Unhappy-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$559

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

569

Trades

2,163

lifetime

Volume

$43.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 65% -$1,516

Other

31% 77% +$879

Sports

3% 100% +$191

Politics

1% 50% -$112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	8	$1.2K	840	840	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$147	05-09 10:42
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	14	$988	700	700	+0	Ultra Prime	+$72	05-08 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 21:15 UTC	16	$925	700	700	+0	Down	-$231	01-08 21:28
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner	8	$828	579	579	+0	GIANTX	+$131	05-10 14:56
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	4	$732	450	450	+0	T1	+$168	05-10 09:38
nba cle min 2026 01 08	2	$698	360	360	+0	Timberwolves	+$21	01-09 03:29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	6	$640	400	400	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$160	05-08 13:08
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	3	$510	290	290	+0	No	+$69	04-10 16:59
nba ind cha 2026 01 08	5	$436	300	300	+0	Pacers	+$164	01-09 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	12	$416	471	0	+471	Down	+$55	05-10 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 09:00 UTC	8	$384	400	0	+400	Up	+$16	02-20 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$368	200	200	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 10:24
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	2	$366	200	200	+0	Gen.G	+$34	05-08 11:16
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	2	$364	200	200	+0	T1	+$36	05-08 09:15
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	2	$356	400	0	+400	No	+$44	02-20 11:40
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	5	$343	200	200	+0	LNG Esports	+$57	05-08 09:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 08:15 UTC	28	$338	600	274	+326	Up	-$22	02-16 08:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	1	$338	400	0	+400	Yes	+$62	01-09 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	14	$336	400	100	+300	Up	+$6	05-10 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:15 UTC	21	$330	382	382	+0	Down	-$114	02-16 06:29
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	3	$323	200	200	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$77	05-09 10:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:00 UTC	26	$303	400	296	+104	Down	-$291	02-07 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 11:45 UTC	2	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	02-07 12:02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	6	$293	450	200	+250	GIANTX	-$201	05-10 15:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:15 UTC	37	$284	500	0	+500	Up	+$216	02-07 08:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 12:00 UTC	4	$281	300	0	+300	Up	+$19	02-16 12:11
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	3	$277	200	200	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$123	05-07 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:00 UTC	15	$272	600	600	+0	Down	-$164	02-07 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$270	350	0	+350	Up	+$80	05-11 10:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 12:45 UTC	4	$265	400	0	+400	Up	+$135	02-16 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x45d36c…
10-25 10:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x41e4af…
10-22 05:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc54dc4…
10-22 05:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2acc35…
10-22 04:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8db55d…
10-22 04:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4e7644…
10-20 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x925e5d…
10-20 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0ca37a…
10-20 05:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x11a239…
10-19 07:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa78a8e…
10-19 07:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xed27ec…
10-19 06:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5f682b…
10-19 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x810e16…
10-19 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x49a0df…
10-18 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x074341…
10-18 13:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa51d4e…
10-18 13:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8ff1df…
10-18 06:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd92b40…
10-18 06:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb318f0…
10-18 06:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x58407b…
10-18 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x50fe62…
10-18 06:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9fa6b0…
10-18 06:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2754a3…
10-16 11:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x175fa1…
10-16 11:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x95397f…
10-16 10:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6150b5…
10-16 10:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x6c1b1f…
10-15 08:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x021aca…
10-14 03:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x19d8e8…
10-14 03:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x8dc52e…
10-14 03:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3941d0…
10-14 03:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xef7dad…
10-14 03:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb2ffb0…
10-14 03:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x521f98…
10-14 03:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xab64b9…
10-13 11:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x7c7bec…
10-13 11:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf71e0d…
10-13 11:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x47ccd8…
10-13 11:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x385eac…
10-13 11:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x3f1822…
10-13 03:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3ef1c3…
10-13 03:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xf74c3e…
10-13 03:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x912c33…
10-11 11:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x719d44…
10-11 11:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdac687…
10-10 06:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x349392…
10-10 06:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaf62d3…
10-09 09:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5e57aa…
10-09 09:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x4eddff…
10-09 09:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa35be9…
10-09 00:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbbb0eb…
10-09 00:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x875df1…
10-09 00:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8a93df…
10-09 00:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xfec0b9…
10-09 00:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdcbec2…
10-09 00:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x6abda5…
10-09 00:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x82aefe…
10-09 00:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x761480…
10-08 23:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7b265b…
10-08 23:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0fc4ac…
10-08 23:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf312c6…
10-08 23:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x606a3e…
10-08 23:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xee28f1…
10-08 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbc0ebc…
10-08 23:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf0c241…
10-08 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x60ef62…
10-08 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb67246…
10-08 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x95a9a9…
10-08 22:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x788110…
10-08 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa7bc00…
10-08 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x76b3bc…
10-08 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x34f8f6…
10-08 09:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1394a4…
10-08 08:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x72d07a…
10-04 11:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xf0af8d…
10-04 11:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x278bad…
10-04 11:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x559a1c…
10-04 11:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xeb774f…
10-04 11:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0e4a61…
10-04 10:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xee7ebb…
10-04 10:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x153184…
10-04 10:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a2a88…
10-04 10:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x40cd54…
10-04 10:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x95b801…
10-04 02:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf7be1d…
10-04 02:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x5d1d15…
10-04 02:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbbcd80…
09-12 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x7ca3d6…
09-12 01:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa6a369…
09-12 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf33ac6…
09-12 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x1af373…
09-12 01:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdf0492…
09-12 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xec2db9…
09-12 01:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6b34e0…
09-12 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf98ddb…
09-12 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd997b7…
09-12 00:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xc59153…
09-12 00:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x77b515…
09-11 23:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x5b087a…
09-11 23:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x59038c…