Shocking-Oil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$834

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 08-12 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 52% -$67

Politics

15% 17% -$21

Other

10% 22% -$49

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	4	$82	91	68	+23	No	+$13	05-23 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$57	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	08-12 19:10
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	1	$50	393	0	+393	Yes	-$50	05-29 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$44	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	06-01 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	08-12 19:05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$30	121	0	+121	Yes	-$30	05-27 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:15 UTC	1	$28	97	0	+97	Up	-$28	08-12 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:20 UTC	1	$28	32	0	+32	Down	+$4	08-12 19:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$28	81	81	+0	No	$0	06-01 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	-$25	05-23 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:40 UTC	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	08-12 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:40 UTC	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$5	08-12 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$20	35	0	+35	Down	-$20	05-29 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:40 UTC	2	$20	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	08-12 20:45
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-23 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:55 UTC	1	$18	26	0	+26	Up	+$8	08-12 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:50 UTC	1	$18	19	0	+19	Down	+$1	08-12 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	08-12 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$15	62	48	+14	Up	+$1	06-01 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:20 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	08-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	08-12 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$12	49	13	+36	Down	-$8	06-01 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:45 UTC	1	$11	95	0	+95	Down	-$11	08-12 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	08-12 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:50 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	08-12 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$0	05-26 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:45 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	08-12 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	83	83	+0	Down	$0	06-01 19:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	4	$9	12	12	+0	No	-$1	05-24 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 20:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	95	11¢	$11	0x91fa21…
08-12 20:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x406fad…
08-12 20:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xa2be43…
08-12 20:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1b1ad7…
08-12 20:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8d8432…
08-12 20:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x1fca19…
08-12 20:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xce5e85…
08-12 20:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7486f3…
08-12 20:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xcd14a1…
08-12 20:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0x178b5f…
08-12 19:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x874507…
08-12 19:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xcab08e…
08-12 19:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4ef2fe…
08-12 19:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb54e47…
08-12 19:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x163024…
08-12 18:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xe84ef9…
08-12 18:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xbfdd75…
08-12 18:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0dd7f5…
08-12 18:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xffb4ec…
08-12 16:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x173324…
08-12 16:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcd2ab4…
08-12 16:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0082ca…
08-12 16:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x46fef4…
08-12 16:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc2ea1b…
08-12 16:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xafb45a…
08-12 16:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x77c033…
06-01 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x31cf68…
06-01 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xc72e92…
06-01 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xea04b9…
06-01 19:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x7edacb…
06-01 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbd6026…
06-01 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x73a983…
06-01 19:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x69620c…
06-01 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x31ca8e…
06-01 19:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4c4677…
06-01 19:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x63e0f4…
06-01 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3a84bd…
06-01 19:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x0cda3c…
06-01 19:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x817d03…
06-01 19:52:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x22ef21…
06-01 19:49:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0xdc8ead…
06-01 19:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x66b1cc…
06-01 19:49:03	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdead68…
06-01 19:44:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x83d8b5…
06-01 19:43:27	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xefec82…
06-01 19:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x9d85c6…
06-01 19:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8cba04…
06-01 19:40:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfb6068…
06-01 19:38:38	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x3d4765…
06-01 19:38:33	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x95ab3e…
06-01 19:38:21	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x32c7ce…
06-01 19:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x144f78…
06-01 19:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe74a37…
06-01 19:36:29	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74eb0e…
06-01 19:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd0ce20…
06-01 19:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f3aaa…
06-01 19:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x859f35…
06-01 19:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x65fea3…
06-01 19:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4ebc86…
06-01 19:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x098716…
06-01 19:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8eb929…
06-01 19:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf8e469…
06-01 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x579167…
05-30 19:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x67d259…
05-30 17:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x89c5b5…
05-30 17:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1fcc60…
05-29 11:58:52	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	393	13¢	$50	0x76aa1d…
05-29 11:54:05	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x35e631…
05-29 11:53:26	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5296f…
05-29 11:51:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x80cecc…
05-29 10:20:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x96187f…
05-29 10:15:05	BNB Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6dfbf4…
05-27 11:14:14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7298d7…
05-26 19:34:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x24515a…
05-26 19:33:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0x2e8216…
05-26 19:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1abe36…
05-26 19:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x175840…
05-26 19:04:36	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-26 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x42f732…
05-26 19:03:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$2	0x2e89a3…
05-26 19:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2844c5…
05-26 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd0a9ba…
05-26 13:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9a1f63…
05-26 13:50:20	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ebac5…
05-26 13:49:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1acd55…
05-26 13:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe142df…
05-26 13:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x81b945…
05-26 13:33:53	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xecbf1c…
05-26 13:30:26	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	588	0¢	$1	0x8ff4ff…
05-24 18:31:51	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5f282…
05-24 18:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeac0e8…
05-24 18:28:45	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe85b0b…
05-24 09:52:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x91c0f5…
05-24 09:52:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x983b95…
05-23 21:52:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf5856b…
05-23 21:50:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa86f8e…
05-23 21:44:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x463290…
05-23 21:29:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xcd9104…
05-23 21:29:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x79677b…
05-23 21:27:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5123d6…
05-23 21:26:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	68	58¢	$39	0xa52a1a…