Obvious-Airbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$878

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

2,044

Trades

3,986

lifetime

Volume

$41.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-18 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$876

Other

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	2	$690	433	433	+0	Up	+$160	06-04 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:35 UTC	2	$440	295	295	+0	Up	+$144	08-17 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:25 UTC	2	$363	217	217	+0	Down	+$67	08-18 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:20 UTC	1	$315	607	0	+607	Up	-$315	08-23 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:15 UTC	2	$311	163	163	+0	Up	+$11	02-03 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:15 UTC	2	$308	163	163	+0	Down	+$11	02-03 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	2	$308	163	163	+0	Down	+$11	02-02 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	2	$306	163	163	+0	Up	+$10	02-03 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	2	$305	163	163	+0	Down	+$8	02-02 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:15 UTC	2	$304	163	163	+0	Down	+$6	02-02 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:45 UTC	2	$299	163	162	+1	Down	+$19	02-02 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 19:45 UTC	2	$286	152	152	+0	Down	+$9	02-02 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:15 UTC	2	$279	189	189	+0	Down	+$94	07-10 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:00 UTC	2	$274	178	178	+0	Up	+$78	08-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:45 UTC	1	$273	541	0	+541	Down	+$268	08-21 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 13:30 UTC	2	$245	130	130	+0	Down	+$5	02-02 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 13:15 UTC	2	$244	130	130	+0	Down	+$7	02-02 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:40 UTC	2	$219	143	143	+0	Down	+$64	07-16 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:10 UTC	2	$188	125	125	+0	Up	+$60	08-17 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC	2	$186	136	136	+0	Down	+$83	08-15 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:30 UTC	2	$181	126	126	+0	Down	+$70	08-21 23:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:50 UTC	2	$165	107	107	+0	Down	+$45	06-04 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 07:00 UTC	6	$159	90	89	+1	Down	+$13	02-01 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 15:10 UTC	2	$150	95	95	+0	Down	+$38	08-16 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:45 UTC	3	$150	163	0	+163	Up	-$150	02-03 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$148	80	80	-0	Down	+$0	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:20 UTC	1	$148	237	0	+237	Down	-$148	08-18 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:15 UTC	2	$147	78	78	+0	Up	+$5	02-03 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:45 UTC	2	$146	98	98	+0	Up	+$47	08-14 14:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:15 UTC	2	$146	95	95	+0	Down	+$34	06-26 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 14:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x1af559…
10-17 05:58:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xf9d6a2…
10-17 05:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa47513…
10-17 05:48:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x888f3b…
10-17 05:48:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x82475b…
10-17 05:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xfedd7c…
10-17 05:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa8b115…
10-17 05:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x48871d…
10-17 05:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xef8f0d…
10-17 05:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf5fd37…
10-17 05:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x775c9b…
10-17 05:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x230f3f…
10-17 05:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd0304e…
10-17 05:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x58c438…
10-17 05:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x192c90…
10-17 05:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe86b3e…
10-17 05:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xaad97d…
10-17 05:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x31923a…
10-17 05:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xaec758…
10-17 05:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x94e551…
10-17 05:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x689d62…
10-17 05:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd8b8bf…
10-17 05:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x08e213…
10-17 05:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xdbf1f8…
10-17 05:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x97690f…
10-17 04:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xbae187…
10-17 04:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4acb26…
10-17 04:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x255e94…
10-17 04:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x960b30…
10-17 04:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xaa00e6…
10-17 04:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x29527e…
10-17 04:54:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x58d4e4…
10-17 04:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9f8a27…
10-17 04:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xb7f0a4…
10-17 04:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x66bd5a…
10-17 04:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xafd3ed…
10-17 04:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x92652f…
10-17 04:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xae14e7…
10-17 04:32:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x6d1bfa…
10-17 04:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc0720a…
10-17 04:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x526d08…
10-17 04:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xdfc4f2…
10-17 04:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5fc7eb…
10-17 04:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5cbc35…
10-17 04:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x9d28c9…
10-17 04:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0f7623…
10-17 04:17:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa89b85…
10-17 04:17:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe93d02…
10-17 04:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2d79a6…
10-17 04:14:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1b471c…
10-17 04:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xfbe805…
10-17 04:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1506e2…
10-17 04:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x09c9c5…
10-17 04:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0a5467…
10-17 04:06:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x3e34a3…
10-17 04:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xcb285c…
10-17 04:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaa68f7…
10-17 04:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x42b5b8…
10-17 04:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x363ba7…
10-17 04:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x3c62c5…
10-17 04:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x3a5dd8…
10-17 04:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x58d496…
10-17 03:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x3eeffb…
10-17 03:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xff1783…
10-17 03:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xecb84f…
10-17 03:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf51862…
10-17 03:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xb43db4…
10-17 03:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x9ff2b3…
10-17 03:49:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x888544…
10-17 03:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x60047a…
10-17 03:46:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xa62943…
10-17 03:46:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x1a0e8c…
10-17 03:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5e532c…
10-17 03:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x6502be…
10-17 03:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x6f3594…
10-17 03:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf2bd81…
10-17 03:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x785f77…
10-17 03:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x451b86…
10-17 03:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x00c774…
10-17 03:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x37c18e…
10-17 03:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x409cc6…
10-17 03:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x30bb77…
10-17 03:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdfac35…
10-17 03:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x70f011…
10-17 03:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xeee18b…
10-17 03:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x98587e…
10-17 03:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa64b6d…
10-17 03:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xd6aa7a…
10-17 03:09:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd927e1…
10-17 03:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x4b7640…
10-17 03:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xf89451…
10-17 03:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x499d0b…
10-17 03:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x9bc801…
10-17 03:00:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xe31fd3…
10-17 02:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x73ab06…
10-17 02:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xd70abf…
10-17 02:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb30789…
10-17 02:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x24c1eb…
10-17 02:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xaa14bc…
10-17 02:52:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5db555…