Insubstantial-Future — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

628

Trades

1,094

lifetime

Volume

$24.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-13 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$4,672

Other

0% 88% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 8 1am et	11	$499	846	+846	Down	-$499	03-08 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 22:25 UTC	1	$470	505	+505	Up	+$35	03-28 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:10 UTC	2	$438	454	+454	Up	+$16	04-14 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 06:05 UTC	13	$348	391	+391	Down	+$43	03-20 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 06:45 UTC	42	$328	381	+381	Up	+$53	03-20 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 16:45 UTC	3	$314	324	+324	Up	+$10	03-07 16:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 15:30 UTC	4	$287	586	+586	Up	+$299	04-16 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 05:15 UTC	21	$276	493	+493	Down	+$217	03-20 05:21
solana up or down march 8 1am et	13	$249	466	+466	Down	-$249	03-08 06:00
bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	6	$248	450	+450	Up	+$202	03-08 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:55 UTC	2	$245	253	+253	Up	+$8	04-14 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:15 UTC	12	$245	414	+414	Down	+$170	04-09 03:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:00 UTC	2	$243	248	+248	Down	+$5	04-12 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$224	229	+229	Down	+$5	04-25 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:40 UTC	2	$223	241	+241	Down	+$18	03-07 22:45
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 12am et	1	$222	383	+383	Down	+$161	04-15 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 01:50 UTC	1	$220	235	+235	Up	+$16	04-01 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$216	223	+223	Down	+$7	04-25 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:20 UTC	1	$216	223	+223	Up	+$7	04-13 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:40 UTC	1	$214	218	+218	Up	+$4	04-05 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 18:00 UTC	4	$212	226	+226	Down	+$14	04-04 18:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:00 UTC	1	$207	211	+211	Down	+$4	04-10 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:15 UTC	1	$206	210	+210	Up	+$4	04-10 13:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:05 UTC	1	$201	221	+221	Down	+$20	04-20 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:10 UTC	2	$196	756	+756	Down	+$560	03-28 13:15
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$194	198	+198	Up	+$4	04-26 12:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	1	$189	189	+189	Down	+$0	02-22 07:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:25 UTC	3	$188	213	+213	Down	+$24	03-10 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:35 UTC	8	$170	232	+232	Up	+$62	03-07 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:35 UTC	1	$168	200	+200	Down	+$32	02-28 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 03:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x0db204…
07-12 13:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x46da04…
07-12 09:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x0ae3ae…
07-12 09:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x525174…
07-11 20:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x7e3b7d…
07-11 20:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x4bd720…
07-11 14:00:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x34fa6a…
07-11 11:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x5a894e…
07-11 11:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3c84f7…
07-11 11:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x35c231…
07-11 11:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x18b644…
07-11 11:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	41¢	$12	0xead7e6…
07-11 11:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x2d6ec7…
07-11 07:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x740ff9…
07-11 07:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x0b7231…
07-11 05:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x6c9814…
07-11 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x72b596…
07-11 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x0d9b51…
07-10 18:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xaaa0b6…
07-10 18:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x4a4aa9…
07-10 10:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0xcb52f6…
07-09 17:15:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0xfc65c5…
07-09 17:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x580896…
07-09 07:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xbdf910…
07-08 22:20:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x396c0c…
07-08 16:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0xa32a2d…
07-08 14:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x793a57…
07-08 14:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xc7c8ed…
07-08 08:15:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd89eea…
07-08 06:30:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x8e4127…
07-08 06:30:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x53da24…
07-07 04:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xc0496c…
07-06 15:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xb42f3b…
07-06 15:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xbe1d13…
07-05 13:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb3b8d3…
07-05 13:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x657e77…
07-05 08:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x953dff…
07-05 08:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x57c6bf…
07-05 00:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xc60696…
07-05 00:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xbd9792…
07-05 00:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x7deaae…
07-04 23:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xed56be…
07-04 23:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8f876b…
07-04 23:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x61cc57…
07-04 22:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xb9268f…
07-04 15:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xafe9b2…
07-04 15:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x961434…
07-04 14:00:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xfd8500…
07-04 14:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x5f8d63…
07-04 13:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe8ad8e…
07-04 13:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc14c87…
07-04 05:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x1d61f9…
07-04 02:50:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xff52f0…
07-04 02:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x8a9990…
07-04 00:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xf81da0…
07-04 00:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x68cfe9…
07-03 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8017c9…
07-03 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb34d06…
07-03 09:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa35217…
07-03 07:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7acb71…
07-03 07:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xf5c93b…
07-03 06:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9887bf…
07-03 06:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x3be10c…
07-03 04:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x2ecb0c…
07-03 04:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x47875d…
07-03 00:20:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0xc4dce7…
07-03 00:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0xd4e1c4…
07-02 15:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xfb4940…
07-02 15:45:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x5537be…
07-02 07:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xd2d562…
07-02 07:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x4c5060…
07-02 02:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x860156…
07-01 22:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9db564…
07-01 22:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xfe8ed8…
07-01 21:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x83f77f…
07-01 13:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0x7843bf…
07-01 13:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x2e6fa9…
07-01 09:45:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xf8140d…
07-01 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x4fdcfa…
07-01 08:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x40d19e…
06-30 23:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x1a5132…
06-30 21:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x467c83…
06-30 21:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x771e7f…
06-30 21:45:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x74bf8e…
06-30 20:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xabbd0c…
06-30 20:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x1a07c0…
06-30 13:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xa41c14…
06-30 13:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xb03997…
06-30 13:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x446ce6…
06-30 10:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xa9ecac…
06-30 08:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x6be8d2…
06-30 08:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0xe0d45e…
06-30 08:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x883ebf…
06-30 08:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x8e13df…
06-30 06:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x848e17…
06-30 05:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x40aaa7…
06-30 05:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x53aeda…
06-30 05:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xeee2f2…
06-30 05:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xde5902…
06-30 03:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x7270ee…