Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

478

Trades

1,509

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-29

last 11-07 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$19

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes		+170	$4	1¢	$2	-$2	11-07 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$36	27	27	+0	Up	+$10	11-02 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	8	$33	43	21	+23	Down	+$3	11-04 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$31	48	41	+7	Up	+$7	11-02 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$29	44	19	+25	Down	+$5	11-04 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$28	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	11-05 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$28	23	14	+9	Up	-$6	11-02 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	9	$28	28	16	+12	Up	+$10	11-02 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	11-05 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	7	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	11-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$27	19	14	+5	Up	+$1	11-04 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	5	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	11-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$26	118	12	+107	Up	-$2	11-02 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$26	19	16	+3	Up	+$2	11-02 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$26	19	17	+3	Up	+$2	11-05 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:05 UTC	6	$25	39	13	+25	Down	-$1	11-04 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	5	$25	25	18	+8	Up	+$1	11-05 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	11-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$23	86	0	+86	Down	+$4	10-31 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$23	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	10-31 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$22	29	7	+22	Up	-$10	11-05 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$22	14	11	+3	Down	$0	11-02 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$22	13	11	+2	Down	$0	11-02 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	11-01 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$21	121	9	+112	Down	-$5	11-02 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	11-02 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$20	22	22	+0	Up	$0	11-01 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$19	37	8	+29	Up	-$5	11-04 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$19	27	14	+13	Down	+$8	11-02 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$19	18	10	+9	Down	-$5	11-05 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	11-05 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 23:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e3d08…
11-07 23:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x357866…
11-07 22:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5ae681…
11-07 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6c60f5…
11-07 22:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9ea1ea…
11-07 22:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2ee88c…
11-07 22:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x9e11ae…
11-07 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x41e8b2…
11-07 22:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x654ccb…
11-07 22:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7e5ecd…
11-07 22:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcdebaf…
11-07 22:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4b9885…
11-07 22:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9239e6…
11-07 22:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x186c4a…
11-07 22:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05e9a5…
11-07 22:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xff4518…
11-07 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe1b5a7…
11-07 22:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x46f430…
11-07 22:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d9aca…
11-07 22:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea7d9e…
11-07 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xaaf92e…
11-07 21:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16d6c5…
11-07 21:51:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x4b7f9f…
11-07 20:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xfa907c…
11-07 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xfc8337…
11-07 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdc3622…
11-07 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8d92e8…
11-07 20:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x38121d…
11-07 19:35:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xbb864e…
11-07 19:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe73bb8…
11-07 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xc13ec9…
11-07 19:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe3a316…
11-07 19:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb1cd74…
11-07 19:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67b628…
11-07 19:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1a46d4…
11-07 19:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc9bc4e…
11-07 19:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x29b84b…
11-07 19:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4e0f2…
11-07 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0995ce…
11-07 18:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5ba492…
11-07 18:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8a0258…
11-07 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xdbcab8…
11-07 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x605a81…
11-07 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b9486…
11-07 18:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa85cc8…
11-07 18:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd83973…
11-07 18:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xb26295…
11-07 18:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xad5bc3…
11-07 18:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6dcad0…
11-07 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea4d81…
11-07 18:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x01c857…
11-07 18:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x00b664…
11-07 18:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0b09f7…
11-07 18:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xd7ead1…
11-07 18:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1808f0…
11-07 18:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x45d066…
11-07 18:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4586f4…
11-07 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc908c7…
11-07 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xafa845…
11-07 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7c1195…
11-07 18:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb53eaf…
11-07 18:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x81ce15…
11-07 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc8f96b…
11-07 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x36cf3d…
11-07 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xabe451…
11-07 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3523ef…
11-07 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf435b2…
11-07 18:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x65ad93…
11-07 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xc1ead5…
11-07 18:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2ada54…
11-07 18:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xdb5295…
11-07 18:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd68818…
11-07 18:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x5e1e40…
11-07 18:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x191252…
11-07 18:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7c7b36…
11-07 18:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3cf018…
11-07 18:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfd1a27…
11-07 17:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6a8696…
11-07 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x78825c…
11-07 17:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb70bb…
11-07 17:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec97e3…
11-07 17:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x29db6e…
11-07 17:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x655033…
11-07 17:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xe55cb0…
11-07 17:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xab687c…
11-07 17:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6e6d38…
11-07 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xacb782…
11-07 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c4ac4…
11-07 17:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xf50af6…
11-07 17:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xacefed…
11-07 17:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x071d81…
11-07 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3d7e5f…
11-07 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x195359…
11-07 17:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x015098…
11-07 17:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd66a29…
11-07 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc146e6…
11-07 15:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3babdc…
11-07 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x65045d…
11-07 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9717a3…
11-07 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x168f7d…