Unwieldy-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

172

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-15 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 45% +$157

Other

2% 0% -$113

Politics

1% 33% -$10

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:05 UTC	8	$243	645	145	+500	Down	+$3	08-27 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	13	$145	598	0	+598	Up	-$45	09-15 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	16	$137	560	0	+560	Down	+$13	09-15 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$134	129	129	+0	Up	+$94	05-13 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	15	$133	1,248	79	+1,169	Down	+$23	09-08 02:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$113	489	0	+489	No	-$113	04-12 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:35 UTC	9	$99	408	0	+408	Down	+$20	09-14 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	9	$93	527	69	+459	Down	+$43	09-03 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	10	$92	961	56	+905	Down	+$12	09-01 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:20 UTC	8	$87	97	38	+59	Up	-$11	09-14 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	20	$82	3,193	0	+3,193	Up	-$18	09-03 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	7	$77	58	58	+0	Down	-$13	05-07 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$76	53	53	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$75	56	56	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	10	$75	364	0	+364	Down	-$2	09-15 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	8	$74	193	0	+193	Down	+$18	09-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	9	$73	320	39	+281	Up	+$5	09-03 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	10	$73	166	45	+121	Down	-$7	05-13 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	15	$71	581	0	+581	Down	+$23	09-08 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$71	56	56	+0	Down	+$31	05-13 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	8	$68	283	43	+240	Down	+$16	09-03 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:25 UTC	8	$67	92	38	+54	Up	+$9	09-14 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	9	$64	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$63	43	43	+0	Up	+$23	05-13 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$61	287	37	+250	Up	+$11	05-13 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$61	79	28	+50	Down	-$5	09-03 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$61	43	29	+15	Down	-$4	05-07 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$61	127	55	+72	Up	+$13	09-01 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	9	$60	52	29	+23	Down	-$11	05-07 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	9	$57	125	0	+125	Down	+$4	09-15 01:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 04:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x48dc71…
09-15 04:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2af04a…
09-15 04:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x81e970…
09-15 04:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5421c6…
09-15 04:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2241fd…
09-15 04:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8805b2…
09-15 04:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x85ffd6…
09-15 04:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6613e7…
09-15 04:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a8244…
09-15 01:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6bfaf1…
09-15 01:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9a23b1…
09-15 01:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbc72c1…
09-15 01:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x77cf62…
09-15 01:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xe49ea5…
09-15 01:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x51f6b5…
09-15 01:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc1db0a…
09-15 01:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x0d6173…
09-15 01:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6731fa…
09-15 01:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x12bcfd…
09-15 01:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbbddee…
09-15 01:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9dd4f3…
09-15 01:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x29e2a5…
09-15 01:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x268092…
09-15 01:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8196d4…
09-15 01:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7851ef…
09-15 01:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x1bd2d7…
09-15 01:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x179a73…
09-15 01:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8afb8f…
09-15 01:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x553e28…
09-15 00:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x02a306…
09-15 00:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7b7992…
09-15 00:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x265d28…
09-15 00:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9e90e1…
09-15 00:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1515b8…
09-15 00:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x8ce70d…
09-15 00:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6c803b…
09-15 00:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x57308e…
09-15 00:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdadd41…
09-15 00:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0xbf5fb0…
09-15 00:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5a541e…
09-15 00:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9420b8…
09-15 00:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe13e89…
09-15 00:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xddaf99…
09-15 00:52:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xcd9fd5…
09-15 00:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x905cbc…
09-15 00:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	369	7¢	$25	0xd60707…
09-15 00:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xef8426…
09-15 00:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x905a42…
09-15 00:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xec694b…
09-15 00:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6c3224…
09-15 00:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1c093a…
09-15 00:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb91158…
09-15 00:46:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb49aac…
09-15 00:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6e905b…
09-15 00:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4259b3…
09-15 00:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x42efeb…
09-15 00:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc7cd2b…
09-15 00:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4d65e6…
09-15 00:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd1e369…
09-15 00:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x725143…
09-15 00:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x72bb27…
09-15 00:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1ad925…
09-15 00:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1cae9d…
09-15 00:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5f2a3b…
09-15 00:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb1708e…
09-15 00:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe8ea22…
09-15 00:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52f5cb…
09-15 00:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2ca7b9…
09-15 00:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x36b9cd…
09-15 00:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa31f58…
09-15 00:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6b13d8…
09-15 00:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3179cc…
09-15 00:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdddcd4…
09-15 00:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7eb680…
09-15 00:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xe184d0…
09-15 00:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5b72ca…
09-15 00:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa60a09…
09-15 00:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa23adc…
09-15 00:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x60f2ec…
09-15 00:30:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf5c782…
09-15 00:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd4fdbe…
09-15 00:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x7c85b4…
09-15 00:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5da635…
09-15 00:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x01f91c…
09-15 00:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf13cbb…
09-15 00:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa4a5c1…
09-15 00:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeb752b…
09-15 00:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xeb9305…
09-15 00:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1bea87…
09-15 00:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7afff6…
09-15 00:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x126c33…
09-15 00:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd4b521…
09-15 00:21:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xebd179…
09-15 00:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0xab9e7a…
09-15 00:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xaa843f…
09-15 00:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xeb35d8…
09-15 00:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x05e1d9…
09-15 00:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x195996…
09-15 00:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe1402e…
09-15 00:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcaff51…