Monstrous-Thumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$511

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-08 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$3

Politics

19% — —

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	2	$4.0K	2,018	2,017	+1	open	—	04-26 14:59
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	8	$2.1K	2,144	0	+2,144	open	—	08-08 09:42
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in july 2026	3	$2.1K	1,351	735	+616	open	—	07-28 17:52
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	2	$2.0K	2,021	0	+2,021	open	—	04-26 14:59
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	04-21 20:12
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$2.0K	1,980	0	+1,980	Yes	+$2	05-05 19:28
will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	5	$1.7K	862	862	+0	open	—	07-20 21:50
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	4	$1.5K	1,485	0	+1,485	open	—	07-28 17:55
will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	3	$1.3K	657	657	+0	open	—	07-28 17:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	2	$1.2K	605	605	+0	open	—	05-14 15:08
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$999	310	695	-385	open	—	06-30 13:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$939	957	0	+957	open	—	05-14 17:13
Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 4-10?	1	$437	438	0	+438	No	+$1	05-08 07:28
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$395	396	0	+396	open	—	06-30 13:36
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$303	305	0	+305	open	—	05-24 09:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	2	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 15:32
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$299	301	0	+301	open	—	06-23 22:25
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$298	299	0	+299	open	—	06-23 04:55
will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	2	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	07-26 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 09:42:30	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd7a858…
08-05 03:12:26	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	310	97¢	$301	0xb11ba8…
08-04 19:42:41	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x657bbe…
08-04 19:42:20	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$982	0x4e0800…
08-04 19:42:14	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x1477f1…
08-04 19:42:09	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf41bd8…
08-04 19:42:05	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x348a86…
08-04 19:42:00	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2e88e6…
07-28 17:55:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	410	100¢	$408	0x7c7afa…
07-28 17:53:35	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	480	99¢	$478	0xd0e132…
07-28 17:53:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x4cfed5…
07-28 17:52:50	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	735	100¢	$734	0xb9f57b…
07-26 10:57:01	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	393	99¢	$390	0x9ad2d0…
07-26 10:56:40	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x35f363…
07-26 10:56:06	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xea09a6…
07-26 10:55:48	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	No	SELL	505	100¢	$505	0xe84790…
07-24 14:45:55	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	864	100¢	$860	0x6c7096…
07-20 21:50:25	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0x235428…
07-20 20:51:04	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb9a68a…
07-20 20:43:52	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x656a16…
07-20 20:35:51	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb97242…
07-14 21:23:34	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	No	BUY	657	100¢	$654	0x7bfdb6…
07-14 21:23:05	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	487	99¢	$483	0xa8be99…
07-14 21:22:13	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xde308c…
07-14 21:21:53	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	862	100¢	$859	0xdc0c36…
06-30 13:36:49	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0x3d8822…
06-30 13:36:16	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6855e…
06-30 13:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	395	100¢	$394	0x5bb41a…
06-23 22:25:08	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3e4648…
06-23 22:24:37	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	256	99¢	$255	0x2a14c1…
06-23 22:24:31	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x091fd3…
06-23 04:55:34	Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0x4d9cae…
06-23 04:54:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xeac5dc…
06-02 21:11:15	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	310	99¢	$306	0xb125d2…
05-24 09:23:20	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$303	0x7755fb…
05-14 17:13:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	957	98¢	$939	0x8e04ba…
05-14 15:32:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xff8019…
05-14 15:08:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	605	100¢	$604	0x25e4a1…
05-14 14:44:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	605	99¢	$601	0x87ebe1…
05-14 14:43:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5f9338…
05-08 07:28:22	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0xf10272…
05-05 19:28:56	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,980	100¢	$1,978	0x3276bf…
04-26 14:59:40	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,130	0x7c0674…
04-26 14:59:34	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	No	BUY	888	100¢	$884	0x7b0715…
04-26 14:59:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	SELL	2,017	100¢	$2,013	0x5cdc5b…
04-23 10:03:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	2,018	99¢	$2,002	0xa13ae0…
04-21 20:12:50	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xa3b06f…