Spectacular-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved (30d)

601

Trades (30d)

707

1,066 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.36K

$3.14K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-30 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% -$27

Other

7% 45% -$14

Sports

1% 31% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3AM ET	9	$28	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	09-25 08:11
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET	4	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	10-08 07:02
ethereum up or down october 1 2026 5am et	3	$18	24	12	+12	Up	-$6	10-01 08:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	10-03 10:04
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 8am et	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	09-28 13:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 10PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	10-03 03:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET	3	$18	24	12	+12	Down	+$5	10-01 10:37
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 4am et	3	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	09-26 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$10	10-07 10:25
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 5am et	3	$13	18	9	+9	Down	+$4	09-26 08:18
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	3	$13	18	9	+9	Up	-$5	10-19 12:46
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9PM ET	3	$12	15	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-18 00:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 1AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	-$4	10-14 04:32
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 12am et	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 05:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-06 07:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	+$4	10-08 06:01
ethereum up or down october 5 2026 4am et	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	+$4	10-05 07:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	+$4	10-07 06:59
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 11am et	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	+$4	09-27 13:50
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 2am et	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	09-27 05:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9PM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	+$4	10-10 00:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-10 06:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-16 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	-$4	10-07 08:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	10-10 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	3	$12	16	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-09 05:43
ethereum up or down october 14 2026 10am et	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	-$4	10-14 13:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 10PM ET	3	$12	15	8	+8	Up	-$4	10-14 01:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	3	$12	15	8	+8	Up	+$3	10-18 05:01
ethereum up or down october 14 2026 8am et	3	$12	16	8	+8	Down	+$4	10-14 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x734ab1…
10-30 08:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xdeccac…
10-30 06:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x03d929…
10-30 05:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3871bd…
10-30 04:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdd1c2b…
10-30 03:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8700dd…
10-30 03:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3f0af9…
10-30 01:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe27d77…
10-30 00:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x28d243…
10-30 00:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x10395a…
10-30 00:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe70c2d…
10-29 15:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd5d373…
10-29 14:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9869ee…
10-29 14:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x365889…
10-29 13:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x143769…
10-29 13:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfb12a4…
10-29 10:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbe227d…
10-29 09:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcadefa…
10-29 09:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa46d1c…
10-29 08:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x430590…
10-29 06:52:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x49b7a5…
10-29 06:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7c1756…
10-29 05:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xc9565c…
10-29 05:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6c1949…
10-29 05:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe7a149…
10-29 05:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x772f39…
10-29 03:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x283002…
10-29 02:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb5b6f1…
10-29 01:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x152315…
10-29 00:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb2bf38…
10-29 00:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2a22f5…
10-28 23:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x58e317…
10-28 22:46:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x71b1e2…
10-28 22:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3d1348…
10-28 16:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x92f424…
10-28 16:46:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdc2c1d…
10-28 14:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3bd9df…
10-28 13:48:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf5772d…
10-28 12:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x05cc84…
10-28 12:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb5698d…
10-28 11:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0bffb5…
10-28 10:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x05872f…
10-28 08:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x69e217…
10-28 08:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x437c6f…
10-28 07:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x933d8f…
10-28 05:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x14c019…
10-28 05:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2985cc…
10-28 03:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb9168a…
10-28 02:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc6b000…
10-28 01:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6bf720…
10-28 01:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x000ca2…
10-28 01:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x912330…
10-28 00:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x464e65…
10-28 00:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x27da96…
10-28 00:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x201fa0…
10-28 00:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x7eb307…
10-28 00:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x035c9d…
10-27 21:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4fb25e…
10-27 21:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x109113…
10-27 14:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x032478…
10-27 14:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x66cad7…
10-27 12:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfef96c…
10-27 12:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x297396…
10-27 10:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa1023a…
10-27 09:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa42711…
10-27 09:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfe6604…
10-27 09:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x849785…
10-27 08:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6af517…
10-27 07:49:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf61ef4…
10-27 06:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcf7cdd…
10-27 05:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xff7f75…
10-27 04:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5038cb…
10-27 04:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xba2132…
10-27 04:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xda2cdb…
10-27 03:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x021e5d…
10-27 03:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x83c636…
10-27 01:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd2b915…
10-26 23:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x446b22…
10-26 23:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc28a4a…
10-26 13:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x32ce22…
10-26 13:04:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd470eb…
10-26 12:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c3d89…
10-26 12:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x621fc8…
10-26 11:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0be2ee…
10-26 09:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa02121…
10-26 09:06:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd6d514…
10-26 08:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xad6e57…
10-26 06:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdf324d…
10-26 06:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5cc69f…
10-26 04:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe77230…
10-26 03:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x596fff…
10-26 02:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9142bd…
10-26 01:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8a1af…
10-26 00:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6edaf3…
10-25 23:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x260e78…
10-25 23:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeef0e4…
10-25 23:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb76ef…
10-25 14:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0ef6a3…
10-25 12:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a37f9…
10-25 12:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x647703…