Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.95K

Unrealized P&L

-$257

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

126

Trades

647

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$402

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-31 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

66% 33% +$3,084

Crypto

34% 40% -$131

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+606	$200	34¢	$209	+$9	10-29 15:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+1,187	$130	8¢	$95	-$35	10-29 16:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	+2,110	$139	3¢	$60	-$79	10-31 19:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+1,167	$60	2¢	$25	-$35	10-29 16:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	+2,773	$130	0¢	$12	-$118	10-29 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$5.9K	4,886	4,886	+0	No	+$3,424	05-22 22:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$250	3,575	0	+3,575	No	-$250	05-20 15:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$200	606	0	+606	open	—	10-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$181	202	202	+0	Up	+$151	10-29 16:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	3	$139	2,110	0	+2,110	open	—	10-31 19:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	2	$130	2,773	0	+2,773	open	—	10-29 16:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	2	$130	1,187	0	+1,187	open	—	10-29 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$119	282	282	+0	Up	+$29	10-02 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	10	$103	84	84	+0	Down	+$21	10-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	9	$101	321	96	+225	Up	-$3	10-09 06:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$90	2,109	0	+2,109	Yes	-$90	10-29 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	7	$90	64	44	+20	Down	-$10	10-09 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	12	$89	245	159	+86	Down	-$1	10-02 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	8	$86	595	61	+533	Down	+$16	10-02 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	5	$77	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	10-09 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	8	$75	176	176	+0	Down	-$65	10-06 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	10	$75	343	312	+31	Down	+$5	10-02 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	9	$72	242	75	+167	Down	+$2	10-02 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	9	$71	311	61	+250	Down	+$1	10-02 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	10	$70	86	49	+37	Down	-$8	10-05 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	12	$69	65	65	+0	Down	+$17	10-05 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:50 UTC	10	$67	61	61	+0	Down	+$37	10-03 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$67	61	61	+0	Up	+$7	10-06 00:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$66	97	97	+0	open	—	10-31 19:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$60	1,167	0	+1,167	open	—	10-29 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	9	$59	51	51	+0	Down	+$9	10-02 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	10	$54	93	52	+42	Down	-$14	10-05 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	10	$53	140	115	+25	Up	+$15	10-05 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$49	356	39	+317	Up	+$15	10-05 19:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$48	195	195	+0	open	—	10-22 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:45:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	185	5¢	$9	0x1f015e…
10-31 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8812e1…
10-31 19:39:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x4b0135…
10-29 19:52:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,089	6¢	$60	0x81185a…
10-29 16:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x994d63…
10-29 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xab341e…
10-29 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9ddfd8…
10-29 16:52:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x5d6ffe…
10-29 16:52:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	No	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xc726ae…
10-29 16:52:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x33e4db…
10-29 16:52:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	278	11¢	$30	0x897ab3…
10-29 16:52:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x0271dc…
10-29 16:52:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x7b3f06…
10-29 16:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6157fb…
10-29 16:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9d9a61…
10-29 16:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	202	82¢	$166	0x9d7d29…
10-29 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4903ef…
10-29 16:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4067e9…
10-29 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf63201…
10-29 16:26:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x645e3f…
10-29 16:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb081c1…
10-29 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0xb14d92…
10-29 16:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2550fe…
10-29 16:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x111f9b…
10-29 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x96e862…
10-29 16:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xbe9bae…
10-29 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x502644…
10-29 16:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xac3b55…
10-29 15:58:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	2,273	4¢	$100	0x09f5cc…
10-29 15:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xfe1f31…
10-29 15:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xb1f40d…
10-29 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x97d423…
10-29 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x49c3ff…
10-29 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x41a6b5…
10-29 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0x3afe76…
10-29 15:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa4f8f6…
10-29 15:49:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,020	3¢	$30	0x9c4f03…
10-29 15:49:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x69dc42…
10-29 15:49:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x1b72fc…
10-29 15:48:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x233cf2…
10-29 15:47:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	1,497	7¢	$100	0x82d55f…
10-22 04:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2a75de…
10-22 04:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xabc678…
10-22 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2a7030…
10-22 04:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1a5602…
10-22 04:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x41a14f…
10-22 04:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9b9c74…
10-22 04:15:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x14ca97…
10-09 06:15:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf132fa…
10-09 06:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0c124d…
10-09 06:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xaabe23…
10-09 06:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x174b78…
10-09 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x92b4f5…
10-09 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x79a8ca…
10-09 06:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe9de12…
10-09 06:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x44448c…
10-09 06:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xf771da…
10-09 06:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6c5aee…
10-09 06:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b9dba…
10-09 06:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfed521…
10-09 06:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	96	51¢	$49	0x9eaf79…
10-09 06:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb6d324…
10-09 06:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x36c2c9…
10-09 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x287482…
10-09 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5e3e52…
10-09 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7c7cf1…
10-09 05:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x131a55…
10-09 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc7801a…
10-09 05:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x3be02f…
10-09 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5e6154…
10-09 05:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc362c3…
10-09 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd28163…
10-09 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xae51e5…
10-09 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf6bdc3…
10-09 05:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a5e2f…
10-09 05:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0xa85e97…
10-09 05:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe0abf3…
10-09 05:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x6958ba…
10-09 05:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1cde1a…
10-09 05:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff3c37…
10-09 05:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0xd59061…
10-09 05:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x73cdfc…
10-09 04:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe869ae…
10-09 04:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x924fa0…
10-09 04:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5b17f7…
10-09 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbcb74f…
10-09 04:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x78b7ab…
10-06 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4acf58…
10-06 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd1d78f…
10-06 00:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xd51057…
10-06 00:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x220df9…
10-06 00:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa7a13d…
10-06 00:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb072b8…
10-06 00:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x5fbcee…
10-06 00:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0a3be3…
10-06 00:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	61	59¢	$37	0xe38298…
10-06 00:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x114416…
10-06 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2c9f15…
10-06 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6d0ce7…
10-06 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x682a51…