(anonymous) 0x544f0f…4f4cb9
bot 10L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$126
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
10.6%
Resolved
54
Trades
766
lifetime
Volume
$8.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-22 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
69% 22% -$86
Politics
18% 25% -$19
Tech
8% 0% -$20
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +151 $96 97¢ $145 +$50 10-08 20:57
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +139 $121 97¢ $135 +$14 10-04 06:37
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +126 $78 98¢ $124 +$45 10-06 15:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +150 $75 66¢ $100 +$25 10-07 11:02
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +81 $71 96¢ $77 +$6 10-05 21:54
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +104 $72 67¢ $69 -$2 10-05 00:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +61 $50 98¢ $60 +$11 10-08 01:44
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +101 $59 58¢ $58 $0 10-06 08:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +150 $83 34¢ $50 -$33 10-07 11:22
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +50 $28 98¢ $49 +$21 10-09 01:33
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +100 $50 42¢ $42 -$8 10-08 05:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +50 $30 70¢ $35 +$5 10-06 07:34
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +100 $42 33¢ $33 -$9 10-06 10:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +50 $36 65¢ $32 -$4 10-08 18:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +50 $24 55¢ $27 +$4 10-09 13:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $32 50¢ $25 -$6 10-07 18:31
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $22 50¢ $25 +$3 10-07 17:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +50 $27 46¢ $23 -$4 10-09 13:58
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 10-10 07:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $14 35¢ $18 +$3 10-08 18:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +20 $12 83¢ $17 +$5 10-08 05:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +55 $23 30¢ $16 -$7 10-06 19:44
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +21 $16 72¢ $15 $0 10-07 10:54
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $7 53¢ $11 +$4 10-04 12:41
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $78 7¢ $11 -$68 10-08 20:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +21 $14 47¢ $10 -$4 10-05 00:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +13 $8 70¢ $9 +$1 10-08 13:34
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 28¢ $6 $0 10-07 09:21
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +136 $19 3¢ $4 -$15 10-04 06:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +13 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 10-08 13:34