Sophisticated-Increase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

954

Trades

1,814

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-04 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 50% -$1,582

Other

23% 43% -$249

Sports

5% 69% +$157

Politics

2% 86% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	4	$554	445	445	+0	Yes	+$335	10-17 17:26
wti up or down on june 17 2026	18	$264	295	195	+100	Down	-$6	06-17 17:30
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	2	$241	150	150	+0	No	+$1	06-19 00:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	1	$200	435	0	+435	Down	-$200	10-17 20:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	06-17 03:21
Goyang vs. Sonic Boom	1	$199	361	0	+361	Sonic Boom	-$199	11-01 06:37
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	12	$188	120	120	+0	Over	+$51	11-01 02:39
will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	2	$179	94	94	+0	No	+$9	03-16 02:13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$173	115	115	+0	Yes	-$7	10-30 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	11	$162	300	0	+300	Down	-$162	11-03 20:28
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:25 UTC	4	$160	188	0	+188	Up	-$160	06-19 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	2	$147	246	0	+246	Down	-$147	10-17 20:12
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:10 UTC	3	$120	214	0	+214	Up	-$120	06-19 00:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:05 UTC	2	$120	137	0	+137	Up	+$17	08-05 14:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 02:40 UTC	2	$117	74	73	+1	Up	+$30	03-16 02:46
Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5	4	$116	200	0	+200	Over	+$84	11-01 02:40
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$110	151	151	+0	Down	-$16	11-03 20:33
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:35 UTC	1	$100	215	0	+215	Up	-$100	10-17 11:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	1	$100	195	0	+195	Up	+$95	10-17 10:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	-$100	10-17 19:56
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	1	$100	133	0	+133	Down	-$100	10-17 11:33
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:25 UTC	1	$100	124	0	+124	Down	-$100	08-05 14:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:55 UTC	2	$100	59	59	+1	Down	+$17	03-16 04:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:30 UTC	3	$91	87	66	+21	Down	+$11	03-17 05:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:30 UTC	1	$86	95	0	+95	Up	+$10	03-15 11:33
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:45 UTC	2	$84	44	44	+0	Up	+$4	06-17 01:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 22:55 UTC	2	$82	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	06-18 22:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:45 UTC	2	$80	94	0	+94	Up	-$80	06-18 23:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:25 UTC	2	$80	104	0	+104	Up	+$24	06-18 23:29
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:50 UTC	2	$80	106	0	+106	Up	+$26	06-17 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:09:39	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	127	37¢	$47	0x2eae10…
11-03 20:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	151	31¢	$47	0xb564f4…
11-03 20:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	151	42¢	$63	0x0dbaf8…
11-03 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xb73eb3…
11-03 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8ea943…
11-03 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	121	54¢	$66	0x66aa91…
11-03 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xc9845b…
11-03 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xaf871a…
11-03 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x7395a2…
11-03 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x1760c5…
11-03 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x08c984…
11-03 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x865090…
11-03 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7eb8c9…
11-03 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x2b8dfe…
11-03 20:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	112	60¢	$67	0x30252b…
11-02 18:51:52	Mega Mozzart vs. Spartak Subotica	Mega Mozzart	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0x63eed4…
11-01 07:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe3e2d5…
11-01 07:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe349fd…
11-01 07:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xcb082a…
11-01 07:23:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd3ca6a…
11-01 06:37:31	Goyang vs. Sonic Boom	Goyang	BUY	361	55¢	$199	0x3810f3…
11-01 02:40:31	Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xaad2af…
11-01 02:40:28	Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x09d504…
11-01 02:40:27	Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xc20cb1…
11-01 02:40:27	Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	42	58¢	$25	0x0c6aac…
11-01 02:39:27	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x70faaf…
11-01 02:25:34	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xafbbb8…
11-01 02:25:34	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xac8638…
11-01 02:25:31	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xbd20f3…
11-01 02:25:31	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2dd59b…
11-01 02:25:18	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x3b2dd5…
11-01 02:24:42	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x635907…
11-01 02:23:42	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbccf38…
11-01 02:23:40	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xc0d0f4…
11-01 02:23:22	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x80bb59…
11-01 02:23:04	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xfc3ef8…
11-01 02:23:04	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x48c3c2…
10-31 17:12:24	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x023860…
10-31 17:12:07	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x2c1712…
10-31 17:12:06	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0xb705c0…
10-31 02:34:22	Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0x7b70dd…
10-30 18:55:13	Blues vs. Red Wings	Blues	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0x77fa45…
10-30 18:54:37	Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc5d0dc…
10-30 15:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x227d05…
10-30 14:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	22¢	$31	0x55ed6c…
10-30 14:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x39a58a…
10-30 14:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	72¢	$83	0x7b45c9…
10-30 14:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	78¢	$90	0x03b75d…
10-18 05:26:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1d4201…
10-18 04:30:57	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x62ce07…
10-18 04:27:57	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x074c8b…
10-17 20:23:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0xfa1441…
10-17 20:20:24	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xa46b29…
10-17 20:17:42	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0xffd9e2…
10-17 20:16:08	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xb5ab1d…
10-17 20:12:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4bb6b3…
10-17 20:12:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	196	65¢	$127	0x61c696…
10-17 20:08:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xaa9107…
10-17 19:56:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2312a5…
10-17 19:53:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x1ab027…
10-17 19:38:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1ee83e…
10-17 19:38:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x360570…
10-17 19:20:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x1efc19…
10-17 18:07:08	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x19f5c9…
10-17 17:48:26	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x21d619…
10-17 17:28:27	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0xfbbc77…
10-17 17:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	445	100¢	$444	0x636b30…
10-17 15:31:21	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd29b43…
10-17 11:51:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0x2d9074…
10-17 11:38:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0xa79534…
10-17 11:33:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x18d133…
10-17 10:48:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x0c6070…
10-17 10:32:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	91	76¢	$69	0x5b4984…
10-17 10:16:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	130	46¢	$59	0x66b88f…
10-17 07:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x992aa9…
10-17 06:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x4aa218…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfdb53a…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb722d5…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x84defb…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x470470…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x43c244…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x3afba4…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x3a73fb…
10-02 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x23ad25…
10-02 17:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x8c1ab6…
10-02 17:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x64fc03…
10-02 17:20:38	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xc3f0f0…
10-02 17:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xad2f3f…
10-02 17:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xe9c0c8…
10-02 17:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$12	0xcd0a73…
10-02 17:11:02	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b5207…
10-02 17:11:00	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5cfc2d…
10-02 17:10:39	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb65d18…
10-02 17:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x27e3ee…
10-02 17:07:00	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8d8982…
10-02 16:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x26cebf…
10-02 16:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdea229…
10-02 16:47:38	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D	GamerLegion	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x59d010…
10-02 16:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xd4f689…
10-02 16:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb0b0d2…