Earnest-Warmup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$267

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

297

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-09 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

72% 37% -$203

Crypto

21% 58% -$35

Sports

7% 30% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$248	130	130	+0	Yes	+$8	06-22 21:26
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	6	$231	195	195	+0	Pistons	-$12	05-16 01:12
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	3	$208	118	118	+0	Yes	+$8	06-27 22:34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	6	$196	138	138	+0	Yes	-$16	05-17 13:35
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	3	$178	142	142	+0	No	-$16	06-21 20:26
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	4	$155	130	130	+0	Yes	+$29	05-14 19:55
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	7	$154	252	214	+38	No	-$16	05-11 20:18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	2	$154	115	115	+0	Yes	+$16	06-27 01:06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	3	$150	90	90	+0	Yes	+$30	06-20 22:20
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?	11	$149	248	248	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 03:24
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	2	$149	85	85	+0	Yes	+$9	06-27 04:11
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	4	$145	174	174	+0	No	-$24	07-06 20:56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	2	$140	81	81	+0	Yes	+$22	05-14 21:17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$132	83	83	+0	Yes	+$33	06-16 20:51
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$129	389	389	+0	No	-$17	07-04 00:19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$125	331	331	+0	No	+$6	06-22 19:59
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$122	72	72	+0	Yes	+$22	06-11 20:36
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$121	95	95	+0	Yes	-$6	06-22 17:22
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?	4	$121	188	188	+0	Yes	-$21	05-11 01:19
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$115	73	73	+0	Yes	+$25	06-26 19:46
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-15?	2	$112	72	72	+0	Yes	+$12	05-16 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$109	129	129	+0	Down	-$12	05-11 07:15
Will FC Alverca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?	3	$105	71	71	+0	Yes	+$35	05-10 21:32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	5	$103	70	70	+0	Yes	+$13	05-10 20:45
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	5	$103	176	176	+0	No	-$17	05-17 11:47
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	2	$99	63	63	+0	Yes	+$22	06-19 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$99	68	68	+0	Down	+$19	05-11 07:45
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	2	$92	48	48	+0	Yes	+$5	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$91	134	94	+40	Up	-$35	05-11 07:49
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?	4	$89	87	87	+0	No	-$13	05-11 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 21:45:20	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	292	15¢	$44	0x6cf3bb…
07-07 17:24:59	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x035f6b…
07-07 17:24:10	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	69	28¢	$19	0x9d9ebf…
07-07 16:39:40	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xa358f7…
07-06 21:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x268fee…
07-06 20:56:02	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0xdf6605…
07-06 20:45:49	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0x9a2171…
07-06 20:44:20	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	91	59¢	$54	0x512b94…
07-06 19:54:10	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	35¢	$32	0x55027a…
07-06 19:53:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	152	22¢	$34	0x1b0df5…
07-06 19:13:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	152	26¢	$40	0x9727e2…
07-06 19:12:44	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	90	46¢	$41	0x10e6d4…
07-06 18:08:31	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xe42859…
07-04 17:25:31	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x364a6a…
07-04 17:23:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	77	41¢	$32	0xafdcea…
07-04 03:33:10	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x1de101…
07-04 02:52:11	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xd2e94e…
07-04 02:50:43	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0x7a1ace…
07-04 02:03:28	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0xe36083…
07-04 01:45:29	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	SELL	67	10¢	$7	0xf8c1c2…
07-04 00:47:53	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb4e0a4…
07-04 00:47:38	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0f5f15…
07-04 00:19:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	183	12¢	$22	0xfc3b30…
07-04 00:10:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	183	18¢	$33	0x7e6ad3…
07-03 23:20:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	206	17¢	$34	0x9adacf…
07-03 22:51:02	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x191d42…
07-03 22:31:46	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0xe9e9b8…
07-03 22:23:59	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x799b6f…
07-03 22:15:43	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xbe6f2f…
07-03 22:15:13	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	208	16¢	$33	0x095657…
07-03 21:01:56	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xef0589…
07-03 21:00:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	206	19¢	$40	0xbda53e…
06-28 01:15:07	Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6cc965…
06-28 01:14:17	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x131c2e…
06-28 01:11:44	Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x6935e1…
06-28 00:52:44	Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x0474b9…
06-28 00:04:26	Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	63	19¢	$12	0xf0c3c4…
06-28 00:04:07	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	47	26¢	$12	0x1bf1e8…
06-27 23:29:34	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	47	59¢	$28	0xed4401…
06-27 23:29:25	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x730126…
06-27 22:34:19	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xc4e38a…
06-27 08:20:05	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0x9cc133…
06-27 08:18:56	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	59	84¢	$49	0x682bf5…
06-27 08:16:32	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0eec67…
06-27 04:51:02	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x0e007e…
06-27 04:49:41	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x75f539…
06-27 04:33:26	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x2e35c0…
06-27 04:32:32	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0xddeda8…
06-27 04:16:01	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x3ce59d…
06-27 04:13:38	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x25389c…
06-27 04:12:52	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x672516…
06-27 04:12:22	Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb938f4…
06-27 04:11:08	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	85	93¢	$79	0x2f2a69…
06-27 01:57:35	Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0xe12960…
06-27 01:41:47	Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x72af04…
06-27 01:41:23	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x0d92c4…
06-27 01:07:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0xde66fb…
06-27 01:06:46	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xfb589a…
06-27 01:06:01	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	115	74¢	$85	0xba3b95…
06-26 21:11:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	115	60¢	$69	0x81a278…
06-26 19:46:59	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	73	95¢	$70	0xc9be99…
06-26 09:00:47	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	73	61¢	$45	0xb84a16…
06-24 19:33:08	Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x9a767c…
06-24 18:58:55	Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2630c7…
06-24 03:41:28	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x95fe71…
06-24 03:40:19	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0x49e6b1…
06-24 03:24:05	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0xecb54c…
06-24 02:22:44	Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x77eb47…
06-24 02:11:05	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x53eee7…
06-24 02:04:22	Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x83a871…
06-24 02:01:46	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6bc589…
06-24 00:53:01	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xe5c4fd…
06-24 00:31:14	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3ea2b6…
06-23 21:38:13	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xb60f72…
06-23 21:28:55	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	SELL	47	33¢	$15	0xaa95ec…
06-23 20:07:29	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xc6c131…
06-23 04:45:01	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xe749a8…
06-23 04:32:44	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4adaf2…
06-23 04:31:07	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0x42fbf3…
06-23 03:52:17	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xa339e4…
06-23 00:55:26	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	47	65¢	$30	0x6e0382…
06-23 00:02:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x6c0be8…
06-22 22:19:25	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0x5d25eb…
06-22 21:50:22	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xb3efb6…
06-22 21:26:13	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x70610b…
06-22 20:39:16	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x06b348…
06-22 19:59:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	331	20¢	$65	0xb19598…
06-22 17:22:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	95	61¢	$58	0xba138a…
06-22 04:21:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	95	67¢	$63	0x798220…
06-21 21:51:29	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x069a01…
06-21 20:57:56	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x40bd12…
06-21 20:29:46	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1d790f…
06-21 20:26:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	142	57¢	$81	0xeb1fbf…
06-21 16:17:04	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x219b5a…
06-21 12:43:02	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	68	69¢	$47	0x546c33…
06-21 12:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x8719cf…
06-21 12:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7f0902…
06-21 12:37:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x25212c…
06-21 12:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x032f82…
06-21 04:38:38	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa169c0…