Sophisticated-Increase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,590

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-14 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 38% $-44

Other

19% 0% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on june 17 2026	18	$264	295	195	+100	open	—	06-17 17:30
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	2	$241	150	150	+0	open	—	06-19 00:05
will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	2	$179	94	94	+0	open	—	03-16 02:13
xrp updown 5m 1781828700	4	$160	188	0	+188	open	—	06-19 00:29
xrp updown 5m 1781827800	3	$120	214	0	+214	open	—	06-19 00:13
eth updown 5m 1773628800	2	$117	74	73	+1	open	—	03-16 02:46
eth updown 5m 1773633300	2	$100	59	59	+1	open	—	03-16 04:01
eth updown 5m 1773725400	3	$91	87	66	+21	open	—	03-17 05:34
eth updown 5m 1773574200	1	$86	95	0	+95	open	—	03-15 11:33
hype updown 5m 1781660700	2	$84	44	44	+0	open	—	06-17 01:48
xrp updown 5m 1781823300	2	$82	56	56	+0	open	—	06-18 22:59
eth updown 5m 1781826300	2	$80	94	0	+94	open	—	06-18 23:49
eth updown 5m 1781825100	2	$80	104	0	+104	open	—	06-18 23:29
hype updown 5m 1781661000	2	$80	106	0	+106	open	—	06-17 01:54
eth updown 5m 1781824200	2	$80	94	0	+94	open	—	06-18 23:13
eth updown 5m 1781820300	2	$80	95	0	+95	open	—	06-18 22:09
wti up or down on june 18 2026	3	$80	102	0	+102	open	—	06-18 17:28
eth updown 5m 1773630300	3	$77	69	69	+1	open	—	03-16 03:09
nba det okc 2026 03 30	3	$76	51	51	+0	open	—	03-31 04:34
eth updown 5m 1773582600	3	$72	94	22	+72	open	—	03-15 13:53
eth updown 5m 1773516300	2	$67	76	75	+1	open	—	03-14 19:28
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 82 83f	3	$67	83	82	+1	open	—	04-02 21:01
btc updown 5m 1773546300	2	$64	50	50	+1	open	—	03-15 03:51
eth updown 5m 1773577800	3	$63	70	15	+55	open	—	03-15 12:33
sol updown 15m 1769298300	5	$61	74	50	+24	open	—	01-24 23:58
btc updown 5m 1775720400	2	$60	35	35	+1	open	—	04-09 07:45
xrp updown 5m 1781821800	2	$59	72	0	+72	open	—	06-18 22:34
atp bolt shimabu 2026 03 16	1	$59	78	0	+78	open	—	03-16 19:58
eth updown 5m 1776132900	3	$59	75	0	+75	open	—	04-14 02:19
eth updown 5m 1773585900	2	$58	39	38	+0	open	—	03-15 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 22:48:28	xrp updown 5m 1784069100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeb9735…
07-14 22:47:07	xrp updown 5m 1784069100	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0ec14e…
07-14 22:38:20	sol updown 5m 1784068500	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x265f63…
07-14 22:30:50	xrp updown 5m 1784068200	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xadf3c3…
07-14 22:28:49	xrp updown 5m 1784067900	Up	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0xe0859d…
07-10 10:48:40	sol updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x285176…
07-10 10:42:49	xrp updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x6312eb…
07-10 10:32:53	sol updown 5m 1783679400	Up	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xea9e00…
07-10 10:28:14	sol updown 5m 1783679100	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1b3d18…
07-10 10:27:47	sol updown 5m 1783679100	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x186d28…
07-10 10:27:17	sol updown 5m 1783679100	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf9a99b…
07-10 10:23:55	xrp updown 5m 1783678800	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf203ff…
07-10 10:08:43	xrp updown 5m 1783677900	Up	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xe51f7a…
07-10 09:59:11	eth updown 5m 1783677300	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xfa804f…
07-10 09:48:16	xrp updown 5m 1783676700	Up	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xb9aa22…
07-10 09:06:20	xrp updown 5m 1783674300	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x230824…
07-10 08:49:46	xrp updown 5m 1783673100	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x26a39a…
07-10 08:49:32	xrp updown 5m 1783673100	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe0fc95…
07-10 07:24:01	sol updown 5m 1783668000	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x366aa0…
07-10 00:43:37	xrp updown 5m 1783644000	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8a86c1…
07-10 00:28:56	xrp updown 5m 1783643100	Up	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x4170e5…
07-10 00:19:50	xrp updown 5m 1783642500	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x61bebd…
07-10 00:12:59	xrp updown 5m 1783642200	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd3413d…
07-10 00:09:32	xrp updown 5m 1783641900	Down	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x58ec55…
07-10 00:02:40	xrp updown 5m 1783641600	Up	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x8eee20…
07-10 00:02:02	xrp updown 5m 1783641600	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x3a2d3b…
07-09 23:49:53	xrp updown 5m 1783640700	Down	BUY	53	58¢	$31	0x7bcc16…
06-22 14:48:44	sol updown 5m 1782139500	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x5515c9…
06-22 14:47:38	xrp updown 5m 1782139500	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xfced03…
06-22 14:45:49	xrp updown 5m 1782139500	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbafdc5…
06-22 14:43:29	xrp updown 5m 1782139200	Up	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xa21edb…
06-22 14:17:10	xrp updown 5m 1782137700	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x698f62…
06-19 20:37:37	hype updown 5m 1781901300	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x4cfd86…
06-19 20:34:34	hype updown 5m 1781901000	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x332555…
06-19 20:32:35	hype updown 5m 1781901000	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xebd33a…
06-19 20:29:01	hype updown 5m 1781900700	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xba806b…
06-19 20:27:32	hype updown 5m 1781900700	Up	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x154ddb…
06-19 20:24:26	xrp updown 5m 1781900400	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x518f07…
06-19 20:24:04	xrp updown 5m 1781900400	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x7d9838…
06-19 20:06:02	sol updown 5m 1781899500	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x7fa3ae…
06-19 20:03:28	xrp updown 5m 1781899200	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$18	0xcd2c35…
06-19 20:03:11	xrp updown 5m 1781899200	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xf9a9bd…
06-19 19:52:47	xrp updown 5m 1781898600	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xbe914e…
06-19 17:38:40	hype updown 5m 1781890500	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1c400c…
06-19 15:54:16	sol updown 5m 1781884200	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xbd6be0…
06-19 15:49:20	xrp updown 5m 1781883900	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8e485d…
06-19 15:49:20	xrp updown 5m 1781883900	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8ba8ae…
06-19 00:29:53	xrp updown 5m 1781828700	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xbc5031…
06-19 00:29:53	xrp updown 5m 1781828700	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x9c582e…
06-19 00:29:53	xrp updown 5m 1781828700	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x1d2036…
06-19 00:29:52	xrp updown 5m 1781828700	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xea13ee…
06-19 00:17:55	xrp updown 5m 1781828100	Down	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0x55be43…
06-19 00:13:34	xrp updown 5m 1781827800	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x54fdda…
06-19 00:13:32	xrp updown 5m 1781827800	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x38655f…
06-19 00:13:31	xrp updown 5m 1781827800	Down	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0x044acf…
06-19 00:05:52	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	SELL	150	81¢	$121	0x3012cb…
06-19 00:03:29	btc updown 5m 1781827200	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x432ae9…
06-18 23:59:28	xrp updown 5m 1781826900	Up	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x57588d…
06-18 23:57:22	xrp updown 5m 1781826900	Up	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xd48657…
06-18 23:49:55	eth updown 5m 1781826300	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xd54765…
06-18 23:49:55	eth updown 5m 1781826300	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x7bf5fb…
06-18 23:29:23	eth updown 5m 1781825100	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x3db8e0…
06-18 23:28:43	eth updown 5m 1781825100	Up	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x8a9e10…
06-18 23:13:56	eth updown 5m 1781824200	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc4350d…
06-18 23:13:56	eth updown 5m 1781824200	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x6a8fdc…
06-18 22:59:41	xrp updown 5m 1781823300	Up	SELL	56	74¢	$42	0xee9648…
06-18 22:59:22	xrp updown 5m 1781823300	Up	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xf9fd63…
06-18 22:34:43	xrp updown 5m 1781821800	Down	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x01b1c6…
06-18 22:34:35	xrp updown 5m 1781821800	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x25e045…
06-18 22:14:34	eth updown 5m 1781820600	Up	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x9a7b0a…
06-18 22:09:23	eth updown 5m 1781820300	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xfb5a99…
06-18 22:08:53	eth updown 5m 1781820300	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xf9f496…
06-18 21:29:50	sol updown 5m 1781817900	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x18a638…
06-18 20:34:26	eth updown 5m 1781814600	Up	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x971e5b…
06-18 17:28:17	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x77b67a…
06-18 16:09:01	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9f49ef…
06-18 11:21:25	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xe9cc85…
06-18 10:33:44	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xe152d0…
06-18 09:56:16	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 18	Yes	BUY	32	45¢	$14	0x04d344…
06-17 17:30:34	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	95	69¢	$66	0x13abe9…
06-17 17:28:47	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3ccd07…
06-17 17:27:25	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	49	29¢	$14	0x3879d6…
06-17 16:30:23	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x3bb6d7…
06-17 16:30:10	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x26802f…
06-17 16:00:35	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x820239…
06-17 15:57:55	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xe15e29…
06-17 15:57:29	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0x438061…
06-17 13:28:40	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6b4efa…
06-17 13:28:29	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa92bd4…
06-17 13:28:19	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x53a15b…
06-17 13:28:08	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa10987…
06-17 13:28:08	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x611847…
06-17 13:27:14	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3c0e39…
06-17 13:26:26	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4382b0…
06-17 13:25:22	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xf1317d…
06-17 04:21:17	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x64b28e…
06-17 01:54:22	hype updown 5m 1781661000	Up	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x262e4b…
06-17 01:54:20	hype updown 5m 1781661000	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x85f620…
06-17 01:48:56	hype updown 5m 1781660700	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x35fe87…
06-17 01:47:40	hype updown 5m 1781660700	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xbd816d…