Normal-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

234

Trades

2,143

lifetime

Volume

$4.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-13 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 55% -$114

Other

34% 30% +$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:30 UTC	14	$326	200	200	+0	Up	+$30	02-13 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:00 UTC	10	$181	149	149	+0	Down	-$10	02-14 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	16	$180	128	133	-4	Up	-$8	02-13 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 17:15 UTC	8	$156	100	100	+0	Up	+$40	02-13 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	33	$131	649	548	+101	Yes	+$192	04-27 07:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 17:15 UTC	4	$124	86	85	+1	Up	+$25	02-17 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	23	$105	130	129	+1	Up	-$1	04-20 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 18:15 UTC	8	$96	84	84	+0	Up	+$8	02-13 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 15:30 UTC	6	$95	100	75	+25	Up	+$40	02-17 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 16:45 UTC	8	$78	80	20	+60	Down	+$22	02-13 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 03:15 UTC	21	$75	100	98	+2	Up	+$12	04-21 03:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:45 UTC	4	$71	40	40	+0	Up	+$5	02-23 14:59
highest temperature in beijing on april 16 2026 21c	16	$70	77	77	+0	Yes	+$67	04-16 05:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:00 UTC	4	$70	40	39	+1	Up	+$4	04-21 08:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 18:45 UTC	7	$61	50	50	+0	Down	+$5	02-13 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	28	$60	200	200	+0	Yes	+$59	06-04 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 17:00 UTC	3	$55	346	271	+75	Down	-$18	06-18 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 05:25 UTC	7	$55	50	50	+0	Up	+$9	03-31 05:30
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	30	$54	100	92	+8	Yes	+$42	04-22 05:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC	10	$54	45	45	+0	Up	+$11	02-26 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8?	16	$52	150	50	+100	No	-$32	06-08 07:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 10:45 UTC	5	$51	40	40	+0	Up	+$9	03-28 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	45	$48	220	220	+0	No	+$9	06-04 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:30 UTC	3	$48	79	49	+30	Down	-$8	02-14 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	13	$47	50	50	+0	Up	-$8	03-28 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 18:00 UTC	7	$45	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	02-17 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 3?	28	$45	600	420	+180	No	+$19	06-03 04:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:00 UTC	5	$44	40	20	+20	Up	-$5	02-13 19:16
highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 22c	7	$44	205	50	+155	No	+$20	04-15 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?	2	$43	100	0	+100	No	-$43	06-26 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 00:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x5ea00b…
10-12 06:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8e224c…
10-12 06:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x550c3b…
10-12 06:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x95ba20…
10-12 05:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9d8679…
10-12 05:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x533740…
10-12 05:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x80e390…
10-12 05:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x9a1934…
10-12 05:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8826ca…
10-12 05:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x412d10…
10-12 05:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2a669c…
10-12 05:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xba2429…
10-12 05:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe41fc6…
10-12 05:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5b2f82…
10-12 03:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x151c36…
10-12 03:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	293	0¢	$1	0x7507a4…
10-12 03:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf8fda8…
10-12 03:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xbe953e…
10-12 02:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xa7a7a7…
10-11 22:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf6b153…
10-11 22:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf56329…
10-11 22:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2aaba9…
10-11 19:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe12d8e…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfc41ac…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb9843f…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xb0ac0c…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0xa9814c…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x9f6510…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x778358…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x6b0682…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x407619…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x25a70e…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcbbb6e…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x843df9…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x6a8698…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x674cde…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5f23e4…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x2812ed…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x22533b…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x179fa7…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0d3325…
10-11 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xeee4b4…
10-11 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x046275…
10-11 17:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x587e2a…
10-11 10:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x22c0c1…
10-11 10:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x416c6f…
10-11 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x41692f…
10-11 09:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0xb82926…
10-11 07:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x46fb89…
10-11 04:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x7837b3…
10-11 01:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xb0a067…
10-10 22:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x151269…
10-10 17:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x88d22f…
10-10 16:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5e52f9…
10-10 15:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc40f20…
10-10 10:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf74746…
10-10 10:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1f25fc…
10-10 10:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x55145f…
10-10 10:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1ab1ee…
10-10 10:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5d59f6…
10-10 10:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2a575f…
10-10 10:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5f240d…
10-10 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xdd3727…
10-10 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xca01c4…
10-10 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbac7f4…
10-10 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa0219f…
10-10 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2fa2b7…
10-10 08:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$1	0x32c4e1…
10-10 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	402	0¢	$1	0x9a9591…
10-10 06:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	211	0¢	$0	0x88ca95…
10-10 04:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2f50c4…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdb122a…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd90084…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc861e2…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc2f631…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x090a81…
10-10 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x05a86f…
10-10 02:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xfd9f5e…
10-10 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x25b143…
10-10 02:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x52d283…
10-10 02:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xe5995c…
10-10 02:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x08a09c…
10-10 02:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3d2ff1…
10-10 02:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4be179…
10-10 02:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x86a8ac…
10-10 02:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x9667c5…
10-10 02:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x193126…
10-10 02:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd572ca…
10-10 01:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xbf7337…
10-10 01:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa35898…
10-10 01:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa416c7…
10-10 01:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x59fa63…
10-10 01:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x825f2a…
10-10 01:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc3c19a…
10-10 01:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xdfb528…
10-10 01:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6e572f…
10-10 00:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x6f27a9…
10-10 00:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc49493…
10-10 00:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x124526…
10-09 23:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$4	0x011ae8…