Bogus-Wheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-15 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

44% 0% $-4

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	1	$1.7K	1,897	0	+1,897	open	—	06-15 12:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$1.7K	1,677	0	+1,677	open	—	05-21 11:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	05-21 11:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	1	$95	103	0	+103	open	—	06-15 12:48
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	3	$83	60	29	+30	open	—	05-05 13:33
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$56	58	0	+58	open	—	03-31 12:38
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-12 06:34
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	2	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	02-05 02:01
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	02-27 03:39
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$33	0	33	-33	open	—	02-22 11:24
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 05:21
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-22 05:22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	04-24 07:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 05:21
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by february 15	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-05 02:01
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-14 13:18
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 05:21
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	1	$24	27	0	+27	open	—	03-06 05:17
us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	02-22 11:26
will russia enter ternuvate again by february 28	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	02-27 03:40
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	02-14 03:12
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 13:09
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	02-14 03:11
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-22 05:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 06:35
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	04-22 05:25
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$18	27	0	+27	open	—	04-04 11:25
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 13:33
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	02-05 02:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-12 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 12:48:24	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	103	92¢	$95	0xd7c4b0…
06-15 12:47:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1,897	92¢	$1,745	0xd977f3…
05-21 11:52:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0xbebd06…
05-21 11:52:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,677	99¢	$1,656	0x68d0ed…
05-10 10:35:59	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xea919b…
05-05 13:33:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xec1772…
05-05 13:33:08	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x74ae1e…
05-02 03:22:08	Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x3e78ee…
04-24 07:32:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xf62c3e…
04-24 07:32:00	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xff2a58…
04-22 05:25:26	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xedac78…
04-22 05:24:22	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xf69d31…
04-22 05:24:00	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x64e449…
04-22 05:22:04	Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x2f322d…
04-22 05:21:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$9	0x095bcc…
04-22 05:21:50	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xfd2806…
04-22 05:21:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xf3f622…
04-14 13:18:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x7eeb45…
04-14 13:17:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x1f4950…
04-04 11:25:17	will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xbb906d…
03-31 12:38:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xcb5de0…
03-24 13:09:57	Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xe023e8…
03-24 13:09:49	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xfd0740…
03-24 13:09:03	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdb373e…
03-12 06:35:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x6ed5be…
03-12 06:35:45	highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6aded9…
03-12 06:35:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x04aec2…
03-12 06:34:39	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf78a86…
03-06 05:17:41	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xe5e109…
03-06 05:17:25	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xfa0f39…
02-27 03:40:24	will russia enter ternuvate again by february 28	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x9d22ce…
02-27 03:39:30	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x260db9…
02-22 11:26:16	us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xd23dee…
02-22 11:25:28	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x2d9513…
02-22 11:24:40	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x6786c0…
02-14 03:12:13	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xeda08e…
02-14 03:11:39	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x712205…
02-05 02:02:41	will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x4013b5…
02-05 02:01:37	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by february 15	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaab3e8…
02-05 02:01:23	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0xb5be2e…
01-22 12:10:26	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x85d072…