Nimble-Endothelium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-19 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 71% +$15

Politics

21% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-20	-$20	99¢	$-20	$0	09-24 09:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No		+12	$11	92¢	$11	+$0	10-19 08:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$943	500	500	+0	open	—	08-31 12:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 13:00 UTC	19	$274	210	203	+7	Up	+$63	04-14 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 13:00 UTC	12	$252	200	193	+7	Up	+$56	04-16 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	12	$237	200	197	+3	Up	+$34	04-15 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 13:00 UTC	11	$170	160	156	+4	Up	+$5	04-13 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:00 UTC	14	$163	200	198	+2	Down	+$15	04-21 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	18	$147	180	169	+11	Up	+$58	05-04 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC	10	$119	100	97	+3	Up	+$18	04-22 13:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 13:00 UTC	4	$105	118	115	+4	Up	-$16	04-17 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	9	$83	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	09-23 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:00 UTC	16	$77	200	0	+200	Down	-$77	04-20 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$70	45	45	+0	Up	+$10	10-12 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:00 UTC	2	$69	160	0	+160	Down	-$69	04-23 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$68	44	44	+0	Down	+$8	10-13 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$67	47	47	+0	Up	+$7	10-19 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$66	50	50	+0	Up	+$14	04-27 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	5	$64	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	09-23 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$63	54	32	+22	Up	-$17	10-19 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$61	34	34	+0	Up	+$1	10-19 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$60	50	50	+0	Up	+$19	05-01 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	4	$58	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	09-23 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$57	43	43	+0	Down	+$17	10-19 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$45	77	0	+77	Up	-$45	10-19 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$45	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	09-23 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$42	25	25	+0	Up	+$2	10-13 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	4	$41	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	09-28 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$41	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	10-12 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	2	$41	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	10-14 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	09-23 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$41	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	10-12 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 11:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x4a917f…
10-19 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0x9075b3…
10-19 11:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x518377…
10-19 11:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x0a7801…
10-19 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x8e741c…
10-19 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x75549e…
10-19 11:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	66¢	$21	0xb6bc84…
10-19 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xfad9b7…
10-19 11:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x038d71…
10-19 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x24a456…
10-19 11:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0xcafc6c…
10-19 11:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x54a171…
10-19 09:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x87d1c7…
10-19 09:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xa3d2d1…
10-19 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x0dd9de…
10-19 09:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xb3e11a…
10-19 09:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf976d2…
10-19 08:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0xbe75d3…
10-19 08:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb33346…
10-19 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x03729a…
10-19 08:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x483ba5…
10-19 08:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x2387ec…
10-19 08:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xe1d73e…
10-19 08:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x9d512a…
10-19 08:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0x3deaf8…
10-19 08:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x95cbeb…
10-19 08:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x97c909…
10-19 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x09f326…
10-19 08:29:57	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xfc0a3a…
10-14 07:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$12	0xbcf63a…
10-14 07:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbb17a4…
10-14 07:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xd19df6…
10-14 07:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x00e265…
10-14 07:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xa84a5b…
10-14 07:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2e1081…
10-14 07:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xb4d081…
10-14 07:02:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x6201a8…
10-14 06:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x03c463…
10-14 06:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0x287d4e…
10-14 06:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x818230…
10-14 06:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xfa40f0…
10-14 06:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2bc76a…
10-13 08:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xeb88d5…
10-13 08:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd14e48…
10-13 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1f7e56…
10-13 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xe3ec0a…
10-13 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6f5e0f…
10-13 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xa3ed52…
10-13 08:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe43b95…
10-13 08:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0xb29f0b…
10-13 08:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xaa0fcb…
10-12 13:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xd1deef…
10-12 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6ee828…
10-12 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd79cdf…
10-12 13:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x8582d5…
10-12 13:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9d7483…
10-12 13:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0x0d15c6…
10-12 13:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf3103f…
10-12 13:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xce250e…
10-12 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x836bda…
10-12 13:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xfbfa28…
10-12 13:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3b4253…
10-12 13:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x14846f…
10-12 13:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6b15a6…
10-10 15:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x98f268…
10-10 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x42432c…
10-10 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xb30ed8…
10-10 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x965333…
09-28 12:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xedece8…
09-28 12:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8e199b…
09-28 12:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xc17494…
09-28 12:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf90c54…
09-25 08:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xd6b7d7…
09-25 08:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x348335…
09-24 09:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x20bc77…
09-24 09:17:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9c035f…
09-24 09:07:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc134f6…
09-23 12:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x793c4c…
09-23 12:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6702ed…
09-23 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6c1a66…
09-23 11:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x4b3131…
09-23 11:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8e9491…
09-23 11:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd313b1…
09-23 11:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x782e83…
09-23 11:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0x391591…
09-23 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xac10fb…
09-23 11:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0xef6a27…
09-23 11:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7fea9a…
09-23 11:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0a8901…
09-23 09:59:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x53ded7…
09-23 09:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbfa5f6…
09-23 09:58:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xc8d91e…
09-23 09:57:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdeea37…
09-23 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xc8fbc4…
09-23 08:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd8fa8d…
09-23 08:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0xa180c0…
09-23 08:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9e9921…
09-23 08:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xebb457…
09-23 08:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe1a857…
09-23 08:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x3fb545…