Realized P&L
+$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
7,095
Trades
33,638
lifetime
Volume
$131.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$710
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-23 01:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
93% 38% +$1,468
Crypto
3% 45% +$23
Politics
3% 45% +$70
Sports
1% 34% -$202
Tech
0% 33% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +140 $86 82¢ $116 +$29 10-05 17:39
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +72 $53 100¢ $72 +$18 10-22 01:01
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $11 99¢ $40 +$28 10-12 17:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 10-19 20:23
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +35 $22 94¢ $33 +$11 10-21 19:50
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 10-05 06:19
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +30 $21 88¢ $26 +$5 10-21 21:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $40 18¢ $23 -$18 10-05 17:37
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +30 $27 72¢ $22 -$5 10-12 20:14
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $8 99¢ $20 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 10-06 06:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $7 96¢ $19 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +30 $13 64¢ $19 +$6 09-30 20:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +20 $14 89¢ $18 +$4 10-05 14:52
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$4 09-29 18:37
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +24 $14 68¢ $16 +$3 10-21 17:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $10 54¢ $16 +$6 09-30 20:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$0 10-15 21:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20 $17 77¢ $15 -$2 09-13 18:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +20 $12 74¢ $15 +$3 10-21 19:46
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 70¢ $14 +$3 10-05 09:29
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +30 $12 44¢ $13 +$1 10-21 09:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 +$0 09-29 19:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +20 $12 66¢ $13 +$1 10-21 20:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 58¢ $12 -$1 10-19 17:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +20 $11 57¢ $12 +$0 10-21 20:33
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +20 $9 56¢ $11 +$2 10-21 09:08
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +15 $9 72¢ $11 +$2 10-14 19:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 42¢ $11 -$2 10-20 15:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +30 $10 34¢ $10 +$0 10-21 22:26