Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$136

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-17 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

83% 45% -$9

Politics

13% 50% +$2

Tech

4% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-23 13:52
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-20 17:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-12 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 21:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-09 14:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-18 20:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 22:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-19 23:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-13 22:24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-18 12:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-08 05:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-20 08:28
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-19 20:37
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-09 06:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-13 02:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-14 18:29
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	09-08 22:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-19 13:14
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	09-15 14:29
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-22 04:45
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-11 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-20 15:45
wti up or down on august 19 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-19 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-15 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-20 07:22
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-11 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-15 22:24
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-23 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:01:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd86095…
10-17 02:34:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x529c71…
10-14 17:26:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3239f7…
10-14 17:26:28	will coin dip to 162 50 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0bffd6…
10-13 21:23:46	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe58702…
10-13 13:18:02	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x64a7b0…
10-07 15:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc0417e…
10-07 07:32:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x974e79…
10-06 23:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xde2ac3…
10-02 06:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb1a961…
09-26 12:21:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0478d5…
09-26 03:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0b6c5e…
09-20 17:26:36	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6d61df…
09-20 08:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc67785…
09-19 23:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7413fc…
09-19 13:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x97f34a…
09-19 05:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2c7e7b…
09-18 20:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfc795a…
09-18 12:06:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4c2176…
09-15 14:29:52	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa4bc35…
09-14 18:29:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcb108a…
09-13 22:24:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2456f7…
09-13 14:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaf6c6f…
09-13 02:26:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9a321c…
09-12 16:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf65a44…
09-12 08:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1d3780…
09-09 22:40:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa86119…
09-09 14:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb3cbb4…
09-09 06:21:00	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8e0cc3…
09-08 22:06:15	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa5025a…
09-08 13:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x17b91b…
09-08 05:25:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc4c726…
09-07 21:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4314c…
09-07 11:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2aa038…
09-04 01:35:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbc1729…
09-03 16:57:43	wti closes above 92 on september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc26f04…
09-02 05:43:12	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3c37ac…
09-01 17:49:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1f61f3…
09-01 09:44:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5e4471…
08-23 09:42:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x061b85…
08-23 01:41:27	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x72b84d…
08-22 15:12:55	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf7773b…
08-22 04:45:12	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x880aca…
08-21 07:48:09	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xefd9a5…
08-20 23:46:01	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe711dc…
08-20 15:45:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb34f81…
08-20 07:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa30d2c…
08-19 20:37:06	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5a6620…
08-19 12:14:22	wti up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1bb6fa…
08-16 09:42:51	Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf62f80…
08-15 22:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0df0c1…
08-15 11:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5a7c92…
08-14 02:58:00	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xea59b4…
08-13 18:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc5f9b1…
08-13 10:56:39	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3ec679…
08-13 02:56:15	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x60cad8…
08-12 18:25:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2ca07c…
08-12 10:19:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x552f2e…
08-12 02:19:06	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf59074…
08-11 18:18:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x21925d…
08-11 10:17:01	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x22cacc…
07-31 11:17:38	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfc232e…
07-31 00:07:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc3f760…
07-30 13:08:20	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x162b15…
07-29 00:17:50	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x714d8b…
07-28 12:05:46	will trump say putin during cabinet meeting 20260727172357449	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8a9409…
07-28 03:41:42	will msft dip to 375 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0435a4…
07-27 14:01:01	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8ca31b…
07-27 01:58:34	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x442f38…
07-26 13:57:55	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4056df…
07-26 01:55:57	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x886356…
07-25 13:55:24	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8258b2…
07-25 01:55:04	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa5aa44…
07-24 13:53:42	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2875ac…
07-24 01:52:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x55923b…
07-23 13:52:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd62708…
07-23 01:51:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x97ae3b…