Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
824
lifetime
Volume
$72.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$864
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-15 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50%
Other
42%
Crypto
4%
Sports
3% 0% $-30
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +879 $400 45¢ $395 $-5 07-11 13:04
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +375 $250 73¢ $274 +$24 06-22 11:10
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +316 $100 36¢ $112 +$12 07-11 13:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +118 $60 70¢ $83 +$23 06-06 12:29