Impossible-Industrialisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 06:15
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:41
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:07
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x609949…
10-27 16:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d01da…
10-27 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99f254…
10-26 05:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe091e2…
10-24 06:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb425e1…
10-22 09:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35d47d…
10-20 04:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebcee9…
10-19 06:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeec505…
10-18 07:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb2b09e…
10-17 07:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4bf82…
10-16 05:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x224a1c…
10-15 06:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48969d…
10-14 07:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc6eb1…
10-13 14:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xecb974…
10-13 04:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf183d3…
10-12 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe710a9…
10-11 03:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf3195…
10-08 05:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0417c…
10-07 08:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17fad0…
10-06 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01c718…
10-04 07:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cad50…
10-03 03:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42432a…
10-02 07:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x778891…
10-02 03:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe706ac…
10-01 05:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97046e…
09-30 09:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52222a…
09-29 06:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x009c6c…
09-28 08:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d0e5e…
09-27 02:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ce1a7…
09-25 07:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91abda…
09-24 06:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb446e…
09-23 05:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c2a26…
09-22 06:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6b6ce…
09-21 08:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357925…
09-20 03:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x378545…
09-19 06:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59ab3e…
09-18 01:09:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3f7ec…
09-17 01:06:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0a928…
09-16 08:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7ccce…
09-15 23:33:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x131303…
09-15 02:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x016d6f…
09-14 00:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a080f…
09-13 12:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76c7f6…
09-12 07:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64eff9…
09-11 01:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc7c5…
09-10 01:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47dde7…
09-09 00:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe16c86…
09-08 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x562600…
09-07 01:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01637a…
09-06 07:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41c109…
09-06 01:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd6d17…
09-05 09:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9315e5…
09-04 08:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cce1f…
09-03 01:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x442872…
09-01 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd15c1…
08-30 00:12:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e0cc2…
08-29 05:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc804af…
08-28 01:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b39d9…
08-27 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa7bc53…
08-26 02:00:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbfa86…
08-25 06:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefd7cc…
08-24 07:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e6875…
08-23 07:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28dc68…
08-22 06:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7351dc…
08-21 01:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x021fe0…
08-20 05:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda5223…
08-19 07:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682f68…
08-18 00:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94c26f…
08-17 06:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x588be8…
08-16 01:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1578ec…
08-15 02:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bd979…
08-14 01:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa94d6e…
08-13 00:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f03c0…
08-12 00:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b9293…
08-11 00:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8699d…
08-10 00:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50e011…
08-09 00:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28039…
08-08 00:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x461953…
08-07 00:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x541b9a…
08-06 00:21:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0d426…
08-05 00:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0a765…
08-04 03:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e5d30…
08-03 00:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10ad38…
08-02 00:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaadd4f…
08-01 00:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06e360…
07-31 07:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x803404…
07-30 00:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6e098…
07-29 00:15:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc343e8…
07-28 00:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x959ea2…
07-27 01:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb99b8e…
07-26 08:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d688…
07-26 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9a238…
07-25 00:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x624e58…
07-24 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8635ee…
07-23 00:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe816b…
07-22 01:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4da6a…
07-20 23:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3da8e2…
07-19 22:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x950fd2…
07-18 22:01:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fb0a9…
07-17 23:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x466526…