Pure-Feedback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$394

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

131

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-29 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

65% 47% -$237

Crypto

16% 47% -$41

Sports

10% 42% -$125

Politics

5% 50% +$8

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No		+0	$0	9¢	$0	$0	05-04 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will marty supreme make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	8	$237	980	1,130	-150	Yes	-$171	01-12 01:03
bitboy convicted	21	$163	242	0	+242	No	+$79	03-31 13:09
Wisconsin vs. Penn State	2	$150	88	88	+0	Wisconsin	+$12	09-26 23:13
stefon diggs in jail by march 31	9	$150	240	496	-256	No	-$23	01-01 14:24
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	5	$133	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 22:41
nothing ever happens january	4	$132	80	120	-40	No	+$26	01-01 03:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	5	$131	104	104	+0	open	—	05-04 13:43
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	2	$128	241	241	+0	open	—	05-06 12:12
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	7	$125	150	150	+0	Miami	+$5	01-01 03:10
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	9	$122	220	220	+0	Yes	-$5	04-18 12:23
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$120	427	0	+427	Max Holloway	-$120	07-12 00:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 20c	9	$118	83	83	+0	No	-$4	04-18 01:56
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	5	$100	126	126	+0	No	-$6	04-21 12:17
Florida vs. Missouri	1	$100	149	0	+149	Missouri	-$100	09-29 15:45
Texas A&M vs. LSU	1	$80	104	0	+104	LSU	+$24	09-26 23:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$70	56	56	+0	Yes	+$30	01-31 03:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	20	$67	65	64	+1	Up	-$1	04-17 20:13
Eagles vs. Bears	2	$52	47	47	+0	Bears	-$8	09-29 00:36
Texas vs. Tennessee	1	$50	68	0	+68	Texas	+$18	09-26 16:32
Cardinals vs. 49ers	1	$50	65	0	+65	49ers	+$15	09-27 11:43
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$49	31	31	+0	Yes	+$11	02-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	9	$47	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 03:21
atp michels tien 2026 01 05	3	$41	29	29	+0	Michelsen	+$17	01-07 02:31
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	4	$41	52	52	+0	No	-$28	03-27 11:23
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$41	41	41	+0	Yes	+$21	09-13 19:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 18:15 UTC	4	$37	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	04-17 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	7	$34	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 03:37
bitcoin up or down january 6 10pm et	13	$34	38	40	-2	Down	-$4	01-07 03:25
atp giron mmoh 2026 01 09	2	$31	78	0	+78	Giron	-$31	01-09 02:27
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$8	01-09 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 15:45:06	Florida vs. Missouri	Florida	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x953876…
09-29 00:36:12	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0x78a016…
09-29 00:07:30	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x6120f2…
09-27 11:43:26	Cardinals vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x75980a…
09-27 11:39:17	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Vikings	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x996d2f…
09-26 23:13:50	Texas A&M vs. LSU	LSU	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x09d9eb…
09-26 23:13:30	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Penn State	SELL	88	92¢	$81	0x16d38e…
09-26 20:30:57	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	88	78¢	$69	0xdb2d82…
09-26 16:32:12	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0335d9…
09-13 19:05:27	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x92fd71…
09-13 19:02:12	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	41	74¢	$31	0xb8d7dc…
09-08 13:45:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xd026ea…
09-08 00:51:55	atp zverev darderi 2026 09 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc5a9f8…
09-08 00:49:22	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x95527e…
09-08 00:48:45	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8292f7…
07-12 00:30:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	427	28¢	$120	0xd05c9c…
05-06 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xca72f2…
05-06 14:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xbf0cb8…
05-06 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x45f8ac…
05-06 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x154534…
05-06 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xdf0016…
05-06 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x94580a…
05-06 14:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xc49870…
05-06 14:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x15ea44…
05-06 14:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xab1dcf…
05-06 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xee219f…
05-06 14:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xde1463…
05-06 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xbd88a1…
05-06 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3c62ca…
05-06 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8662d3…
05-06 14:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x43f628…
05-06 14:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x1e6800…
05-06 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9e984c…
05-06 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x87165a…
05-06 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x958f98…
05-06 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x6cbfe8…
05-06 14:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc1a4eb…
05-06 14:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x532dd3…
05-06 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xd994f2…
05-06 13:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xf00a32…
05-06 13:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xcef99f…
05-06 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x5fbe86…
05-06 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x476fa0…
05-06 13:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x459000…
05-06 13:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x1e5442…
05-06 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4d7769…
05-06 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x42445f…
05-06 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x6cc204…
05-06 12:12:10	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	22¢	$53	0x170fba…
05-06 12:07:48	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	31¢	$75	0x228544…
05-06 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x7b2abb…
05-06 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xce775c…
05-06 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf9d676…
05-06 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xab251d…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x726724…
05-06 03:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x06e6d5…
05-06 03:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$1	0xf0aaab…
05-06 03:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdf23a2…
05-06 03:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x600c32…
05-06 03:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x4ff2c8…
05-06 03:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x2fcc70…
05-06 03:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xe18175…
05-06 03:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x560f04…
05-06 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x995c6a…
05-06 03:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x5213f1…
05-06 03:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x4e4ff9…
05-06 03:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x2ed966…
05-06 03:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xcef8d6…
05-06 03:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8a30a5…
05-06 03:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x10760b…
05-06 03:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x9d9913…
05-06 03:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x13d194…
05-06 03:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	36	62¢	$23	0x04bb12…
05-06 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x0d33c2…
05-06 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xbb5956…
05-06 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa4ae18…
05-06 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7068aa…
05-06 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x934ba3…
05-06 03:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd85854…
05-06 03:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x924976…
05-06 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa2769f…
05-06 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x6643ff…
05-06 03:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c2783…
05-06 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x865a06…
05-06 03:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x5c194a…
05-06 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x7b01a4…
05-06 03:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xd0e5db…
05-06 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xbb9d2a…
05-06 02:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x484505…
05-06 02:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x47182c…
05-06 02:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3e2772…
05-06 02:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x29909f…
05-06 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x66a0fe…
05-06 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x4145c4…
05-06 02:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x3fca03…
05-06 02:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6a8fa9…
05-06 02:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x46d5d6…
05-06 02:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xb32730…
05-06 02:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdeaddb…
05-06 02:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x460a1c…