Both-Millet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,071

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-19 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Sports

18% — —

Politics

6% 0% $-25

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 27c	29	$800	549	542	+7	open	—	04-05 08:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	8	$746	816	816	+0	open	—	04-17 14:41
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	37	$745	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	17	$658	802	924	-122	open	—	03-19 01:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	13	$652	900	900	+0	open	—	04-03 18:50
nba min bos 2026 03 22	2	$644	345	345	+0	open	—	03-23 02:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	23	$641	600	600	+0	open	—	03-20 17:38
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	26	$641	1,143	1,141	+2	open	—	04-14 16:04
nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	3	$624	350	350	+0	open	—	03-22 02:21
nba bos mem 2026 03 20	2	$570	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 02:28
nba por den 2026 04 06	11	$529	516	487	+29	open	—	04-07 03:42
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	34	$466	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	03-24 15:28
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	5	$453	500	500	+0	open	—	03-13 12:16
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	6	$452	238	238	+0	open	—	03-14 06:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	22	$418	600	600	+0	open	—	05-19 06:29
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	15	$389	800	677	+123	open	—	03-24 15:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 17corbelow	4	$369	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 09:18
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	6	$359	327	327	+0	open	—	03-06 15:30
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 08:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$354	283	283	+0	open	—	04-20 09:18
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	38	$322	800	800	+0	open	—	04-07 15:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	8	$321	191	190	+2	open	—	04-13 11:50
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	3	$315	180	179	+1	open	—	04-07 02:29
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	18	$313	1,306	943	+364	open	—	04-06 08:51
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	5	$310	250	250	+0	open	—	03-08 15:39
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	20	$310	600	600	+0	open	—	04-14 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$307	455	455	+0	open	—	04-17 18:01
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 13:40
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	03-13 16:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	7	$263	216	300	-84	open	—	03-13 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:49:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf0eb8b…
07-19 21:49:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x4ecd60…
07-19 21:49:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xba3d76…
07-19 21:48:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x3308fc…
07-19 21:48:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x314681…
07-19 21:48:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x1f7aa2…
07-19 21:48:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x4680c3…
07-19 21:37:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	68	40¢	$27	0xf3efe1…
07-19 16:25:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0xb7e2ed…
07-17 16:38:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x1a157f…
07-17 16:17:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x854b4e…
07-17 06:01:18	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x3da352…
07-15 21:00:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xdf265e…
07-15 20:57:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xd804d1…
07-15 20:51:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x65aa44…
07-15 20:50:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdecebc…
07-15 16:42:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xb3e1f2…
07-15 16:37:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0faad7…
07-15 16:37:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa30bef…
07-15 00:08:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb79369…
07-14 18:39:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xba0660…
07-14 18:34:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x4d48fc…
07-14 18:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xe6c279…
07-08 08:51:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3a7f25…
06-14 06:56:09	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x78a8d0…
06-11 01:26:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x93fcf1…
06-04 01:17:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	81	71¢	$57	0xaa8462…
06-04 01:17:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0x49ab27…
06-03 20:41:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xbef1a4…
06-03 20:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	162	17¢	$28	0x6a5a7c…
06-01 19:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xfbf388…
06-01 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xc235bb…
06-01 19:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7876e9…
06-01 19:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x310154…
06-01 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x72ed19…
06-01 19:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb7456e…
06-01 19:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x57138d…
06-01 19:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	92¢	$15	0x9bb484…
06-01 19:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6b7092…
06-01 19:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1c9d39…
06-01 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3fdcb6…
06-01 18:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe2b9fb…
06-01 18:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x3de0a5…
06-01 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x63eb64…
06-01 18:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x88a732…
06-01 18:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x09dfe1…
06-01 18:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3e65c0…
06-01 17:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x1ad09f…
06-01 17:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x44ca93…
06-01 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x6305e4…
06-01 17:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x22333e…
06-01 17:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93a82c…
06-01 17:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf333d5…
06-01 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x425b98…
06-01 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x3ae2e7…
06-01 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd1f006…
06-01 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfb3ebe…
06-01 07:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	486	26¢	$126	0x70eabf…
05-30 13:53:51	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xeb6650…
05-30 13:53:51	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7ff262…
05-30 13:53:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xf796d3…
05-30 13:53:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x8be2b2…
05-30 11:21:15	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x067a08…
05-21 03:50:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0x9a7df7…
05-21 02:55:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	201	1¢	$2	0xd876ae…
05-20 14:18:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xfb661b…
05-19 15:44:28	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Hugo Gaston	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x98ccf0…
05-19 15:40:31	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	SELL	51	61¢	$31	0xa937e6…
05-19 15:33:14	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x22a5d5…
05-19 14:35:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	212	10¢	$21	0x63a600…
05-19 14:33:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	88	10¢	$9	0xcd8a29…
05-19 13:58:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	18¢	$37	0xd3ed72…
05-19 06:29:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	192	5¢	$10	0x2bb7d4…
05-19 06:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	208	5¢	$11	0xe14e16…
05-07 08:01:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0x99f3a4…
05-06 08:50:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x1a22ef…
05-03 21:10:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xdd91d1…
05-03 20:53:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	28¢	$14	0xee0d72…
05-03 10:42:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x454957…
05-03 07:20:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf13d44…
05-03 07:18:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xa93fcd…
05-02 22:42:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2e5dc3…
05-02 11:56:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x49ce2f…
05-02 09:31:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x6bf8ea…
05-02 08:10:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1d59df…
05-01 13:17:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x6c27ae…
05-01 08:32:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0xb9a3e0…
05-01 08:30:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xc3e1e0…
05-01 08:22:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x696cff…
05-01 08:14:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x17100b…
05-01 08:14:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xaad23a…
04-28 10:08:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	17¢	$14	0x3746d5…
04-28 10:08:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb32763…
04-28 07:29:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x5ef468…
04-28 07:02:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$19	0xaffe5c…
04-27 13:37:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x21b6aa…
04-27 13:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	91	40¢	$37	0x0194a8…
04-27 10:45:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	44¢	$24	0x163623…
04-27 10:40:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5463d…
04-27 10:35:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7c7d1c…