Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$69

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-06 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

89% 51% -$14

Politics

11% 60% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	11-06 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spy dip to 755 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 07:18
will hood reach 100 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-10 17:50
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-17 11:41
will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 02:54
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-09 02:54
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-21 17:13
will tsla reach 337 50 by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-11 01:58
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-09 23:17
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-11 19:19
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-22 01:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-08 17:57
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-18 05:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-09 10:55
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-11 10:25
will msft dip to 472 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-17 21:13
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 07:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-21 20:05
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-18 13:11
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	1	+1	Down	-$1	11-02 04:22
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 08:46
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-18 05:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-26 16:02
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 23:16
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 20:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	11-06 13:41
will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-26 18:38
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-19 15:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-23 08:10
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-15 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:41:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa5aecb…
11-06 01:22:46	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x90ebfa…
11-05 02:54:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeac53d…
11-02 12:22:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x326c67…
11-02 04:22:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbf0298…
11-01 20:09:09	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd56767…
10-26 16:02:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x71db7e…
10-23 17:18:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe5c927…
10-23 08:10:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xea1c57…
10-22 12:08:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1b46e1…
10-21 20:05:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4dbb2d…
10-19 23:57:39	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf833ab…
10-19 15:51:02	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9f3f59…
10-19 07:18:18	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdd6434…
10-18 23:16:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x057053…
10-18 13:11:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd3f648…
10-18 05:11:36	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1e2d24…
10-17 08:46:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0fcdf2…
10-16 23:04:20	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x02bc99…
10-16 12:59:31	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc5f07d…
10-16 04:31:46	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xedfecc…
10-15 18:57:17	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6f098e…
10-15 10:48:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x537f60…
10-15 02:39:05	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21a885…
10-14 06:37:22	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x809453…
10-10 04:45:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf2bf4c…
10-09 20:15:28	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x955e74…
10-09 11:45:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x056315…
10-09 03:42:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0a4608…
10-05 00:05:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd2affb…
09-28 04:23:39	will meta dip to 700 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x97060d…
09-26 18:38:09	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x24925f…
09-26 09:19:35	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x790632…
09-21 07:21:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x234d56…
08-22 01:28:52	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x05644d…
08-21 17:13:25	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xc3ac0c…
08-18 05:14:31	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeb3aec…
08-17 21:13:01	will msft dip to 472 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xcb1666…
08-17 11:41:39	hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6097a3…
08-17 02:54:15	will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbda229…
08-11 19:19:49	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x49996a…
08-11 10:25:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x61944d…
08-11 01:58:46	will tsla reach 337 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6b5f0e…
08-10 17:50:36	will hood reach 100 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xe7b2c9…
08-10 07:18:39	will spy dip to 755 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xca8c63…
08-09 23:17:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xe43f2c…
08-09 10:55:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc35163…
08-09 02:54:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x17f86b…
08-08 17:57:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x7ab0dc…