Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-20 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

37% 0% $-6

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	-8	$-7	93¢	$-8	$-0	06-22 13:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+23	$3	11¢	$3	$-0	07-20 23:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	+$0	06-22 14:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$114	92	91	+1	open	—	03-19 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 21:51
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	4	$96	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 04:43
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$79	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 07:43
will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	8	$77	69	68	+1	open	—	03-24 16:01
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	5	$69	107	107	+0	open	—	03-19 19:41
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$67	57	26	+31	open	—	03-18 23:15
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$64	81	81	+0	open	—	03-19 10:41
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	4	$61	71	71	+0	open	—	03-23 17:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	03-23 14:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$59	47	47	+0	Yes	$-0	03-16 22:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$57	36	35	+1	open	—	03-16 00:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	7	$56	33	32	+1	open	—	03-26 10:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$55	39	36	+3	open	—	03-18 19:00
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	2	$54	32	32	+0	open	—	03-18 22:38
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$53	65	65	+0	open	—	03-18 17:10
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	03-18 07:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$52	43	43	+0	open	—	03-16 22:50
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$50	166	165	+1	open	—	03-19 18:10
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$48	207	207	+0	open	—	03-18 01:38
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$48	62	62	+0	open	—	03-16 22:51
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	2	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	03-17 00:51
will sp 500 spx hit 6500 low in march 2026	2	$40	36	36	+0	open	—	03-20 04:45
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$39	25	24	+1	open	—	03-19 01:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 07:40
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$35	226	226	+0	open	—	06-22 12:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	03-20 09:38
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 07:22
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$35	39	39	+0	open	—	03-19 04:43
will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	7	$34	25	24	+1	open	—	03-19 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 04:50:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$3	0xd441c5…
07-21 04:50:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x3806ea…
07-21 04:50:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xa3a712…
07-21 04:00:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc87cf3…
07-21 03:20:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x70aba6…
07-21 02:40:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6ba662…
07-20 23:40:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x89c0dc…
07-20 23:20:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xbd7aab…
07-20 22:50:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x58b2ba…
07-20 20:00:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xba33cc…
07-20 18:40:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xbc1474…
07-20 14:40:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x57d11a…
07-20 11:20:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x3f9fdc…
07-20 11:10:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x66d7ac…
07-19 18:20:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x00aa0a…
07-19 04:30:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xd63531…
07-19 04:30:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0x9e8247…
06-22 14:39:26	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf5ca7d…
06-22 14:39:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x22c7e1…
06-22 13:59:34	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xeeb6b0…
06-22 12:58:50	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0x4debb3…
06-21 10:41:07	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0xec60e6…
06-21 01:28:37	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf9b079…
06-20 22:39:28	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x386465…
06-20 18:16:22	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x612533…
06-20 16:13:29	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x928dbc…
06-20 00:21:04	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x37ef1c…
06-19 19:47:26	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1bf2b4…
06-19 19:47:17	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbacbd0…
06-19 19:47:05	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xea2bf4…
06-19 18:26:22	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x32a9d8…
06-19 18:26:05	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x611481…
06-19 18:26:04	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0xf3b396…
06-19 16:38:35	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x073be5…
06-19 16:38:04	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0xd38da4…
06-19 12:38:05	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf1b089…
06-19 12:38:04	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x52a8d0…
06-19 10:27:04	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xffe281…
06-19 08:32:08	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x79b499…
06-17 23:29:10	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf878b6…
06-17 23:28:50	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x598321…
06-17 18:06:43	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfc8178…
06-17 17:30:44	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4e3c15…
06-17 16:22:20	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x91057f…
06-17 15:10:25	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xdb0ac7…
06-17 12:28:56	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x686473…
06-17 11:22:58	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc0b234…
06-17 10:06:11	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd72e5b…
03-26 10:50:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2c7ef6…
03-26 10:40:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x54204c…
03-26 10:31:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x0e67ba…
03-26 10:21:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xb1fdcd…
03-26 10:11:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x69f7aa…
03-26 10:00:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x8c68de…
03-24 16:01:05	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x9f4e9a…
03-24 15:51:21	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4a4cd1…
03-24 15:40:59	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x56bac8…
03-24 15:31:01	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xbaeae6…
03-24 13:31:47	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xa51927…
03-24 13:21:51	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xcacbbc…
03-24 13:11:31	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7f4f0f…
03-23 21:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	38	60¢	$22	0x105419…
03-23 17:31:23	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xe46678…
03-23 16:43:01	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc608d9…
03-23 16:31:19	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb80128…
03-23 16:20:55	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x026cd5…
03-23 14:36:09	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xc88982…
03-23 14:36:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x803d67…
03-20 09:38:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xcffa51…
03-20 07:43:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0xe4d2f5…
03-20 07:14:13	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8e78f3…
03-20 06:32:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	78¢	$27	0x1e0019…
03-20 04:46:17	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xdf06bb…
03-20 04:46:17	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xaad438…
03-20 04:45:25	will sp 500 spx hit 6500 low in march 2026	Yes	SELL	36	49¢	$18	0xc31d8a…
03-20 01:13:59	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9e602c…
03-19 22:53:03	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x91ea18…
03-19 22:38:03	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xef028c…
03-19 21:51:05	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2496ca…
03-19 21:41:01	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb0b259…
03-19 21:31:05	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x03597b…
03-19 21:20:45	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x37c479…
03-19 20:20:55	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x599cba…
03-19 20:13:35	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xc75ff3…
03-19 20:13:35	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x76dd75…
03-19 19:41:39	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xe5da82…
03-19 19:41:25	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x95311b…
03-19 19:17:23	will sp 500 spx hit 6500 low in march 2026	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x85fdfd…
03-19 18:10:27	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	No	SELL	165	12¢	$20	0xe4c577…
03-19 12:13:39	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x508195…
03-19 10:42:47	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa6a07f…
03-19 10:42:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x4d886d…
03-19 10:41:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xe50bf7…
03-19 10:41:57	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xf8c16d…
03-19 10:41:57	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt252pt50 in march	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x25b623…
03-19 10:41:55	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	81	39¢	$31	0xba4f04…
03-19 09:13:09	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x7bc1a0…
03-19 08:08:47	will iran strike mina al ahmadi refinery by march 31	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x0b9cd6…
03-19 08:08:27	will iran strike mina al ahmadi refinery by march 31	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x0550a4…
03-19 07:40:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xf8ed2f…