Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$230

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,357

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 10-13 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

64% 42% +$86

Politics

25% 0% -$58

Tech

7% 100% +$201

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 710 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No		+5	$4	68¢	$3	$0	10-10 07:03
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+5	-$17	32¢	$2	+$19	10-13 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	91	$1.3K	2,085	1,730	+355	Yes	+$130	08-14 06:55
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	133	$1.1K	9,445	9,445	+0	open	—	10-11 08:08
will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	27	$899	899	517	+382	Yes	+$26	08-13 23:14
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	127	$835	4,290	4,280	+10	open	—	10-11 02:52
Will Sutume Kebede win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	47	$755	2,757	2,757	+0	No	-$17	10-10 15:51
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	52	$741	770	770	+0	open	—	08-28 09:27
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	115	$740	8,017	8,017	+0	open	—	10-11 08:02
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	46	$712	931	931	+0	No	-$10	10-11 05:07
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	15	$700	574	574	+0	open	—	10-11 03:02
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	30	$673	1,939	1,939	+0	Yes	+$72	10-10 18:44
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	36	$661	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	10-10 10:57
Will Juan Brunetta (Tigres UANL) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?	39	$654	2,596	2,586	+10	open	—	08-13 09:21
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	34	$610	845	845	+0	Yes	-$50	10-10 01:13
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	22	$580	700	700	+0	open	—	10-11 00:54
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	62	$566	3,947	3,947	+0	open	—	10-11 03:00
Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?	28	$547	836	836	+0	open	—	08-13 20:33
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?	17	$521	452	452	+0	open	—	10-11 01:35
will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	26	$505	702	536	+166	open	—	08-13 13:21
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	35	$495	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	10-10 07:03
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	23	$492	403	403	+0	Yes	+$7	08-13 14:38
Will Shaul Meridor be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	44	$450	1,878	1,878	+0	open	—	10-10 09:30
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	76	$428	2,632	2,632	-0	open	—	10-12 15:54
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	35	$421	1,399	1,399	+0	No	+$25	10-11 05:06
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	9	$420	535	535	+0	open	—	08-13 12:27
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	31	$420	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	10-11 11:33
nvda all time high by september 30 2026	12	$415	290	290	+0	No	-$8	08-14 03:20
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	20	$405	791	791	+0	open	—	10-09 20:35
will colorado have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194015143	25	$402	569	569	-0	open	—	08-14 11:14
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	68	$399	2,505	2,505	+0	open	—	10-11 04:43
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	41	$395	820	820	+0	open	—	08-13 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 07:09:43	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x22ca77…
10-13 04:55:35	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0456b1…
10-13 04:55:24	Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xfc484b…
10-13 04:55:15	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x213531…
10-13 04:55:11	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x3578e9…
10-12 22:52:08	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0xe7f210…
10-12 16:04:51	Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x93a135…
10-12 16:04:27	Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	204	3¢	$6	0x8384ec…
10-12 15:54:23	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x42a047…
10-12 15:54:14	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xa23989…
10-12 15:47:45	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb7ac12…
10-12 15:47:33	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x34dc2a…
10-12 15:45:38	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	664	5¢	$33	0x83786c…
10-12 15:43:15	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x7151f0…
10-12 15:43:08	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	130	6¢	$8	0x7e52ab…
10-12 15:42:18	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0e76c9…
10-12 15:15:26	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0xc15ca6…
10-12 15:13:47	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0b5218…
10-12 15:13:32	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x78d613…
10-12 15:12:00	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x14f078…
10-12 15:09:00	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x70dd59…
10-12 15:07:33	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	84	7¢	$6	0x61b3b3…
10-12 15:07:26	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd8fe6e…
10-12 15:07:12	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xf02346…
10-12 15:07:09	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x9bfaea…
10-12 15:06:51	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x7c9a5d…
10-12 15:06:41	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x21e61c…
10-12 15:06:33	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xac97bc…
10-12 15:06:30	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x174ef9…
10-12 15:06:26	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x987e6a…
10-12 15:06:20	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x7c6ae0…
10-12 15:05:47	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x48681d…
10-12 15:05:39	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0xb531ea…
10-12 15:05:33	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x40ed22…
10-12 15:04:29	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	84	7¢	$6	0xfe6e0b…
10-12 15:04:23	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0xa828f0…
10-12 15:02:32	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x638119…
10-12 15:02:05	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x99527c…
10-12 15:00:38	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x621206…
10-12 14:59:12	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0xa32616…
10-12 14:59:11	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1be337…
10-12 14:58:57	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	385	8¢	$32	0x8ba4a3…
10-12 14:58:51	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xf97e6f…
10-12 14:58:45	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	73	22¢	$16	0xefbe16…
10-12 14:58:30	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf4d086…
10-12 14:58:30	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	224	7¢	$16	0xc21d7a…
10-12 14:58:14	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x8b0852…
10-12 13:37:00	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x1f1e39…
10-12 13:19:56	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x1e2d4a…
10-12 13:19:09	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	95	8¢	$8	0xae8e2f…
10-12 02:58:15	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe6070c…
10-12 02:43:35	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x72abd0…
10-12 02:29:47	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xfaca8b…
10-12 01:34:23	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9a2604…
10-12 01:33:09	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xaaa93a…
10-12 01:33:08	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8cb521…
10-12 01:32:54	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x52d58f…
10-12 01:32:48	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	28¢	$38	0xb62e88…
10-12 01:32:47	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb6e468…
10-12 01:19:41	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x369ef7…
10-11 13:53:04	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x058f76…
10-11 11:38:09	Will Sharon Lokedi win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x3ca261…
10-11 11:34:42	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0xafe894…
10-11 11:33:51	Will Sharon Lokedi win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb86d1b…
10-11 11:33:45	Will Sharon Lokedi win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	Yes	SELL	352	27¢	$97	0xc14de2…
10-11 11:33:21	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0xcd6a87…
10-11 11:33:11	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	81	10¢	$8	0x44b803…
10-11 11:33:03	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xb5a2ae…
10-11 11:33:03	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	342	15¢	$51	0x51c0fa…
10-11 11:33:03	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0x28cbb4…
10-11 11:04:09	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x050d06…
10-11 09:24:16	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd18701…
10-11 09:23:24	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x6e7d54…
10-11 09:23:16	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x0b23a9…
10-11 09:18:22	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8b6904…
10-11 09:14:19	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xd06959…
10-11 09:14:18	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x106510…
10-11 09:02:15	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	340	9¢	$31	0xd7461d…
10-11 09:01:58	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x4adfee…
10-11 08:57:25	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x440962…
10-11 08:50:25	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x1c4643…
10-11 08:44:10	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x52564c…
10-11 08:43:51	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	129	9¢	$12	0x5fd419…
10-11 08:43:37	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x1831f2…
10-11 08:32:34	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0a18ed…
10-11 08:31:24	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	197	28¢	$56	0x5eaf42…
10-11 08:21:54	Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2e06dc…
10-11 08:21:18	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x8f35ab…
10-11 08:18:13	Will Sharon Lokedi win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x414115…
10-11 08:17:27	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0x91b2bc…
10-11 08:08:57	Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xb334b3…
10-11 08:08:33	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	995	4¢	$38	0x33f94a…
10-11 08:07:39	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb8e5ff…
10-11 08:07:33	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc0cfcc…
10-11 08:05:52	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x9d1255…
10-11 08:05:42	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xd306dc…
10-11 08:03:09	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xeea049…
10-11 08:02:55	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	488	3¢	$14	0x7ef848…
10-11 08:02:16	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x203f94…
10-11 08:01:55	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x22da84…