Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

192

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-14 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

53% 46% -$266

Other

39% 39% +$93

Crypto

5% 43% -$15

Tech

3% 22% -$41

Sports

1% 25% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	12	$213	312	250	+62	No	+$163	02-14 11:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	34	$188	65,347	0	+65,347	Yes	-$188	04-25 00:38
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$160	95	95	+0	No	+$11	03-11 03:23
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	6	$124	69	69	+0	No	+$8	02-22 01:10
cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20	15	$118	93	83	+10	MOUZ	+$5	02-20 15:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-11 16:18
us strike on somalia by february 14	4	$39	70	24	+46	Yes	-$19	02-12 17:47
pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	2	$36	33	33	+0	No	+$16	03-30 21:07
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	1	$33	38	0	+38	Dplus KIA	-$33	02-22 10:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$33	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 19:13
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$33	33	33	+0	No	+$23	03-21 21:36
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 30 on friday 815 916 383	4	$31	21	21	+0	No	+$8	02-20 16:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$28	17,294	0	+17,294	Yes	-$28	03-13 22:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	3	$27	17	17	+0	No	+$7	02-13 23:30
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$26	22	22	+0	Yes	+$16	02-26 15:51
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$26	1,040	14	+1,026	Yes	+$2	03-16 23:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$25	18	18	+0	No	+$5	04-06 23:41
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	04-06 23:42
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	3	$24	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-21 21:37
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$24	26	19	+7	No	+$4	03-18 11:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$23	94	94	+0	Yes	-$7	04-25 00:38
chatgpt outage by february 28	2	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	-$22	02-18 16:16
will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	3	$21	34	0	+34	Yes	-$21	02-13 22:34
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$21	28	28	+0	No	+$11	03-10 01:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	02-15 20:24
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-21 21:58
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$20	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	02-19 14:56
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	36	0	+36	Yes	-$20	02-13 22:44
will israel strike lebanon on february 16 2026	2	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	-$20	02-13 21:57
cs2 mibr odk 2026 02 20	2	$19	10	10	+0	MIBR	+$1	02-21 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:16:47	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x900355…
04-25 00:38:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8,440	0¢	$8	0x52f09a…
04-25 00:38:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	9¢	$8	0xa9d961…
04-24 23:56:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,630	0¢	$2	0x4de25e…
04-24 23:55:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	4,850	0¢	$5	0xb196e3…
04-24 20:45:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	4,390	0¢	$4	0x5872fa…
04-24 20:45:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xeafaf4…
04-24 13:47:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	13,190	0¢	$13	0xa4c2a6…
04-24 11:12:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9,020	0¢	$9	0x9e2052…
04-24 09:34:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	6,510	0¢	$7	0x913b71…
04-24 08:54:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,920	0¢	$3	0x438d93…
04-24 08:53:28	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x305ef2…
04-24 00:42:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x2c25e1…
04-24 00:40:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x021de4…
04-24 00:40:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xade8e5…
04-24 00:39:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x6eddc5…
04-22 22:15:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,462	0¢	$4	0xe0a18a…
04-22 15:23:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x8f3dd9…
04-22 15:23:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x43dff0…
04-22 13:10:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,925	0¢	$4	0xee8578…
04-21 23:17:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,100	0¢	$8	0xb80b40…
04-21 23:17:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xe951af…
04-21 18:26:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,242	0¢	$5	0xca9a3d…
04-21 14:09:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	83	4¢	$4	0xccbc88…
04-21 13:54:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x5f00d6…
04-21 12:33:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	165	5¢	$9	0xa9c1af…
04-21 12:33:24	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xeb9035…
04-21 09:06:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x6a08d3…
04-21 01:27:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	271	6¢	$17	0x5a2cbf…
04-21 01:24:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x014555…
04-20 13:50:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x9e1f7c…
04-19 13:31:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47e3fd…
04-19 13:31:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xb0e3d2…
04-19 13:25:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd988a9…
04-19 13:25:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xdf98a9…
04-17 22:50:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xf10d15…
04-15 21:51:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x80a7fe…
04-15 21:47:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x47ee41…
04-15 21:45:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x69f759…
04-15 21:44:50	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xd7c281…
04-15 21:41:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa3ac48…
04-15 21:39:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x6ae7ca…
04-15 21:39:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x6dd1ef…
04-15 21:38:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xc7dc48…
04-15 21:38:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x8ab1cb…
04-15 21:37:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x36b192…
04-15 01:01:30	cs2 mouz aur1 2026 04 14	MOUZ	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x69550f…
04-14 16:41:16	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xd53a4c…
04-14 09:05:07	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x43fed2…
04-14 09:04:47	cs2 mouz aur1 2026 04 14	MOUZ	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x46fd0c…
04-14 09:04:41	cs2 mouz aur1 2026 04 14	MOUZ	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc359cc…
04-14 09:04:19	cs2 tl1 3dmax 2026 04 14	Liquid	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x795c0f…
04-14 09:04:07	cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	G2	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x933304…
04-14 00:13:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x8df2e6…
04-14 00:12:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcec1e0…
04-13 17:03:23	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x6924f5…
04-13 00:10:17	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2d5772…
04-12 20:18:45	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	Vitality	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9662be…
04-12 19:10:31	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FaZe	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd1128b…
04-12 19:10:07	cs2 lgc mouz 2026 04 13	MOUZ	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcc3e06…
04-12 19:08:53	cs2 eye unity 2026 04 12	EYEBALLERS	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x900294…
04-06 23:42:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x05df97…
04-06 23:41:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xe67a1d…
04-06 00:49:03	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xe94da2…
04-06 00:48:55	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x78a00c…
04-06 00:47:03	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe6b16b…
04-06 00:46:57	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc97772…
04-06 00:45:51	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xaa223b…
04-06 00:32:19	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xab7168…
04-06 00:31:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 6	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1b77c1…
04-06 00:31:05	Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x54a1a8…
04-03 22:39:03	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x196517…
04-03 22:38:53	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x879b62…
03-30 21:07:05	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	No	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0xb92504…
03-25 23:57:51	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6801e9…
03-25 23:57:47	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x78377e…
03-25 23:57:27	Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xda94b9…
03-25 23:57:13	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x061108…
03-25 23:57:03	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xe17073…
03-25 10:52:03	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x41aa62…
03-25 10:51:57	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb88569…
03-24 11:42:09	will mrbeast say prize during his next video 899	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x03858f…
03-21 22:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x8f7eb8…
03-21 22:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1fc20e…
03-21 22:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3484d4…
03-21 21:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xe7f1f8…
03-21 21:37:11	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x5a4dc4…
03-21 21:36:45	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	26	87¢	$22	0x627510…
03-20 10:44:13	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x319724…
03-20 10:43:47	will trump say khamenei or ayatollah during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x742129…
03-20 10:43:27	will trump say rebuild during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x116e2f…
03-20 10:43:23	will trump say messi or ronaldo during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3f11cf…
03-20 10:39:51	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1944f6…
03-20 10:39:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x869df4…
03-20 10:38:39	will trump say iran during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x394494…
03-20 10:38:19	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7de923…
03-19 23:13:47	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xc23317…
03-18 11:30:35	bitcoin above 72k on march 18	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9a37ff…
03-18 11:30:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x265800…
03-18 11:28:49	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4fad8a…