Nimble-Yak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-08 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% $-5

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-08 04:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	4	$6	176	0	+176	Yes	$-6	05-08 18:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	5	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 12:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$3	21	2	+19	open	—	05-04 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$2	53	0	+53	open	—	05-03 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$1	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xbf0e2b…
05-08 18:36:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0d06f4…
05-08 16:08:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x563d9c…
05-08 16:08:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5a0523…
05-08 14:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xa92c74…
05-08 14:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x4a1d7d…
05-08 13:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd5880d…
05-08 10:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc9aedd…
05-08 04:54:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x61af09…
05-08 04:50:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x95e405…
05-06 16:56:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xea59fc…
05-06 04:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7c5d11…
05-06 03:57:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb2d620…
05-04 12:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x2c659c…
05-04 12:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xad206a…
05-04 12:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4033b3…
05-04 12:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0cc32f…
05-04 12:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf4beb1…
05-04 12:28:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x22e035…
05-04 07:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8d32d4…
05-03 15:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xfadda3…
05-03 15:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcdcd2f…
05-03 15:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xc1cdbf…
05-03 15:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfcf169…
05-03 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9c7ba2…
05-03 15:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x53a9b4…
05-03 15:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5db9c…
05-03 15:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb23223…