Superficial-Partridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$75

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

657

Trades

1,624

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-26 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% +$19

Other

2% 32% +$73

Politics

0% 6% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$17

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+100	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	07-13 13:10
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	05-12 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC	5	$1.1K	575	573	+1	Up	+$51	03-18 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:40 UTC	5	$857	884	36	+848	Up	+$14	03-18 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:45 UTC	3	$847	859	0	+859	Up	+$12	03-18 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:10 UTC	14	$508	322	318	+4	Down	+$113	03-18 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:05 UTC	3	$480	496	350	+146	Up	+$137	03-18 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:25 UTC	2	$441	267	264	+2	Down	+$43	03-18 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:45 UTC	1	$400	458	0	+458	Up	+$59	03-18 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:55 UTC	3	$339	222	184	+38	Down	+$4	02-28 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC	3	$334	216	168	+48	Up	-$2	02-28 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:35 UTC	3	$288	194	191	+3	Down	+$51	03-18 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:35 UTC	3	$270	296	32	+264	Down	-$244	03-18 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 11:55 UTC	5	$250	224	118	+106	Down	+$35	04-01 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:30 UTC	3	$250	156	153	+3	Up	+$30	04-01 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:50 UTC	2	$247	276	0	+276	Down	+$11	03-18 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:55 UTC	7	$242	131	130	+0	Down	+$12	03-18 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:20 UTC	23	$233	152	150	+2	Up	+$35	03-18 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:10 UTC	2	$222	162	159	+4	Up	+$8	04-18 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:45 UTC	3	$185	224	0	+224	Down	+$39	03-18 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:00 UTC	2	$174	184	0	+184	Up	+$10	04-09 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:10 UTC	2	$161	208	0	+208	Up	+$17	03-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:05 UTC	32	$136	400	0	+400	Down	-$136	04-18 10:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:05 UTC	2	$127	218	0	+218	Down	+$90	04-17 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:55 UTC	1	$126	159	0	+159	Down	+$33	03-18 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:50 UTC	2	$124	128	0	+128	Up	+$4	04-17 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:40 UTC	2	$118	124	0	+124	Down	+$6	04-17 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 11:45 UTC	2	$118	138	132	+6	Up	+$18	04-01 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:20 UTC	3	$117	129	10	+118	Up	+$5	03-18 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:55 UTC	3	$116	133	12	+121	Up	+$7	03-18 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:00 UTC	2	$115	162	0	+162	Down	-$115	03-18 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:25 UTC	4	$115	120	2	+118	Down	+$3	04-17 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x962da7…
10-26 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x80a243…
10-26 14:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd540dd…
10-03 10:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5f920c…
09-24 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbcf2fc…
09-13 04:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa79411…
09-05 17:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x291eb7…
09-02 10:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5d1e65…
09-02 09:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x21aec2…
09-02 09:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c9ede…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc458e5…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x64a1f9…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x5b4210…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x386e62…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x1d31c7…
08-27 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x18ca24…
08-27 01:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x5c7779…
08-27 01:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb2179d…
08-27 01:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9938d6…
08-27 01:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1384bb…
08-27 01:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	69	66¢	$45	0x340690…
08-27 00:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x598852…
08-27 00:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x369962…
08-27 00:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa97f10…
08-27 00:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x965b6f…
08-27 00:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2e4e9b…
08-27 00:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xfec5e6…
08-27 00:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xdab7f5…
08-27 00:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaa98fa…
08-27 00:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x999911…
08-27 00:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x8b9e37…
08-27 00:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x48ad7a…
08-27 00:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xc986ff…
08-27 00:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa3336d…
08-27 00:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xee3db0…
08-27 00:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc657ff…
08-27 00:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa75275…
08-27 00:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6145b2…
08-27 00:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x6635cf…
08-27 00:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x6eb726…
08-27 00:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1c80d1…
08-27 00:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x0b0798…
08-27 00:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x0c7479…
08-27 00:04:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xdd9b8b…
08-23 12:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xed15e2…
08-23 12:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3bd018…
08-23 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xf2c013…
08-23 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xca5b1a…
08-23 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x5eb225…
08-23 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xea4d25…
08-23 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xae86a0…
08-23 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x982868…
08-23 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x6fd6c2…
08-23 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x35a7ee…
08-21 12:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x417424…
08-21 12:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x38c16f…
08-21 12:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x10509b…
08-21 12:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x902168…
08-20 18:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d74d6…
08-20 18:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x54a260…
08-20 17:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x188a16…
08-16 14:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x809cea…
08-16 14:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa225a3…
08-14 17:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9e411…
08-14 17:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1d91ab…
08-14 17:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9f02ef…
08-14 16:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c8ee3…
08-09 13:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x69c0b2…
07-31 15:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7d68a5…
07-31 15:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xcc903d…
07-31 15:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x7ed0d0…
07-31 15:47:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9c67ef…
07-31 15:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x98de44…
07-30 11:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x50225d…
07-26 20:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xe72d2e…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe053ee…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3c598…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa6c787…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa403ea…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x65240d…
07-26 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x19b21d…
07-26 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa8c9db…
07-26 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa4bfe0…
07-26 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0x4274ff…
07-26 20:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd0c1ca…
07-26 20:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x57888b…
07-26 20:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x21acb9…
07-26 20:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x1f025f…
07-26 20:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1515b4…
07-26 20:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xd9cda2…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x98c4e1…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x94eb37…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x88474a…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x77e6fe…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4121b5…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x3055a0…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x1f39f0…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x15698b…
07-26 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x14824e…
07-26 20:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf6c5c7…