Terrible-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$589

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

306

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-31 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Politics

82% 81% -$602

Other

10% 86% +$12

Crypto

8% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	210	$7.2K	320,937	320,937	+0	No	-$500	04-20 06:54
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	32	$1.5K	300,609	300,609	+0	No	-$301	04-26 15:23
will green alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$366	16,513	16,513	+0	No	+$74	03-31 12:58
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	22	$358	37,514	37,514	+0	No	+$92	04-03 16:02
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	12	$126	63	63	+0	No	$0	02-23 07:09
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	47	$80	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$0	02-11 03:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	6	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	02-26 04:34
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$53	17,599	17,599	+0	No	+$18	03-12 05:35
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 560 579	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:44
will miracjl win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$44	14,676	14,676	+0	No	+$15	03-15 14:30
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	4	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	02-20 10:25
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	4	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	4	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	03-16 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	3	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$1	06-24 05:09
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$5	03-31 07:49
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-04 07:40
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 540 559	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:47
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 520 539	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:50
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-26 11:12
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 360 379	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:52
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-09 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:36
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	16	$16	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 07:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	-$2	04-27 13:42
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	05-07 13:36
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-13 05:39
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:35
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 14:32
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 80 99	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-28 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:24:21	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x347b1d…
10-31 21:24:15	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe89e10…
10-31 21:24:00	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e7d5c…
10-31 21:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38b419…
10-31 21:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76972c…
10-30 20:28:42	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6cbd53…
10-30 20:28:36	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fc6b9…
10-30 20:28:30	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1cc67…
10-30 20:28:13	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b1afb…
10-30 20:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd30a6…
10-30 20:27:31	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x305a99…
10-30 20:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x743bfe…
10-30 20:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19d743…
10-30 20:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x068e34…
10-26 20:59:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc089c2…
10-20 22:09:29	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbad0ef…
10-20 22:09:21	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3a0b4…
10-20 22:09:14	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb94008…
10-20 22:09:08	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecc1e5…
10-20 22:08:53	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x869ba3…
10-20 22:08:45	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ce2e8…
10-20 22:08:38	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41b27e…
10-20 22:08:29	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4a4c0…
10-20 22:08:21	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x082bc1…
10-20 22:08:12	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2292a4…
10-17 09:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x374e30…
10-17 09:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc46e3c…
10-17 09:21:24	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae23ac…
10-17 09:21:00	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67015c…
10-17 09:20:36	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c1924…
10-17 09:20:26	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x309eb1…
10-17 09:20:17	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd01b85…
10-17 09:20:11	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8db5c…
10-17 09:20:03	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97152b…
10-14 10:40:10	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab2528…
10-14 10:40:02	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc57bae…
10-14 10:39:44	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x205926…
10-14 10:39:35	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f0ff8…
10-14 10:39:26	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x402e7c…
10-14 10:39:19	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13f7a8…
10-14 10:39:10	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5876e1…
10-14 10:39:02	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x983025…
10-14 10:38:53	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x294fc4…
10-11 03:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x609083…
10-11 03:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7044f…
10-11 03:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3cfc2…
10-09 20:35:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe92ef6…
10-09 20:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7e4be…
10-09 20:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3f199…
10-08 21:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87e5da…
10-08 21:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x631838…
10-08 21:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe660cd…
10-08 21:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5a1003…
10-08 18:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x367e87…
10-07 15:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3beeef…
10-07 15:51:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0a724…
10-04 07:40:23	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x58606f…
10-04 07:40:08	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71d409…
10-04 07:39:56	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cf387…
10-01 15:59:48	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x803f7b…
10-01 15:59:26	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99b753…
10-01 15:59:12	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66bb9f…
09-29 06:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dc93e…
09-29 06:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2da5d8…
09-29 06:05:36	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79b000…
09-29 06:05:18	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe580e…
09-29 06:04:50	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc2442…
09-29 06:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x141cde…
09-29 06:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2486c…
09-29 06:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffda5f…
09-29 06:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f3c36…
09-29 06:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa988d6…
09-22 11:14:51	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc054…
09-22 11:14:37	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f6b62…
09-22 11:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0b168…
09-22 11:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb10bd2…
09-18 03:29:01	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41b7ff…
09-18 03:28:54	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c924d…
09-18 03:28:43	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c267b…
09-18 03:28:27	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0f2b7…
09-18 03:28:16	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aaa80…
09-18 03:28:03	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c45de…
09-06 09:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd09d76…
09-06 09:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02b2a5…
09-06 09:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x001645…
09-06 09:32:22	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb75df2…
09-06 09:32:07	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd24165…
09-06 09:31:49	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae4e23…
09-02 07:00:31	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c58e4…
09-02 07:00:16	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c9969…
09-02 07:00:06	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67c552…
09-02 06:59:55	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0bf61d…
08-31 20:52:15	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a4450…
08-31 20:52:01	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8aaef7…
08-31 20:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e2ce9…
08-31 20:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ef5e7…
08-28 18:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x321bb0…
08-28 18:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaad0dc…
08-28 18:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x372a52…
08-27 16:24:21	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b5463…