Modest-Flood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.67K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

27,995

Trades

100,144

lifetime

Volume

$507.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-10 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$3,671

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 5344 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 11:15 UTC	14	$511	894	+894	Up	+$3	08-03 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:50 UTC	11	$424	801	+801	Down	+$2	08-16 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 04:15 UTC	6	$403	547	+547	Up	-$2	08-06 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:55 UTC	10	$358	520	+520	Down	+$1	08-03 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 17:45 UTC	9	$357	374	+374	Up	-$1	07-31 17:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:30 UTC	11	$349	419	+419	Up	+$3	08-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	13	$334	1,636	+1,636	Up	$0	09-06 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:20 UTC	13	$332	484	+484	Up	$0	08-08 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 05:00 UTC	7	$332	575	+575	Up	+$2	08-05 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:45 UTC	7	$330	461	+461	Up	$0	08-07 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:35 UTC	7	$328	494	+494	Up	+$1	08-17 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 13:00 UTC	8	$326	589	+589	Down	+$1	08-06 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:25 UTC	10	$326	470	+470	Down	+$2	08-07 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	7	$324	469	+469	Down	+$3	08-07 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:25 UTC	11	$322	380	+380	Up	+$5	08-02 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	12	$318	405	+405	Up	+$2	08-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 13:30 UTC	6	$303	330	+330	Down	-$2	07-31 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:05 UTC	13	$303	441	+441	Down	-$2	08-08 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:50 UTC	12	$303	396	+396	Down	-$2	08-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:10 UTC	5	$303	453	+453	Up	-$1	08-07 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	10	$301	397	+397	Up	$0	09-06 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 11:55 UTC	4	$301	432	+432	Down	-$1	08-17 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$301	1,261	+1,261	Up	+$1	09-08 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:25 UTC	8	$300	568	+568	Down	+$0	08-14 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:15 UTC	15	$294	494	+494	Down	+$2	08-10 02:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 23:30 UTC	22	$284	549	+549	Down	+$2	08-03 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:35 UTC	15	$279	330	+330	Up	+$4	08-02 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:45 UTC	11	$277	293	+293	Down	+$1	08-02 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:45 UTC	7	$276	871	+871	Down	+$0	08-18 04:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	32	$271	627	+627	Down	+$93	08-03 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 11:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeebf0f…
10-10 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x8e39fd…
10-10 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x04290f…
10-10 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xccc336…
10-10 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1da96a…
10-10 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbcdb96…
10-10 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x622d72…
10-10 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0bee15…
10-10 11:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x6edfd7…
10-10 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x5389f8…
10-10 11:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2454c3…
10-10 10:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x99a66f…
10-10 10:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xfdf82e…
10-10 10:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x5a2364…
10-10 10:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xc6d4fa…
10-10 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x5c47a7…
10-10 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x02dc9f…
10-10 10:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x7b53bc…
10-10 10:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x94e2a2…
10-10 10:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xebed38…
10-10 10:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x1890e8…
10-10 10:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc2e7e2…
10-10 10:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xe4a602…
10-10 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf093c4…
10-10 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5b8870…
10-10 10:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x916b97…
10-10 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x03116c…
10-10 10:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x3d8592…
10-10 10:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x048e8a…
10-10 10:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x3799cb…
10-10 10:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x91aad2…
10-10 10:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb23b1…
10-10 10:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xccfbf5…
10-10 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x01db96…
10-10 10:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xc1c251…
10-10 10:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbc8184…
10-10 10:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7555c2…
10-10 10:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd7b9f0…
10-10 10:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbc5a1b…
10-10 10:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xd9c391…
10-10 10:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x98da3a…
10-10 10:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x15b8dd…
10-10 10:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x5d762b…
10-10 10:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x945523…
10-10 10:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e4ff6…
10-10 10:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x2eb0bb…
10-10 10:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x263211…
10-10 10:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x26317a…
10-10 10:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb9a98e…
10-10 10:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x7663c4…
10-10 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x4485e1…
10-10 10:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x47db1c…
10-10 10:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x1dbe71…
10-10 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x7f358e…
10-10 10:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x8c1861…
10-10 10:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x806107…
10-10 10:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9527da…
10-10 10:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x38fe95…
10-10 10:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8ea049…
10-10 10:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x0745ac…
10-10 10:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x32e421…
10-10 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2723e4…
10-10 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x969b5f…
10-10 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x85f06b…
10-10 10:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x3d237a…
10-10 10:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xfd4f51…
10-10 10:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x544a01…
10-10 10:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0c74e2…
10-10 10:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xecb2b8…
10-10 10:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x751e9e…
10-10 10:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xf3fcad…
10-10 10:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcec903…
10-10 10:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbd6150…
10-10 10:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6fb88b…
10-10 10:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x4084d0…
10-10 09:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa840fb…
10-10 09:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa867a9…
10-10 09:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x1e0109…
10-10 09:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x666e28…
10-10 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x909fef…
10-10 09:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb19a83…
10-10 09:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x22632a…
10-10 09:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x99d836…
10-10 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x6d7c5c…
10-10 09:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x491ed7…
10-10 09:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe67258…
10-10 09:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x12113b…
10-10 09:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x6be77e…
10-10 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb27115…
10-10 09:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x9d2182…
10-10 09:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x52e897…
10-10 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x82d4d9…
10-10 09:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0bdd99…
10-10 09:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe0e559…
10-10 09:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x455120…
10-10 09:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa979dd…
10-10 09:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3d174a…
10-10 09:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x5ddd93…
10-10 09:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd18ccd…
10-10 09:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2fdc26…