Realized P&L
+$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$315
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
7,062
Trades
33,638
lifetime
Volume
$131.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-23 01:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
93% 38% +$1,459
Crypto
3% 45% +$26
Politics
3% 44% +$77
Sports
1% 34% -$202
Tech
0% 29% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +140 $86 80¢ $113 +$26 10-05 17:39
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +108 $43 100¢ $108 +$65 10-10 22:28
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +72 $53 100¢ $72 +$18 10-22 01:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +60 $38 100¢ $60 +$22 10-21 21:18
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +50 $37 99¢ $50 +$13 10-01 18:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $30 100¢ $40 +$10 10-21 21:46
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $11 98¢ $39 +$28 10-12 17:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 10-19 20:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +36 $22 98¢ $35 +$13 09-29 18:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +35 $22 90¢ $31 +$9 10-21 19:50
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +30 $24 100¢ $30 +$6 09-24 13:19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +30 $23 99¢ $30 +$7 09-29 20:42
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 10-05 06:19
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +30 $21 87¢ $26 +$5 10-21 21:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $40 20¢ $25 -$15 10-05 17:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +25 $9 99¢ $25 +$16 09-28 14:44
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +25 $16 99¢ $25 +$8 10-08 00:33
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +30 $27 73¢ $22 -$5 10-12 20:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $4 99¢ $20 +$16 10-13 17:17
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $8 99¢ $20 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +30 $13 66¢ $20 +$7 09-30 20:49
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$4 10-06 06:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $7 95¢ $19 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 10-05 14:52
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$4 09-29 18:37
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +24 $14 72¢ $17 +$4 10-21 17:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $10 56¢ $17 +$7 09-30 20:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$0 10-15 21:16
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 99¢ $15 +$11 09-30 22:04
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 75¢ $15 +$4 10-05 09:29