Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-16 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-6

Other

45% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	52	$172	179	218	-39	open	—	07-31 05:40
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$114	92	91	+1	open	—	03-19 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 21:51
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	4	$96	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 04:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	10	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	08-16 11:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	22	$91	107	158	-50	open	—	07-26 18:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	18	$83	174	174	+0	open	—	08-15 06:51
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$79	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 07:43
will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	8	$77	69	68	+1	open	—	03-24 16:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	12	$70	103	103	+0	open	—	08-16 13:11
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	5	$69	107	107	+0	open	—	03-19 19:41
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$67	57	26	+31	open	—	03-18 23:15
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$64	81	81	+0	open	—	03-19 10:41
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	4	$61	71	71	+0	open	—	03-23 17:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	03-23 14:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$59	47	47	+0	Yes	$-0	03-16 22:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$57	36	35	+1	open	—	03-16 00:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	7	$56	33	32	+1	open	—	03-26 10:50
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	15	$56	60	54	+7	open	—	08-13 05:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$55	39	36	+3	open	—	03-18 19:00
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	2	$54	32	32	+0	open	—	03-18 22:38
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$53	65	65	+0	open	—	03-18 17:10
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	03-18 07:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$52	43	43	+0	open	—	03-16 22:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	4	$50	80	78	+2	open	—	08-14 22:11
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$50	166	165	+1	open	—	03-19 18:10
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$48	207	207	+0	open	—	03-18 01:38
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$48	62	62	+0	open	—	03-16 22:51
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	2	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	03-17 00:51
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	12	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	07-24 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 16:01:52	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0ef961…
08-16 13:11:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x6c2393…
08-16 13:01:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x60e407…
08-16 12:51:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xb5e774…
08-16 11:51:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x5176de…
08-16 11:41:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xaea304…
08-16 11:31:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xe6bc4c…
08-16 11:21:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xb22da7…
08-16 11:11:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x90cbc0…
08-16 05:31:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	SELL	55	17¢	$9	0x43a113…
08-15 14:51:28	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x9c6e58…
08-15 14:41:28	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xeb83ad…
08-15 06:51:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0xfdd851…
08-15 06:41:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x000da6…
08-14 22:11:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0x8453a6…
08-14 21:51:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0x3ce507…
08-14 16:02:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1f7c72…
08-14 13:02:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xe5d189…
08-14 12:51:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x50bfc3…
08-14 12:41:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xac39f1…
08-14 11:42:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xbf1463…
08-14 11:42:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x35dbeb…
08-14 11:42:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x9c8e32…
08-14 11:42:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x7ef623…
08-14 11:42:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x7edaa3…
08-14 05:51:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb24c65…
08-13 15:01:46	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x178f54…
08-13 15:01:45	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x573142…
08-13 06:41:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0xfa0452…
08-13 06:31:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0xc4c1a6…
08-13 05:47:46	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xf07057…
08-13 05:45:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x30ec43…
08-13 05:41:42	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xa2891e…
08-13 05:39:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x5c5a3c…
08-13 05:39:36	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x059f0f…
08-12 22:01:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x82736d…
08-12 21:41:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x6d0139…
08-09 05:23:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x75396f…
08-09 05:13:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x403f7d…
08-09 05:03:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x46e69f…
08-09 04:53:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x02ff26…
08-08 23:23:00	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1f8a03…
08-08 21:52:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc070f8…
08-08 21:42:52	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x57f8d7…
08-08 21:32:52	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xefa8e3…
08-08 21:23:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x04c8e3…
08-08 20:52:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x76774c…
08-08 20:33:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40a648…
08-08 20:11:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x11d547…
08-08 20:01:34	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2da6ce…
08-08 19:42:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x51bce9…
08-08 19:42:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdabc1f…
08-07 09:29:31	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x146ee7…
08-07 09:19:55	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5c86d0…
08-07 09:19:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x165265…
08-06 20:51:14	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6b5e8c…
08-06 19:31:27	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc07c0f…
08-06 19:21:14	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa56a4d…
08-06 18:51:15	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa00b20…
08-06 15:11:08	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5a1167…
08-06 12:41:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9b0d34…
08-06 04:54:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x8cddc5…
08-06 00:30:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xa497f0…
08-05 23:50:20	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x287332…
08-05 20:10:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xb1e640…
08-05 19:40:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x7c9d50…
08-04 12:10:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xfeda8d…
08-04 10:20:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x771074…
08-04 08:20:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x2805ca…
08-04 00:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xce8af8…
08-04 00:30:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	17	21¢	$3	0xaa949b…
08-03 23:00:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x5c7e21…
08-03 22:10:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xd8df82…
08-03 20:10:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3bb481…
08-03 19:30:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2dd7a7…
08-02 12:10:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	11	33¢	$3	0x8ddb87…
08-02 08:20:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0x038383…
08-02 05:10:05	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xd4996b…
08-02 00:30:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x033c75…
08-01 22:50:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x066cf5…
08-01 22:10:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x140ce3…
08-01 07:50:05	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x55344d…
08-01 07:10:03	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xc49095…
08-01 06:50:03	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x2bc6be…
08-01 06:10:03	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0xa0ba6d…
08-01 05:40:05	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x519519…
07-31 10:30:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x2ecfa9…
07-31 09:00:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xbe8dbb…
07-31 05:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xb7530e…
07-31 05:10:50	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x40815d…
07-31 05:10:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x2eb25f…
07-31 04:20:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x8e3bde…
07-31 03:50:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xca5a1b…
07-30 18:10:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x75acf4…
07-30 09:10:32	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	15	24¢	$3	0x53103f…
07-30 07:40:48	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x045978…
07-30 07:10:39	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xec1b15…
07-30 06:40:48	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x59e8f6…
07-30 06:10:51	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x325dcb…
07-30 05:40:48	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x7be78f…