Frugal-Sow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

261

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-01 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

80% 80% +$27

Crypto

12% 65% -$17

Politics

8% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+11	$10	100¢	$11	+$1	10-12 10:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+4	$3	100¢	$4	+$1	10-29 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$105	349	349	+0	open	—	11-01 08:08
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11?	1	$30	41	0	+41	No	+$11	10-11 14:16
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-18?	1	$27	38	0	+38	No	+$10	10-16 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:35 UTC	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	09-30 16:37
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?	1	$25	28	0	+28	No	+$3	09-25 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:20 UTC	6	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	04-23 02:24
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	11-01 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?	3	$15	14	6	+8	Yes	-$2	06-04 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:35 UTC	4	$14	11	10	+0	Down	+$2	04-22 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 20?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 1?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-01 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-01 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	09-30 16:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-12 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:35 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-21 03:33
highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 26c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-19 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 5?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-05 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-09 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 3?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-03 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?	3	$10	10	5	+5	Yes	-$4	05-16 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on May 17?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 17?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 07:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-02 01:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-03 23:17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$2	06-03 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$2	05-27 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:44:12	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf84796…
11-01 08:08:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	336	19¢	$63	0x18b422…
10-29 13:57:52	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x2f0595…
10-20 20:29:39	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	336	12¢	$40	0x2fceaf…
10-20 20:28:21	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x7de14f…
10-16 07:37:31	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0xb6da13…
10-12 10:04:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x295f87…
10-11 14:16:43	Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x32f659…
10-05 14:03:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72a067…
10-01 19:43:03	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2ad8c6…
09-30 16:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x31c5dd…
09-30 16:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf87692…
09-30 16:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8467c1…
09-26 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7e4cf…
09-26 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3dbb58…
09-26 13:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x036c1a…
09-26 13:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7623d9…
09-25 17:38:09	Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xfd17c8…
06-25 16:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7f8412…
06-25 16:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa3c4f3…
06-25 15:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd1b1b5…
06-25 09:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7cf92d…
06-25 07:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x97490c…
06-24 19:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 25?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xee6926…
06-24 18:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 25?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa02cf3…
06-24 17:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x962ced…
06-24 12:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x533d2e…
06-24 07:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x76b185…
06-24 06:15:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1c0150…
06-24 05:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc85dbd…
06-24 02:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x810e14…
06-24 01:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf5a9b0…
06-23 10:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9fdbf1…
06-23 06:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1e93bf…
06-23 00:20:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa36119…
06-22 23:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6e1276…
06-22 23:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5fdde7…
06-22 18:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7367af…
06-22 03:39:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf4d8f5…
06-21 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa5037c…
06-21 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x502f6d…
06-21 09:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf6591a…
06-21 08:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x7a65b1…
06-21 07:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbd39c8…
06-21 05:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf1fc4b…
06-21 04:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 22?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd3178…
06-21 03:19:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7bb701…
06-20 23:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xad6db0…
06-20 22:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x3a5aef…
06-20 16:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x00be03…
06-20 16:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xb77050…
06-20 16:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 22?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x82abd7…
06-20 16:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xde551c…
06-20 15:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x552c09…
06-20 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x772468…
06-19 04:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc857c8…
06-18 23:16:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xabb793…
06-18 22:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb6efe3…
06-18 17:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 20?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb44fb0…
06-18 17:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x96f1df…
06-18 11:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa2a424…
06-18 07:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x2b13c7…
06-18 06:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x762a3d…
06-18 05:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x978c7f…
06-17 22:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaf2627…
06-17 20:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa734ed…
06-17 19:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe28db2…
06-17 09:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x829195…
06-17 09:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xee5730…
06-17 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb145cd…
06-17 00:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7499dd…
06-17 00:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdcd3bb…
06-16 23:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xf0c13c…
06-16 17:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x78078b…
06-16 03:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x518348…
06-16 00:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x1b1f6f…
06-16 00:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 16?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1aae02…
06-16 00:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 16?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdbcfe7…
06-15 23:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x13967b…
06-15 22:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x444b1d…
06-15 18:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7aa17d…
06-15 08:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8a96f8…
06-15 06:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x8e7899…
06-15 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x99b60d…
06-14 23:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x1cee10…
06-14 21:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd2d68c…
06-14 21:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd1df43…
06-14 18:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1c900c…
06-14 16:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x04046f…
06-14 08:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 14?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf3bb5c…
06-14 08:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x80e494…
06-14 08:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf4b6e1…
06-13 23:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa25935…
06-13 15:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13?	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xc7d491…
06-13 07:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4f1a88…
06-12 19:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa041be…
06-12 18:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x3b53fe…
06-12 17:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba8cb9…
06-12 14:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x129b83…
06-12 12:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12?	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x458683…