Impeccable-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$349

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$51.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-03 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 56% $-105

Other

20% 33% $-244

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	2	$1.6K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	06-17 21:58
epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	2	$1.0K	754	740	+14	open	—	04-21 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776729900	5	$959	593	579	+14	open	—	04-21 00:09
btc updown 5m 1776719100	7	$902	918	731	+187	open	—	04-20 21:08
btc updown 5m 1776731400	6	$858	930	782	+148	open	—	04-21 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$857	602	584	+17	open	—	04-25 23:15
btc updown 5m 1776769500	2	$821	555	536	+19	open	—	04-21 11:10
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	2	$760	510	510	+0	open	—	06-13 23:13
btc updown 5m 1776717900	9	$753	739	533	+206	open	—	04-20 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776722100	4	$697	532	516	+17	open	—	04-20 21:58
btc updown 5m 1776729600	5	$584	391	378	+13	open	—	04-21 00:05
btc updown 5m 1776731700	6	$561	396	384	+12	open	—	04-21 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776716400	6	$552	831	353	+478	open	—	04-20 20:23
btc updown 5m 1776726900	6	$547	561	355	+206	open	—	04-20 23:19
btc updown 5m 1776759900	3	$543	543	385	+158	open	—	04-21 08:28
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	2	$536	467	467	+0	open	—	06-13 01:56
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$534	499	499	+0	open	—	06-09 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776732900	1	$523	968	0	+968	open	—	04-21 00:55
btc updown 5m 1776895200	7	$514	392	380	+12	open	—	04-22 22:03
btc updown 5m 1776726600	2	$513	445	422	+22	open	—	04-20 23:14
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	2	$501	550	550	+0	open	—	06-12 21:39
btc updown 5m 1776723300	3	$486	450	427	+23	open	—	04-20 22:17
btc updown 5m 1776727500	7	$486	408	289	+119	open	—	04-20 23:29
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	1	$478	811	0	+811	open	—	06-02 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$461	305	305	+0	Down	+$144	05-10 21:55
btc updown 5m 1776722700	4	$456	407	388	+18	open	—	04-20 22:08
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	2	$456	306	306	+0	open	—	06-15 20:58
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$449	881	0	+881	open	—	06-14 22:07
btc updown 5m 1776765900	4	$440	284	277	+7	open	—	04-21 10:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$434	343	343	+0	open	—	04-21 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 20:01:49	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 shots emam ashour gte3	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0xe68c3f…
07-03 16:16:26	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 shots emam ashour gte3	Yes	BUY	110	21¢	$23	0xc4625a…
07-03 16:15:55	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 goals mohamed salah gte1	Yes	BUY	242	31¢	$75	0x8a0e15…
07-01 19:13:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	125	47¢	$59	0x44bd64…
07-01 17:54:37	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0x26da66…
07-01 17:51:07	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0x4231bf…
07-01 17:42:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	194	49¢	$95	0x342623…
06-30 19:53:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	672	32¢	$215	0x005ac4…
06-20 22:41:35	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	416	40¢	$166	0x3c9111…
06-19 14:03:38	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	560	52¢	$291	0x6ce9a9…
06-17 22:06:13	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0xf76a5e…
06-17 21:58:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	1,087	100¢	$1,086	0x481a8a…
06-17 19:41:43	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	1,087	50¢	$543	0x3bf5ab…
06-15 21:09:18	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts first half	Yes	BUY	169	16¢	$27	0x7ede7c…
06-15 20:58:28	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x89132d…
06-15 18:57:25	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	349	51¢	$178	0x5c7383…
06-15 18:38:28	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	301	26¢	$78	0xf56a58…
06-15 06:43:36	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	255	49¢	$125	0x1074c8…
06-15 06:43:15	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x71fd89…
06-14 22:07:07	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	881	51¢	$449	0x63438c…
06-14 22:01:34	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts first half	Yes	BUY	523	15¢	$80	0xa95846…
06-14 00:17:13	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	192	36¢	$69	0x659b53…
06-14 00:13:28	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	211	47¢	$99	0x36167f…
06-13 23:13:03	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	SELL	510	100¢	$510	0x8bd8aa…
06-13 07:03:18	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	240	56¢	$135	0x650b43…
06-13 06:53:51	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	240	57¢	$137	0x41c990…
06-13 06:53:07	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x40949f…
06-13 02:30:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	229	38¢	$87	0x1160f0…
06-13 01:56:42	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x291334…
06-13 01:56:33	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0x6ca3cf…
06-12 23:59:31	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	467	15¢	$70	0x178dc9…
06-12 22:11:30	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 goals christian pulisic gte1	Yes	BUY	314	28¢	$88	0x4b80ce…
06-12 22:10:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	191	48¢	$92	0xca9d0a…
06-12 21:57:55	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	130	38¢	$49	0x06b2f2…
06-12 21:39:45	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	SELL	550	45¢	$248	0x5374d8…
06-12 21:03:45	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	550	46¢	$253	0x230e41…
06-12 09:59:58	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	191	49¢	$93	0xb8cad3…
06-12 09:59:13	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	319	47¢	$150	0xc5da05…
06-09 21:45:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	499	53¢	$264	0xfeca12…
06-09 11:34:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	499	54¢	$269	0x4dae1a…
06-02 13:43:59	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	811	59¢	$478	0xc18f23…
06-02 13:43:33	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x3a17bc…
05-29 23:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	213	49¢	$104	0x7f9499…
05-29 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x446001…
05-29 23:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	137	88¢	$121	0xca61a9…
05-29 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x51e0ab…
05-29 22:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0xf27e76…
05-24 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x6dabaa…
05-24 21:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe6766c…
05-24 21:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x72c0d9…
05-24 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd5c0e5…
05-24 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xd5c517…
05-24 21:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0xa19e2e…
05-24 21:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0f8ded…
05-24 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x73dd66…
05-24 21:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7e94ce…
05-24 21:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x780981…
05-24 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	154	93¢	$144	0x5f3a66…
05-24 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	277	12¢	$33	0x34d815…
05-24 21:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x4b875d…
05-24 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xbfbfac…
05-24 21:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe56c93…
05-24 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x2db3c2…
05-24 21:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x4a0de2…
05-24 21:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x3e4939…
05-24 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x615d2e…
05-10 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0x25384e…
05-10 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x54f95f…
05-10 21:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xdc03ab…
05-10 21:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	305	99¢	$302	0xeb6c4e…
05-10 21:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	124	47¢	$58	0x9b432e…
05-10 21:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x7f4a34…
05-10 21:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	164	54¢	$88	0x3d7888…
05-10 20:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8b1fd6…
05-07 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	378	66¢	$250	0xe6e315…
05-07 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x58de8b…
05-07 20:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	165	98¢	$161	0x75cb3b…
05-07 20:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x45ddab…
05-07 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x4fb11a…
05-07 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	188	98¢	$185	0x4c01a4…
05-07 20:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	188	64¢	$120	0x55653c…
05-07 19:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	22¢	$25	0x798d4f…
05-07 19:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x199033…
05-07 19:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x116b8d…
05-07 19:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xcd3330…
05-07 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	148	93¢	$137	0x364766…
05-07 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x47d48b…
05-07 19:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xf0d3c2…
05-07 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0xf04756…
05-07 18:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0x776295…
05-05 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	171	64¢	$109	0xaa0312…
05-05 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	227	4¢	$9	0x8fcfd6…
05-05 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xec668b…
05-05 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xa66a38…
05-05 20:37:12	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	211	11¢	$23	0xd97b24…
05-05 20:34:54	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xa07abe…
05-05 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x1b66cd…
05-05 17:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	143	26¢	$37	0x64cf5e…
05-05 17:47:34	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	211	52¢	$110	0xa0406a…
05-05 17:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x8de120…