-27 08:17:33	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9be22f…
01-22 08:39:38	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x224e36…
01-18 01:51:04	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x26c112…
01-16 11:15:16	will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4e6fd3…
01-11 09:58:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x820ca0…
01-08 07:02:09	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0f7fe1…
01-08 07:02:03	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6755e1…
01-04 03:28:21	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb991a7…