Blushing-Pain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

173

Trades

796

lifetime

Volume

$898

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 10-07 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% -$4

Other

10% 44% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	3	$26	368	0	+368	No	-$26	10-07 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	16	$18	17	10	+7	Up	-$1	05-31 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	9	$15	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	05-28 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	15	$15	27	9	+18	Down	-$3	05-31 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	10	$15	10	6	+4	Down	-$3	05-31 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	13	$13	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-31 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	7	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	09-04 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$12	9	6	+3	Up	+$1	05-28 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	12	$12	22	8	+14	Up	$0	05-31 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$11	8	8	+0	Up	$0	09-04 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	11	$11	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	05-31 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	11	$11	10	6	+4	Up	+$1	05-31 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	9	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	09-04 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$11	7	5	+2	Up	+$1	05-31 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	10	$11	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	09-04 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	11	$11	15	6	+8	Up	+$0	05-31 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	10	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-30 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$11	14	14	+0	No	-$5	10-06 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	10	$10	8	6	+2	Up	+$0	06-01 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	10	$10	13	3	+10	Down	-$1	05-31 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	10-06 05:43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	10-04 19:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	09-02 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	10	$10	13	6	+7	Up	+$1	05-31 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	9	$10	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-29 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	9	$9	119	3	+116	Up	+$10	05-31 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	10	$9	8	6	+2	Up	+$1	06-01 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	10	$9	7	6	+1	Down	+$0	06-01 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	10	$9	6	5	+1	Up	+$0	06-01 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	7	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-29 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 06:45:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7fff24…
10-07 06:28:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdfbc1c…
10-07 06:04:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6dff66…
10-06 11:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x9682ea…
10-06 06:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x389061…
10-06 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6d80ca…
10-06 06:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9b0b79…
10-06 06:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8edc34…
10-06 06:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f1a10…
10-06 06:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe1a79c…
10-06 06:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc822ef…
10-06 06:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8de9c3…
10-06 05:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbf2082…
10-05 19:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x372088…
10-05 19:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb7195c…
10-05 19:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x265628…
10-04 19:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2a4ace…
09-29 10:10:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf4ce40…
09-29 10:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xef7641…
09-29 10:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb63b28…
09-04 09:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8b3f35…
09-04 09:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xad89c9…
09-04 09:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xd0a6bf…
09-04 09:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xad918d…
09-04 09:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf05b52…
09-04 09:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x64138b…
09-04 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x378f96…
09-04 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xab094c…
09-04 09:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x62d578…
09-04 09:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xb30e1b…
09-04 09:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x829f99…
09-04 09:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x3c7446…
09-04 09:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x229278…
09-04 09:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x46a098…
09-04 09:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67ba15…
09-04 09:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x3ae52f…
09-04 09:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x424fdf…
09-04 09:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc1d057…
09-04 09:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8421a…
09-04 09:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0x103b5f…
09-04 09:11:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6e105d…
09-04 09:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x4fe3a0…
09-04 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x90a13d…
09-04 09:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3965ee…
09-04 09:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcd89e8…
09-04 09:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5674ee…
09-04 09:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xe2bd63…
09-04 09:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa1e517…
09-04 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4800dd…
09-04 09:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x46c29d…
09-04 09:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x593296…
09-04 09:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x3fa37a…
09-04 09:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x047b32…
09-04 09:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e8472…
09-04 09:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x36534c…
09-04 08:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x1eb9bc…
09-04 08:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x990396…
09-04 08:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xff1340…
09-04 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x259345…
09-04 08:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd0353e…
09-04 08:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c3a7d…
09-04 08:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0f9f6e…
09-04 08:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x327a9c…
09-04 08:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaaab7f…
09-04 08:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x363496…
09-04 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb5f8a7…
09-04 08:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xaca552…
09-04 08:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7ea28a…
09-04 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc611d…
09-04 08:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x22ef52…
09-04 08:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x26fce8…
09-04 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd96fd9…
09-04 07:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf43560…
09-04 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6aeae5…
09-04 07:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x16b68f…
09-04 07:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe99336…
09-04 07:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3fb9c8…
09-03 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd3ee03…
09-03 19:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb4e44a…
09-03 19:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x843144…
09-03 19:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7961d6…
09-03 13:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x05efd4…
09-03 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x478321…
09-03 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x93ce21…
09-03 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf229af…
09-03 12:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x70946b…
09-03 12:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x34e40e…
09-02 19:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x73cdbb…
09-02 19:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeec865…
09-02 19:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x65d59c…
09-02 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeaedf1…
09-02 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x2fe6dc…
09-02 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7c9ada…
09-02 18:18:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2ea7f1…
09-02 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x542bdf…
09-02 11:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8bc39c…
09-02 11:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b0416…
09-02 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe19566…
09-02 11:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4fd108…
09-02 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf2116c…