Formal-Quality — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

6,553 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$69

$342.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-25 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% -$578

Politics

0% 50% -$8

Other

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	12	$430	482	482	+0	No	+$0	03-29 23:56
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$420	329	329	+0	Yes	-$8	03-30 23:25
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 3pm et	11	$339	323	148	+175	Up	-$40	04-09 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$208	963	100	+863	Up	-$9	06-02 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:30 UTC	7	$207	296	101	+195	Up	-$8	08-25 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	2	$203	104	103	+1	Up	+$4	09-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$203	104	103	+1	Down	+$4	09-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:15 UTC	2	$202	103	102	+1	Down	+$3	04-20 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 23:30 UTC	2	$201	103	102	+1	Down	+$2	08-21 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:30 UTC	2	$201	105	104	+1	Up	+$2	09-21 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	2	$201	104	103	+1	Up	+$2	04-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:20 UTC	3	$201	103	102	+1	Up	+$2	06-10 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:30 UTC	2	$201	103	102	+1	Down	+$2	08-27 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	2	$201	103	102	+1	Down	+$2	04-23 00:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 17:15 UTC	2	$201	102	101	+1	Up	+$2	08-27 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$200	102	101	+1	Up	+$1	09-04 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:00 UTC	2	$200	102	101	+1	Up	+$1	07-28 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	2	$200	102	101	+1	Up	+$1	08-28 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$200	102	101	+1	Down	+$1	05-19 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:20 UTC	2	$200	202	0	+202	Down	-$200	04-24 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	10-11 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$200	103	102	+1	Down	+$1	06-02 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$200	101	100	+1	Down	+$1	09-23 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$200	101	100	+1	Down	+$1	09-02 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:20 UTC	2	$200	102	101	+1	Down	+$1	08-25 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:15 UTC	3	$199	100	99	+1	Down	+$0	09-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:40 UTC	2	$199	101	100	+1	Up	+$0	06-10 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 17:15 UTC	5	$199	101	100	+1	Down	+$0	08-21 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	8	$199	101	100	+1	Down	+$0	09-01 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 01:30 UTC	3	$199	100	99	+1	Up	+$0	07-16 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2,478	0¢	$2	0xeb6185…
10-25 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3,020	0¢	$3	0xb5a790…
10-25 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4,500	0¢	$4	0x6af467…
10-25 21:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x746857…
10-25 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6908cd…
10-24 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xd5e1f6…
10-24 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x860fc0…
10-24 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x01fe1d…
10-24 08:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x86fa2b…
10-23 14:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0438d…
10-23 09:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1765c…
10-23 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x017b2d…
10-22 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad66f5…
10-22 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7c0446…
10-22 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67384b…
10-22 01:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13e46d…
10-21 14:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x6fb683…
10-21 14:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x4a8feb…
10-21 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xdbc646…
10-21 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xef6347…
10-21 09:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x94862e…
10-20 22:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb00737…
10-20 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x508f89…
10-20 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3ee8d3…
10-20 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc89a54…
10-20 12:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x310405…
10-20 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x719826…
10-20 03:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x66968e…
10-19 18:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x42675b…
10-19 15:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xde9140…
10-19 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1e63c2…
10-19 14:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1c282a…
10-19 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0e258d…
10-19 11:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x522420…
10-19 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6f8baa…
10-19 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x143c7d…
10-19 08:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x82ec8b…
10-19 08:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b42df…
10-19 08:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1f097c…
10-19 04:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5753f6…
10-19 02:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3de88…
10-19 01:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x91edd5…
10-18 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x968810…
10-18 19:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5dffbd…
10-18 14:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8cced0…
10-18 14:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7bb2f4…
10-18 13:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd910b6…
10-18 09:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb22e6f…
10-18 01:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90ee62…
10-18 01:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x16ac15…
10-17 22:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d46ed…
10-17 21:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb12bdc…
10-16 19:56:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fcf84…
10-16 19:41:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xbcff17…
10-16 19:41:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0xc2b14c…
10-16 19:26:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2a2dc0…
10-16 17:56:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc5a30a…
10-16 17:41:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc0a4cd…
10-16 17:26:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb97e2a…
10-16 17:12:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x600430…
10-16 15:57:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x00174c…
10-16 15:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x25e7da…
10-16 14:56:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9df47c…
10-16 14:56:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x58af71…
10-16 14:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa89aea…
10-16 14:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2ce616…
10-16 14:26:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35b7d6…
10-16 14:11:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x54483c…
10-16 12:56:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9eb5ac…
10-16 12:26:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x0902f6…
10-16 12:11:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x39e49b…
10-16 11:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x6c4968…
10-16 10:41:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe942f…
10-16 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x26d07c…
10-16 04:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd13bb8…
10-16 03:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4e2b8c…
10-16 03:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf3fa04…
10-16 03:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x716045…
10-16 02:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8eb2ab…
10-16 01:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5c22b1…
10-15 23:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x326fac…
10-15 23:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x034621…
10-15 21:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x08c98f…
10-15 20:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab503d…
10-15 15:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xb07b51…
10-15 15:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x2475a4…
10-15 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0b7cfb…
10-15 14:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x48a6fd…
10-15 14:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x08fd59…
10-15 13:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcc2266…
10-15 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe7b82d…
10-15 13:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb62ce1…
10-15 12:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xc5e108…
10-15 12:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x7db4ce…
10-15 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf1f6c9…
10-15 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb66330…
10-15 08:11:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x977d41…
10-15 06:11:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfa4b09…
10-15 04:41:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x47e6a0…
10-15 04:41:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1fe55a…