Grounded-Vase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

305

Trades

2,783

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-02 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-136

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes		+65	$3	1¢	$1	$-2	07-02 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781355600	2	$116	91	91	+0	open	—	06-13 13:02
btc updown 5m 1781371800	1	$89	142	0	+142	open	—	06-13 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$68	67	63	+4	open	—	04-25 02:03
btc updown 5m 1775746500	6	$68	48	47	+1	open	—	04-09 15:00
btc updown 5m 1776233100	3	$63	67	43	+24	open	—	04-15 06:10
btc updown 5m 1781357700	2	$63	120	0	+120	open	—	06-13 13:39
btc updown 5m 1781355000	4	$62	127	0	+127	open	—	06-13 12:54
btc updown 5m 1776744600	4	$61	55	53	+2	open	—	04-21 04:11
btc updown 5m 1775781000	5	$57	47	45	+2	open	—	04-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	12	$57	45	45	+1	Up	+$1	05-13 18:51
btc updown 5m 1781352300	1	$57	679	0	+679	open	—	06-13 12:09
btc updown 5m 1775961300	5	$54	63	42	+21	open	—	04-12 02:39
btc updown 5m 1775742900	4	$53	62	42	+20	open	—	04-09 14:00
btc updown 5m 1775823600	3	$53	59	45	+15	open	—	04-10 12:25
btc updown 5m 1775744400	5	$53	38	37	+1	open	—	04-09 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	10	$53	44	43	+1	open	—	05-14 13:12
btc updown 5m 1776739800	4	$51	92	87	+5	open	—	04-21 02:54
btc updown 5m 1781360100	1	$50	74	0	+74	open	—	06-13 14:17
btc updown 5m 1775961000	5	$49	45	37	+8	open	—	04-12 02:34
btc updown 5m 1781361600	2	$49	33	33	+0	open	—	06-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	10	$48	46	46	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776745800	2	$48	81	76	+4	open	—	04-21 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	22	$48	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	22	$48	54	53	+1	Down	$-3	05-13 14:47
btc updown 5m 1776744000	2	$48	40	38	+1	open	—	04-21 04:04
btc updown 5m 1775960700	4	$47	34	33	+1	open	—	04-12 02:29
btc updown 5m 1776958800	2	$47	29	28	+1	open	—	04-23 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776957900	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 15:29
btc updown 5m 1775740200	2	$46	30	29	+1	open	—	04-09 13:15
btc updown 5m 1776960600	2	$45	37	35	+1	open	—	04-23 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:47:04	btc updown 5m 1782963900	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x37f60b…
07-02 03:42:05	btc updown 5m 1782963600	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe978a3…
07-02 00:37:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x4083b5…
07-01 12:42:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$1	0x01efe1…
07-01 12:40:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x45bc8f…
07-01 12:38:43	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8bc121…
07-01 12:37:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x09671d…
07-01 12:36:29	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xa27f56…
07-01 09:51:19	btc updown 5m 1782899400	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8e48db…
07-01 09:40:55	btc updown 5m 1782898800	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e0c2b…
07-01 09:37:34	btc updown 5m 1782898500	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x392dfa…
07-01 09:37:32	btc updown 5m 1782898500	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa596b9…
07-01 09:36:08	btc updown 5m 1782898500	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa1600a…
07-01 09:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782898200	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x049167…
07-01 09:30:58	btc updown 5m 1782898200	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae4d1e…
07-01 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1782897900	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xbf7236…
07-01 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1782897900	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa23471…
07-01 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1782897900	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x7fc8a9…
07-01 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1782897900	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x5cb887…
07-01 09:25:50	btc updown 5m 1782897900	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xae90bf…
07-01 09:08:10	btc updown 5m 1782896700	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9face0…
07-01 09:06:38	btc updown 5m 1782896700	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7112fc…
07-01 09:06:05	btc updown 5m 1782896700	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xec6817…
07-01 09:05:34	btc updown 5m 1782896700	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6fae42…
07-01 09:00:32	btc updown 5m 1782896400	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc9648a…
07-01 08:57:08	btc updown 5m 1782896100	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x3b54b5…
07-01 08:57:07	btc updown 5m 1782896100	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x213f28…
07-01 08:55:25	btc updown 5m 1782896100	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd39101…
07-01 08:51:29	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x6edcfb…
07-01 08:51:29	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x3b900f…
07-01 08:51:29	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x097160…
07-01 08:51:14	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x37529b…
07-01 08:50:44	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x6e12dd…
07-01 08:46:52	btc updown 5m 1782895500	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x0be39f…
07-01 08:45:44	btc updown 5m 1782895500	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xad8c11…
07-01 08:41:59	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x57b24e…
07-01 08:41:17	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x48fa8f…
07-01 08:40:58	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xfa7433…
07-01 08:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x85b1df…
07-01 08:35:25	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9a4fff…
07-01 08:32:37	btc updown 5m 1782894600	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x98ed5d…
07-01 08:31:37	btc updown 5m 1782894600	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6406e6…
07-01 08:30:56	btc updown 5m 1782894600	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x605918…
07-01 08:29:01	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xc99503…
07-01 08:28:43	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe96113…
07-01 08:28:05	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Down	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xd1428f…
07-01 08:27:05	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x07fffb…
07-01 08:26:37	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xbeca5d…
07-01 08:25:25	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3b9d12…
07-01 08:22:05	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xdfaf97…
07-01 08:22:02	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5d8182…
07-01 08:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9ff4ad…
07-01 08:20:34	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x96812d…
07-01 08:16:04	btc updown 5m 1782893700	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xccb59e…
07-01 08:15:38	btc updown 5m 1782893700	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xde3191…
07-01 08:12:26	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x4c4ec2…
07-01 08:12:04	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0x8fd084…
07-01 08:11:58	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x7a0a80…
07-01 08:11:58	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x564c13…
07-01 08:11:26	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1d8d6…
07-01 08:10:50	btc updown 5m 1782893400	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xeefef8…
07-01 08:08:01	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xfd274a…
07-01 08:07:34	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac2b89…
07-01 08:06:44	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x9a424f…
07-01 08:05:55	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfdacb5…
07-01 08:01:19	btc updown 5m 1782892800	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7f82f5…
07-01 08:01:19	btc updown 5m 1782892800	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x32d52f…
07-01 08:00:29	btc updown 5m 1782892800	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xafd552…
06-30 23:54:23	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 30	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xed6c91…
06-30 23:54:07	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 30	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc944e1…
06-30 23:50:56	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 30	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7062a8…
06-30 23:50:46	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 30	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x174439…
06-30 23:42:47	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 30	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xb38637…
06-30 23:42:37	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 30	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd56f79…
06-30 23:41:31	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd69376…
06-30 23:39:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xec385c…
06-30 23:35:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x82426a…
06-30 23:32:38	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x81c19c…
06-30 23:28:16	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0f020d…
06-30 23:22:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	678	0¢	$1	0x979463…
06-30 23:20:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x778697…
06-30 23:08:50	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e7a56…
06-30 23:08:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc7f29c…
06-30 23:08:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb746cf…
06-30 23:07:08	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe96d95…
06-30 23:06:25	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe937ec…
06-30 23:06:02	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	338	0¢	$1	0xa8ad4f…
06-30 23:05:28	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ec1da…
06-30 23:05:04	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd31429…
06-30 23:04:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58875b…
06-30 22:56:28	btc updown 5m 1782860100	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x737fa1…
06-30 19:49:31	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf6c599…
06-30 19:46:46	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x52f5d7…
06-30 19:46:02	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa27d68…
06-30 19:45:22	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xe5fc41…
06-30 19:39:34	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x51ee91…
06-30 19:36:52	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x04e2cb…
06-30 19:35:23	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x18a9bc…
06-30 19:30:32	btc updown 5m 1782847800	Down	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x5b66f1…
06-30 19:30:22	btc updown 5m 1782847800	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xa2d4a9…