Firsthand-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

1,355

Trades

2,807

lifetime

Volume

$67.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-27 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

49% 57% -$711

Sports

36% 43% -$955

Crypto

10% 44% -$147

Politics

4% 50% -$101

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes		+9	$12	22¢	$2	-$10	10-27 15:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	-$1	03-03 07:45
mlb sea mil 2026 08 20	3	$798	3,250	3,250	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$438	08-20 19:37
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	8	$666	333	333	+0	No	$0	02-25 07:42
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	7	$616	1,541	1,245	+296	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$249	08-23 22:54
mlb stl ari 2026 07 19	3	$608	934	934	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$418	07-19 23:01
mlb oak kc 2026 08 20	5	$605	6,606	3,000	+3,606	Kansas City Royals	+$86	08-20 21:01
mlb stl cin 2026 08 20	6	$592	1,727	1,673	+53	St. Louis Cardinals	+$462	08-20 19:40
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$580	292	292	+0	No	$0	03-12 05:57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies	7	$551	1,706	1,706	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$192	08-23 20:14
mlb lad pit 2026 06 11	11	$490	1,764	1,621	+143	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$160	06-12 01:45
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$455	230	230	+0	No	$0	03-03 17:59
atp kjaer molcan 2026 03 02	3	$430	303	244	+59	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	-$15	03-02 19:55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	13	$411	1,842	374	+1,469	Cleveland Guardians	-$5	10-13 03:00
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$409	208	208	+0	No	+$0	04-16 05:45
wta stearns birrell 2026 02 28	4	$405	321	321	+0	Peyton Stearns	-$35	02-28 21:19
wta cengiz salkova 2026 03 10	4	$387	255	255	+0	Dominika Salkova	+$41	03-10 10:18
wta andrees zarazua 2026 03 11	5	$385	685	531	+154	Bianca Andreescu	-$97	03-11 18:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$381	192	192	+0	No	$0	02-23 13:42
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$355	329	329	+0	Yes	-$31	02-22 17:43
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$354	359	0	+359	No	+$5	02-26 21:06
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	4	$334	550	550	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$134	09-16 00:31
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers	8	$331	736	736	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$131	06-14 01:58
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	2	$325	163	163	+0	No	$0	02-22 20:57
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	7	$319	2,910	222	+2,687	New York Mets	-$31	09-07 20:03
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 06 11	6	$318	240	240	+0	Team Falcons	+$48	06-11 18:07
mlb atl mil 2026 08 21	6	$315	841	714	+127	Milwaukee Brewers	+$71	08-21 22:27
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals	6	$314	344	344	+0	Houston Astros	+$54	06-14 00:31
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	8	$310	2,801	2,041	+760	Chicago Cubs	+$58	09-15 02:00
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	2	$307	431	431	+0	New York Yankees	+$107	08-23 18:45
mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	8	$305	1,557	489	+1,068	New York Mets	-$12	08-11 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:16:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x104285…
10-14 00:41:37	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	2,038	1¢	$22	0xee332c…
10-14 00:34:03	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc258c2…
10-14 00:33:39	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	345	1¢	$3	0xf6509f…
10-14 00:30:13	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	805	2¢	$13	0x2e10bf…
10-14 00:26:19	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	436	3¢	$15	0x233350…
10-14 00:25:33	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	1,119	1¢	$15	0x728060…
10-13 20:28:34	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	173	5¢	$8	0x1d0547…
10-13 20:23:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	117	72¢	$84	0x6b19e4…
10-13 19:40:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	117	37¢	$43	0x3d0b59…
10-13 19:21:21	Exact Score: Viking FK 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xf7c4af…
10-13 03:00:57	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0x860146…
10-13 02:52:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xf8e9d5…
10-13 02:50:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x970737…
10-13 02:42:35	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x22fab8…
10-13 02:36:36	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xbbad90…
10-13 02:25:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x7a9974…
10-13 02:19:57	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x69dbbe…
10-13 02:19:17	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	93	75¢	$70	0x8a9f11…
10-13 02:18:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	93	52¢	$49	0x72a21e…
10-13 02:00:39	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	187	45¢	$84	0x92276a…
10-13 01:54:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x1404c8…
10-13 01:17:00	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	113	15¢	$17	0x3c608c…
10-13 01:16:38	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	517	15¢	$78	0x3fc4b3…
10-13 00:41:45	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x669b2f…
10-13 00:11:57	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	176	4¢	$7	0xa80baf…
10-13 00:09:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0174fc…
10-13 00:02:32	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3b302c…
10-12 23:51:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1c33ca…
10-12 23:45:44	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x63f23e…
10-12 23:33:47	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0xfa1a36…
10-12 23:26:17	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	118	62¢	$73	0xb4c7db…
10-12 22:53:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x72a3f8…
10-11 22:42:17	Lions vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	939	1¢	$9	0x29fc6a…
10-11 22:41:35	Lions vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	964	1¢	$9	0x1d47e6…
10-11 22:33:41	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	SELL	179	40¢	$72	0xc5ce85…
10-11 22:26:53	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6a78de…
10-11 22:25:38	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7b2eb2…
10-11 22:23:14	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xb1ef6e…
10-11 19:47:36	Colts vs. Steelers	Steelers	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x625fe8…
10-11 19:29:45	Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	BUY	458	0¢	$2	0x1c0bfb…
10-11 19:19:43	Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x929bbb…
10-11 18:51:42	Colts vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1a8f90…
10-11 18:48:57	Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	BUY	581	4¢	$25	0x3cbf88…
10-11 14:35:48	Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	316	3¢	$10	0x22fa44…
10-11 14:13:10	Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x28016a…
10-11 14:13:00	Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9dcaf0…
10-11 14:12:52	Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xac4566…
10-11 14:02:22	Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x61a7ff…
10-09 17:47:32	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	517	17¢	$88	0x227a87…
10-09 17:44:47	Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	1,005	1¢	$10	0xd41e0b…
09-17 02:13:15	San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	517	2¢	$12	0x86555d…
09-17 02:04:18	San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	450	10¢	$45	0xaffbe8…
09-17 01:48:19	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	Atlanta Braves	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x450192…
09-17 01:38:43	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	Atlanta Braves	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b4e59…
09-17 01:38:27	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	Atlanta Braves	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0xf39b67…
09-17 01:37:22	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	215	5¢	$10	0xf2cd3c…
09-17 01:37:03	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc4269d…
09-17 01:34:01	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xda1492…
09-17 01:27:45	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x480282…
09-17 01:24:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs	Atlanta Braves	BUY	401	4¢	$16	0x80097b…
09-17 01:17:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x2c86c5…
09-17 01:12:07	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0xf5d80f…
09-17 01:07:30	Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Athletics	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xabf170…
09-17 00:51:36	Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Athletics	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x326e7a…
09-17 00:01:25	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0x27b7d0…
09-16 23:13:36	Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Athletics	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xb2c5b3…
09-16 23:06:10	Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Athletics	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x34c267…
09-16 23:02:46	Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Athletics	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0x8e5e30…
09-16 23:00:25	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc9f607…
09-16 21:38:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x502c68…
09-16 21:37:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x3c47b6…
09-16 21:34:42	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x997534…
09-16 20:51:03	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x130765…
09-16 20:43:49	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x80a1b1…
09-16 20:43:49	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	SELL	95	73¢	$69	0x4ecff2…
09-16 20:43:49	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x4c330d…
09-16 20:22:33	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	SELL	102	59¢	$60	0xcfc107…
09-16 20:11:54	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xc88f18…
09-16 20:05:48	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5cf8be…
09-16 20:01:52	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xba0f4c…
09-16 02:29:00	Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros	Kansas City Royals	BUY	266	4¢	$10	0xff9a1f…
09-16 01:50:06	San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	557	3¢	$15	0x5dcc37…
09-16 01:47:19	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8c6c64…
09-16 01:47:13	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xddc836…
09-16 01:36:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	848	1¢	$10	0x08edbb…
09-16 01:10:48	San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	667	9¢	$60	0x796c02…
09-16 00:54:19	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	508	1¢	$5	0xcacaa9…
09-16 00:53:55	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x6a0829…
09-16 00:53:34	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x85804e…
09-16 00:31:24	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	SELL	83	73¢	$61	0x011b89…
09-16 00:30:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x67b6d2…
09-16 00:22:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x04a553…
09-16 00:22:25	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	137	28¢	$38	0x428289…
09-16 00:22:13	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xcd6e18…
09-16 00:14:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	533	15¢	$80	0x38e335…
09-16 00:06:34	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	147	19¢	$28	0x6c291a…
09-16 00:04:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x6b6d97…
09-15 23:58:07	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x9fc0b2…
09-15 23:56:58	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	SELL	467	37¢	$173	0xd98105…