Tough-Jellyfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$434

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-18 04:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 41% -$116

Politics

19% 11% -$66

Other

6% 33% -$12

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	05-06 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:05 UTC	2	$65	38	37	+1	Up	+$9	04-23 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	2	$50	29	29	+1	Up	+$7	04-23 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:10 UTC	1	$37	42	0	+42	Down	-$37	04-23 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$22	53	17	+37	Down	-$8	05-06 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	1	$22	319	0	+319	Up	-$22	04-23 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	1	$22	48	0	+48	Down	-$22	04-23 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:35 UTC	1	$20	54	0	+54	Down	-$20	04-08 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$17	508	8	+500	Down	-$3	05-06 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:55 UTC	1	$15	22	0	+22	Up	-$15	04-08 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$14	28	28	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 04:32
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$13	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 20:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$11	345	345	+0	No	-$9	04-23 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$11	54	0	+54	Up	-$11	05-06 07:27
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	03-28 17:43
will trump say hamas or hezbollah this week april 5	1	$10	46	0	+46	No	-$10	04-03 23:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	112	0	+112	No	-$10	03-29 12:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	03-28 17:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$10	91	0	+91	No	-$10	04-03 23:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-28 17:43
will trump say think about during events with rutte	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	04-08 20:04
will trump say kharg island this week april 12	1	$7	18	0	+18	No	-$7	04-09 20:16
will trump attend ufc 327	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	-$5	04-06 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-06 04:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:20 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-23 18:26
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$3	70	70	+0	No	-$2	04-23 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-06 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:25 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	04-23 18:27
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	03-28 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 04:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0669bb…
05-06 11:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x22d97a…
05-06 11:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x660a8c…
05-06 11:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xedc087…
05-06 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x99c93f…
05-06 07:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x809788…
05-06 07:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd929a5…
05-06 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc980d1…
05-06 04:36:50	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x790934…
05-06 04:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c8786…
05-06 04:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0xcc6916…
05-06 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc2a4f5…
05-06 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0eed25…
05-06 04:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x0eb5e0…
05-06 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe1354d…
05-06 04:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3574de…
04-23 18:27:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a2be2…
04-23 18:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc369bd…
04-23 18:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x218bfb…
04-23 18:22:36	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$0	0x991db1…
04-23 18:22:24	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	345	0¢	$1	0xc52c3f…
04-23 18:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x302b93…
04-23 18:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2038b2…
04-23 18:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	38	75¢	$28	0xab5401…
04-23 18:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x6c5972…
04-23 18:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x0b76e2…
04-23 17:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	319	7¢	$22	0xf8fa2d…
04-23 17:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x2ae6d1…
04-09 20:16:29	will trump say kharg island this week april 12	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xaa320e…
04-09 20:11:37	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2bad69…
04-08 20:04:59	will trump say think about during events with rutte	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd4304c…
04-08 19:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x0137c1…
04-08 11:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x011b52…
04-06 22:39:05	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x182e8d…
04-06 22:32:41	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xac4dd4…
04-03 23:36:01	will trump say hamas or hezbollah this week april 5	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x2ab926…
04-03 23:24:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x054838…
03-29 13:08:56	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xc362e4…
03-29 12:58:40	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xebd850…
03-29 12:56:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x940fe2…
03-28 17:47:53	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf338e0…
03-28 17:45:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1e121c…
03-28 17:43:55	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x682c49…
03-28 17:43:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c00e7…