Dangerous-Denominator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

16,958

lifetime

Volume

$237.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-05 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 91% $-35

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769718600	4	$622	323	323	+0	open	—	01-29 20:46
btc updown 15m 1769715900	8	$622	321	321	+0	open	—	01-29 20:01
btc updown 15m 1769724900	6	$622	321	321	+0	open	—	01-29 22:31
btc updown 15m 1769716800	3	$622	321	321	+0	open	—	01-29 20:16
btc updown 15m 1769724000	2	$616	317	317	+0	open	—	01-29 22:16
btc updown 15m 1769707800	2	$615	314	314	+0	open	—	01-29 17:46
btc updown 15m 1769706900	2	$614	321	320	+0	open	—	01-29 17:31
btc updown 15m 1769720400	9	$609	311	311	+0	open	—	01-29 21:16
btc updown 15m 1769723100	8	$589	304	304	+0	open	—	01-29 22:01
btc updown 15m 1769704200	6	$588	303	303	+0	open	—	01-29 16:46
btc updown 15m 1769713200	6	$571	296	296	+0	open	—	01-29 19:16
btc updown 15m 1769721300	9	$545	311	311	+0	open	—	01-29 21:27
btc updown 15m 1769703300	7	$540	281	281	+0	open	—	01-29 16:31
btc updown 15m 1769639400	8	$532	274	274	+0	open	—	01-28 22:46
btc updown 15m 1769719500	2	$509	321	321	+0	open	—	01-29 20:58
btc updown 15m 1769722200	2	$504	262	262	+0	open	—	01-29 21:46
btc updown 15m 1769638500	3	$501	258	258	+0	open	—	01-28 22:31
btc updown 15m 1769697000	2	$478	247	247	+0	open	—	01-29 14:46
btc updown 15m 1769702400	6	$476	243	243	+0	open	—	01-29 16:16
btc updown 15m 1769637600	14	$476	243	243	-0	open	—	01-28 22:16
btc updown 15m 1769696100	7	$475	245	245	+0	open	—	01-29 14:31
btc updown 15m 1769636700	4	$460	236	236	+0	open	—	01-28 22:00
btc updown 15m 1769695200	2	$449	232	232	+0	open	—	01-29 14:16
btc updown 15m 1769694300	5	$423	219	219	+0	open	—	01-29 14:01
btc updown 15m 1769628600	5	$396	202	202	+0	open	—	01-28 19:42
btc updown 15m 1769725800	3	$339	321	321	+0	open	—	01-29 22:45
btc updown 5m 1771555800	10	$284	147	147	+0	open	—	02-20 02:56
btc updown 5m 1771403100	6	$284	146	146	+0	open	—	02-18 08:31
btc updown 5m 1771402800	5	$278	141	140	+0	open	—	02-18 08:26
btc updown 15m 1769641200	1	$274	292	0	+292	open	—	01-28 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a4bb4…
05-05 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xe2bbe7…
05-05 02:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x11ed55…
05-05 02:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf806da…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x93c7f3…
05-05 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x44887e…
05-05 02:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x64bc69…
05-05 02:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x6b0848…
05-05 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdb9b43…
05-05 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e3236…
05-05 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xeb95ca…
05-05 02:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd2533d…
05-05 01:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xe062ce…
05-05 01:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0xc5d21d…
05-05 01:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x963639…
05-05 01:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xc8a1b0…
05-05 01:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xc24360…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x216396…
05-05 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x48d629…
05-05 01:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x677008…
05-05 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xde398c…
05-05 00:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xaf4ca6…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x26b4e2…
05-05 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f344d…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c50e4…
05-05 00:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x5d768c…
05-05 00:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x1e7bac…
05-05 00:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7f82a5…
05-04 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb28d9e…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x946ba4…
05-04 23:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd52623…
05-04 23:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe5b1b0…
05-04 23:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd3dbf2…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x03b145…
05-04 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4652cd…
05-04 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xec0f3a…
05-04 23:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd76c94…
05-04 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5022de…
05-04 22:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3cc5ed…
05-04 22:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8a86de…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xc9bc91…
05-04 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ac963…
05-04 22:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x81bf1a…
05-04 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x373cea…
05-04 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x8a5152…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x811ca8…
05-04 22:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x10112b…
05-04 22:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x3a6aae…
05-04 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xa82247…
05-04 22:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xe6b2a8…
05-04 21:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xfaa2c7…
05-04 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xf985da…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xddcca7…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd3442…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9027f0…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x8b46a7…
05-04 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x7e1e55…
05-04 21:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0951ad…
05-04 21:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xdf9342…
05-04 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd2cab3…
05-04 21:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xcc7623…
05-04 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x925bf9…
05-04 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x82c351…
05-04 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x24522d…
05-04 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x056e6b…
05-04 21:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x958a5e…
05-04 20:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x78cb38…
05-04 20:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xcb6d6e…
05-04 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x40105b…
05-04 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xe1cdf1…
05-04 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7736cb…
05-04 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x11eba7…
05-04 19:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xfc04ac…
05-04 19:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x38282f…
05-04 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x83aff1…
05-04 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd1a77f…
05-04 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xc5b358…
05-04 19:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x7e6111…
05-04 19:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x778762…
05-04 19:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0xc70e72…
05-04 19:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xd8540e…
05-04 19:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x73dc52…
05-04 19:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x56a5fa…
05-04 18:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc1fba0…
05-04 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xcffbfa…
05-04 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2f7655…
05-04 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x8da98d…
05-04 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0x80fa5c…
05-04 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x1d0502…
05-04 18:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x1a5f6a…
05-04 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x76ddbf…
05-04 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee0607…
05-04 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x527ef1…
05-04 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xf4d3ce…
05-04 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfd5bba…
05-04 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x898bc6…
05-04 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c7e62…
05-04 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x488db4…
05-04 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x3a3fa8…
05-04 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xca5058…