Positive-Tolerant-Vault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

212

Trades

3,273

lifetime

Volume

$434.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 07-24 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

100% 60% +$5,245

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 50% -$14

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	31	$35.5K	35,042	1,271	+33,771	Yes	+$21	06-02 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	20	$32.8K	32,860	154	+32,706	Yes	+$139	06-12 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	71	$32.7K	31,260	1,849	+29,411	Yes	-$234	06-23 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	31	$32.3K	31,312	2,210	+29,102	No	-$1	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	9	$28.5K	28,511	0	+28,511	Yes	+$40	05-25 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	71	$26.6K	31,392	10,837	+20,555	No	-$99	05-26 16:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	66	$25.5K	26,571	3,704	+22,867	Yes	+$215	06-30 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	39	$25.2K	25,407	400	+25,007	Yes	+$195	06-19 18:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	61	$21.6K	21,959	360	+21,599	Yes	+$192	06-26 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	37	$21.2K	22,792	1,892	+20,900	Yes	+$124	07-10 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	85	$18.9K	18,709	664	+18,045	Yes	+$100	06-05 18:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	44	$15.3K	10,566	6,708	+3,858	Yes	-$481	05-29 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	41	$9.2K	7,666	1,642	+6,024	Yes	-$4	05-22 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	14	$8.6K	7,096	1,703	+5,393	No	-$56	07-11 15:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	10	$6.3K	6,282	100	+6,182	Yes	+$29	07-06 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	58	$4.7K	39,633	10,579	+29,054	No	-$1,397	07-07 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	8	$4.7K	4,776	0	+4,776	No	+$85	05-22 00:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	10	$3.9K	3,283	688	+2,595	No	+$75	06-03 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	12	$3.8K	3,622	265	+3,357	Yes	-$6	07-11 15:23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	13	$3.8K	3,575	320	+3,255	No	+$42	06-07 16:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	33	$3.6K	4,278	1,080	+3,198	Yes	+$369	07-03 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	73	$3.6K	5,164	5,255	-91	No	-$76	05-29 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	42	$3.4K	1,938	4,618	-2,680	No	+$102	06-04 02:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	17	$2.7K	2,844	121	+2,722	Yes	+$98	07-08 15:53
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	8	$2.7K	2,734	0	+2,734	No	+$32	06-05 22:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	25	$2.7K	3,817	8,280	-4,464	No	+$333	07-09 23:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	19	$2.6K	3,413	1,403	+2,010	Yes	-$192	06-09 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	58	$2.5K	11,237	9,987	+1,250	No	+$578	06-02 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	33	$2.4K	4,232	6,232	-2,000	No	+$128	06-05 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	10	$2.2K	6,250	6,250	+0	No	+$92	05-24 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 04:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$171	0x12bb36…
07-24 04:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	293	86¢	$251	0xa401f7…
07-22 08:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x7c48e5…
07-22 08:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	236	92¢	$217	0xc836ee…
07-21 17:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	518	99¢	$515	0x273661…
07-21 13:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc8183d…
07-20 06:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x100334…
07-20 06:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	375	97¢	$363	0xd7e9ea…
07-20 05:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	185	87¢	$162	0x6c017d…
07-20 05:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	342	96¢	$330	0xf78ffb…
07-20 04:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xe679da…
07-20 03:11:43	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xb60724…
07-19 00:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x69f24c…
07-18 20:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x6a710d…
07-18 17:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdb92cd…
07-17 07:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xd7a100…
07-17 06:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x3ef459…
07-17 06:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0xfeaa6f…
07-17 06:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	48¢	$53	0x6483d8…
07-17 06:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$1	0x55bde0…
07-17 00:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$13	0x1fa5c2…
07-17 00:19:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x1d526a…
07-16 13:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xe79d0e…
07-16 13:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x4a3f7d…
07-16 12:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x14daa4…
07-16 12:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x8428e1…
07-16 11:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x197a5a…
07-16 04:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xe3956d…
07-15 18:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x204e88…
07-15 15:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x470e49…
07-15 15:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xc509de…
07-15 15:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0x542623…
07-15 13:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xa26026…
07-15 13:59:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,009	1¢	$16	0x39db8d…
07-15 13:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xfc1b91…
07-15 13:18:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0xeb39c1…
07-15 13:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5668fd…
07-15 11:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2e9c4f…
07-15 03:29:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	3¢	$7	0xc1ad6c…
07-15 03:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xaf18f1…
07-15 03:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x369d10…
07-15 02:56:05	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xcb76f1…
07-15 02:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x83833b…
07-15 02:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	9¢	$22	0xb28226…
07-15 02:32:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x5c0a4a…
07-15 02:32:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	687	8¢	$55	0x7a98cf…
07-15 02:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x5cb392…
07-15 02:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2112bc…
07-15 02:28:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xbd6bcf…
07-15 02:09:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x5049e3…
07-15 02:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x670f09…
07-15 02:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x23fbbb…
07-15 02:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa7fabf…
07-15 02:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0xbb74aa…
07-15 02:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x07790b…
07-15 01:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xda5674…
07-14 23:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xdde391…
07-14 23:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x7fcf99…
07-14 23:20:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x606875…
07-14 23:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	6¢	$8	0x7a8b27…
07-14 15:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,306	0¢	$1	0x4506d8…
07-14 15:55:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,592	0¢	$3	0x9e207b…
07-14 15:52:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x3642a5…
07-14 15:06:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x5b4c0c…
07-14 15:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	14¢	$32	0x4eac0e…
07-14 06:52:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	479	11¢	$53	0xc9d2d0…
07-14 06:17:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0x67d5ad…
07-14 03:34:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x711d07…
07-14 03:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x9849e7…
07-14 03:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x836475…
07-14 03:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xf7112f…
07-14 03:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$6	0x26075f…
07-13 23:49:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0x700445…
07-13 21:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	6¢	$9	0xc86b39…
07-13 21:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb3d80f…
07-13 12:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	10¢	$25	0x61756d…
07-13 12:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ead2c…
07-13 06:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	17¢	$30	0xc34731…
07-13 05:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66a53c…
07-13 05:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x010d11…
07-13 05:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x6de426…
07-13 04:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	9¢	$24	0x18e4c6…
07-13 01:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa9ab97…
07-13 01:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	7¢	$12	0x6c3c96…
07-12 15:37:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	8¢	$19	0x68300d…
07-12 15:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xb8cfcc…
07-12 15:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x168a3d…
07-12 10:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5898ad…
07-12 10:29:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	5¢	$20	0x35d426…
07-12 08:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	14¢	$16	0xfa1ca3…
07-12 07:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xf69432…
07-12 07:33:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x3aff96…
07-12 07:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0xf2edfe…
07-12 06:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x8d0bc0…
07-12 06:42:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x2430e5…
07-12 05:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x7ea5d1…
07-12 05:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	917	2¢	$14	0x99770c…
07-12 05:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x8415eb…
07-12 03:37:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x193d69…
07-12 01:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	6¢	$9	0x6f991c…