Elementary-Casualty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-20 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$2

Sports

20% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	6	$4.8K	2,430	2,430	+0	open	—	03-13 19:05
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$2.5K	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	03-13 07:40
will f1 the movie win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	4	$2.4K	1,273	1,273	+0	open	—	03-14 03:26
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	6	$2.3K	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	03-13 19:38
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$388	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	03-13 10:30
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$291	1,673	1,673	+0	open	—	03-13 07:23
nhl phi min 2026 03 12 total 7pt5	1	$121	449	0	+449	open	—	03-12 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	2	$88	989	989	+0	open	—	03-13 18:51
nhl phi min 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	2	$38	152	0	+152	open	—	03-12 10:29
will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$31	1,239	1,239	+0	open	—	03-13 09:59
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	4	$25	1,410	1,410	+0	open	—	03-13 14:53
Spread: Spurs (-21.5)	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	06-03 03:33
bra cre flu 2026 03 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-12 10:55
es2 alm mal 2026 06 20 total 0pt5	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-20 13:08
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	1	$10	11	0	+11	EC Bahia	+$1	05-09 14:13
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)	1	$9	10	0	+10	Cádiz CF	+$1	05-08 10:27
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 190 214	2	$7	661	661	+0	open	—	03-13 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 13:08:55	es2 alm mal 2026 06 20 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xd86266…
06-03 03:33:50	Spread: Spurs (-21.5)	Knicks	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xf8cb8b…
05-09 14:13:30	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	EC Bahia	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0804e0…
05-08 10:27:20	Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)	Cádiz CF	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc9be8b…
03-14 03:26:55	will f1 the movie win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x52ce69…
03-13 19:38:17	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	SELL	886	1¢	$12	0x1dd804…
03-13 19:38:17	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x1c6ab6…
03-13 19:28:53	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	942	1¢	$11	0xee3c07…
03-13 19:05:29	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	SELL	1,223	99¢	$1,210	0xbbe20b…
03-13 18:59:25	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	1,223	99¢	$1,208	0x5c3ac6…
03-13 18:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	989	4¢	$42	0x920920…
03-13 18:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	989	5¢	$46	0x0022eb…
03-13 18:37:39	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	SELL	1,207	99¢	$1,200	0x8c6f16…
03-13 18:27:39	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	961	99¢	$950	0x6498db…
03-13 18:27:39	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x398a72…
03-13 18:27:39	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x0dfebf…
03-13 15:42:25	will f1 the movie win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1,272	94¢	$1,191	0x8f38fd…
03-13 15:34:11	will f1 the movie win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	797	94¢	$746	0xc8eaa6…
03-13 15:34:11	will f1 the movie win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	476	94¢	$446	0x118ebf…
03-13 15:09:49	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 190 214	Yes	SELL	661	0¢	$3	0x1382c5…
03-13 15:03:01	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 190 214	Yes	BUY	661	1¢	$4	0xa4c928…
03-13 14:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	931	1¢	$7	0xaca13f…
03-13 14:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$3	0xab5d35…
03-13 14:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	1¢	$1	0xe151fc…
03-13 14:45:35	Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,410	1¢	$14	0x62676a…
03-13 10:49:11	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	No	SELL	808	99¢	$803	0x7951d7…
03-13 10:49:11	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	No	SELL	333	99¢	$331	0x6ff0e3…
03-13 10:39:11	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	No	BUY	1,141	99¢	$1,132	0xe9a163…
03-13 10:30:21	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	777	9¢	$70	0xb529db…
03-13 10:30:21	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	916	9¢	$82	0x6ae1c2…
03-13 10:30:21	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	437	9¢	$39	0x51dd9b…
03-13 10:23:21	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	2,130	9¢	$196	0x8a9d3a…
03-13 09:59:33	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,239	1¢	$15	0x8b4d3c…
03-13 09:50:15	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,239	1¢	$16	0x0d6e46…
03-13 07:40:53	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	1,385	91¢	$1,260	0x2fba52…
03-13 07:31:09	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	405	91¢	$369	0xe9eab0…
03-13 07:31:09	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	980	91¢	$893	0xc207d9…
03-13 07:23:43	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xb07678…
03-13 07:23:17	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,021	9¢	$88	0xa0792f…
03-13 07:23:17	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	637	9¢	$55	0x6ee611…
03-13 07:15:33	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,210	9¢	$107	0xafe6b2…
03-13 07:15:31	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	136	9¢	$12	0x4aa9ef…
03-13 07:15:31	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	327	9¢	$29	0x07c323…
03-12 10:55:05	bra cre flu 2026 03 12 spread home 1pt5	Fluminense FC	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x7c2ef9…
03-12 10:29:39	nhl phi min 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x9d5c52…
03-12 10:29:37	nhl phi min 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	115	25¢	$29	0x43462b…
03-12 09:57:29	nhl phi min 2026 03 12 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	449	27¢	$121	0x599e1c…