Scary-Molasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$638

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-25 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 62% -$41

Other

10% 100% +$6

Politics

9% 60% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 7	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$1	04-07 09:45
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	1	$50	53	+53	Yes	+$3	04-10 03:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	02-27 06:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?	1	$50	60	+60	No	+$10	05-14 04:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	1	$50	53	+53	No	+$3	04-13 09:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	2	$46	53	+53	No	+$6	03-27 06:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 10	2	$40	89	+89	No	-$17	02-10 06:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	02-10 04:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 7	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	04-07 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-25 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	1	$10	37	+37	Down	-$10	02-13 15:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 8	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	+$6	04-08 03:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 15	1	$10	20	+20	No	-$10	04-15 08:30
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$10	15	+15	Yes	+$5	03-25 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:40 UTC	1	$10	21	+21	Down	-$10	02-13 15:42
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	11	+11	Yes	+$1	05-08 12:20
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 31	1	$10	15	+15	Yes	-$10	03-31 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	1	$10	84	+84	Up	-$10	02-13 15:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	13	+13	No	+$3	04-15 08:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	17	+17	Yes	-$10	04-10 04:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	1	$10	77	+77	No	-$10	02-13 15:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 7	1	$10	14	+14	Yes	+$4	04-07 09:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	1	$10	54	+54	No	-$10	04-13 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	05-20 07:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	1	$10	18	+18	No	-$10	03-27 05:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 8	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	04-08 03:51
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$10	14	+14	No	-$10	02-27 06:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 30	1	$10	11	+11	Yes	+$1	03-30 14:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 7	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	04-07 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 08:40 UTC	1	$5	14	+14	Up	-$5	03-25 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 07:47:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfa6185…
05-20 07:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x54d3d4…
05-14 04:04:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x309c89…
05-08 12:20:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7b0e66…
04-15 08:30:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6cbdb4…
04-15 08:26:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x74ab9e…
04-13 09:14:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfc0336…
04-13 09:14:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xcc8d6d…
04-10 04:05:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa4ecb5…
04-10 03:59:47	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x60a1bd…
04-08 03:51:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 8	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x81e000…
04-08 03:50:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xefee9e…
04-07 09:45:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 7	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0xf42ac9…
04-07 09:45:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 7	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8bc264…
04-07 09:44:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1132c0…
04-07 03:05:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 7	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf1f0c0…
03-31 15:31:03	will bitcoin reach 68k on march 31	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x75a392…
03-30 14:36:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 30	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa135f7…
03-27 06:04:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xb6602e…
03-27 06:04:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 27	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x70eed4…
03-27 06:01:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1d644e…
03-27 05:59:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x58902d…
03-27 05:55:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x353fe6…
03-26 08:56:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5b4410…
03-25 08:43:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe88e19…
03-25 08:41:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa1a413…
03-25 08:38:11	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9bcb36…
02-27 06:19:54	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7191ca…
02-27 06:16:14	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc43d45…
02-13 15:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x443498…
02-13 15:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf2ec5f…
02-13 15:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd66925…
02-13 15:38:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2e84eb…
02-10 06:48:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 10	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x349a3e…
02-10 04:32:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 10	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x0f4b6e…
02-10 04:29:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x56f581…