Agonizing-Issue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$270

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-13 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 50% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:51
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:56
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:20
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:06
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-24 09:13
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:31
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:30
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:38
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:33
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:26
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:54
will the mongolz win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-05 01:57
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-08 08:04
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-24 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:56:15	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe16bba…
06-13 02:55:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x978506…
06-13 02:26:06	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0a35b…
06-12 03:07:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x586f18…
06-12 02:55:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x289098…
06-11 02:40:54	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb655ac…
06-11 02:27:03	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc18c35…
06-11 02:10:16	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x0a35fa…
06-11 02:09:22	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xd0a8bc…
06-09 01:04:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbd1329…
06-09 00:57:45	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x125bf4…
06-08 01:06:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc30c54…
06-08 00:56:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a6702…
06-06 02:37:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14ce51…
06-06 02:35:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x696b2d…
06-06 02:15:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1f0ac…
06-06 02:09:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x336156…
06-05 02:22:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7552dc…
06-05 02:20:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc4d8a1…
06-05 02:04:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb1e1fd…
06-05 01:57:28	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa22525…
06-04 01:52:09	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc61934…
06-04 01:30:36	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x97b1bd…
06-03 01:22:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a6192…
06-02 00:59:47	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb8821c…
06-01 02:10:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x21e513…
06-01 02:07:37	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xeb0bd1…
06-01 01:50:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x55fed6…
06-01 01:46:33	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6ae133…
05-30 01:43:26	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1f7519…
05-30 01:42:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa4364b…
05-30 01:21:21	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb0a015…
05-30 01:14:19	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf785b5…
05-29 01:33:12	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcb1292…
05-29 01:22:00	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe751cd…
05-27 01:51:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd6817b…
05-27 01:23:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe55d52…
05-25 02:20:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9242de…
05-25 02:04:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x927306…
05-23 01:51:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x077568…
05-23 01:47:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7791b3…
05-23 01:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6c2ea…
05-23 01:31:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xda5dc3…
05-22 02:04:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82d5ce…
05-22 01:37:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50ed44…
05-21 02:27:17	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xba7bc7…
05-21 02:23:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x49fa11…
05-21 02:06:55	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x06d7be…
05-21 02:01:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xea0786…
05-18 02:06:51	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc1b793…
05-18 01:53:57	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3bb50b…
05-16 02:25:43	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2ac71b…
05-16 01:37:42	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6adf51…
05-15 02:25:31	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x11d4a8…
05-15 02:20:34	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x197135…
05-14 01:52:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbafa5d…
05-14 01:51:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9c8b69…
05-14 01:34:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x385b7f…
05-14 01:27:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x65cbbc…
05-13 02:27:58	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x12e89c…
05-13 02:21:31	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ba913…
05-12 02:26:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x177e31…
05-12 02:25:25	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b0abb…
05-12 02:18:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b2c29…
05-12 02:10:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a72db…
05-11 01:56:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4fd75f…
05-11 01:46:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc810ee…
05-09 01:23:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x833e88…
05-09 01:10:59	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf157b2…
05-08 02:41:12	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xece61d…
05-08 02:39:35	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x49280a…
05-08 02:33:52	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0474c3…
05-08 02:31:11	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x425459…
05-07 01:18:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53250e…
05-07 01:09:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9766e…
05-05 01:57:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa26d58…
05-05 01:50:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x15bac1…
05-04 01:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd03ef…
04-30 02:45:56	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb39a19…
04-30 02:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b4340…
04-30 02:33:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3231d…
04-30 02:27:04	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe22a3c…
04-29 01:42:36	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x09c27a…
04-29 01:40:14	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x35dd43…
04-29 01:34:12	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x319a28…
04-29 01:28:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x509406…
04-28 01:38:04	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2607f0…
04-28 01:30:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9f06ad…
04-27 01:28:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x95da19…
04-27 01:27:20	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdb89a6…
04-27 01:14:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf0878c…
04-25 01:45:36	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27dd33…
04-25 01:42:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x11c90e…
04-25 01:31:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x00654b…
04-25 01:27:56	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78a0b2…
04-24 01:37:42	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9cec57…
04-24 01:35:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b7c52…
04-24 01:32:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac3c56…
04-24 01:29:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2cdddb…
04-23 10:04:02	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc85a33…