Smug-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

3,193

Trades

6,314

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 09-22 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 49% -$11

Other

6% 83% -$34

Politics

3% 67% -$88

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Sports

0% 67% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	91	$1.1K	904	770	+134	Up	-$102	04-02 17:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 20:00 UTC	129	$521	853	66	+787	Up	-$452	04-02 20:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:30 UTC	43	$506	464	172	+292	Down	+$51	04-02 17:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 23:45 UTC	28	$462	413	248	+165	Down	+$48	04-01 23:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	29	$371	418	239	+179	Down	-$15	04-02 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	25	$266	220	170	+50	Down	+$34	04-02 16:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:45 UTC	44	$241	323	18	+305	Down	+$81	04-02 17:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	30	$214	197	165	+32	Down	+$8	03-30 09:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 18:00 UTC	57	$201	407	50	+357	Up	-$163	04-02 18:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 20:15 UTC	59	$196	343	377	-34	Up	+$23	04-02 20:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC	21	$178	300	0	+300	Down	+$122	04-02 09:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:45 UTC	12	$173	162	56	+106	Down	+$42	04-02 09:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:00 UTC	19	$172	168	107	+61	Down	+$8	04-02 12:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:15 UTC	20	$153	126	100	+26	Down	+$10	04-01 22:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:15 UTC	98	$143	498	551	-53	Up	-$9	04-02 17:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 01:45 UTC	20	$137	382	0	+382	Up	-$137	04-02 01:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 10:00 UTC	13	$126	122	79	+43	Down	+$13	04-02 10:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	16	$123	109	83	+26	Down	+$12	03-30 09:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:45 UTC	11	$121	95	91	+4	Down	+$39	04-01 22:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC	11	$113	103	100	+3	Up	-$37	04-01 23:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	18	$103	105	80	+25	Down	+$7	04-02 16:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 11:45 UTC	15	$100	109	103	+6	Down	+$15	04-02 11:52
will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260610160650642 886 186	5	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$2	06-24 11:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:30 UTC	47	$99	98	63	+35	Down	+$16	04-22 09:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 10:30 UTC	16	$99	138	108	+30	Up	$0	04-02 10:40
will starmer say shadow during the next pmq 20260610160650641 996 994	4	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$2	06-24 11:41
will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	5	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$7	06-24 11:43
will starmer say urgent during the next pmq 20260610160650636	4	$98	54	54	+0	No	+$1	06-24 11:41
will starmer say northern ireland during the next pmq 20260610160650639 885 789	5	$98	54	53	+1	No	+$3	06-24 11:42
will starmer say record funding during the next pmq 20260610160650645 662 212	3	$97	54	54	+0	No	+$5	06-24 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 08:41:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8ca62d…
09-04 23:54:09	Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb4915…
09-04 23:54:09	Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96f8f3…
09-04 23:54:06	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0d7a73…
09-04 23:54:04	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260831	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x1badec…
09-04 23:53:57	Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3791f1…
09-04 23:53:54	Will "Anthropic" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x03be26…
08-21 14:27:43	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbd9313…
08-21 14:27:42	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xfcab23…
08-21 14:27:42	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xc8f8ce…
08-21 14:27:37	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xdef650…
08-21 14:27:37	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2941ef…
08-21 14:27:36	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x813453…
08-21 14:27:36	will anthropic be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260818	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1e43d8…
08-14 20:32:03	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102575	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe9969b…
08-14 20:32:03	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102576	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x403162…
08-14 20:32:03	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102578	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x0a1742…
08-14 20:31:58	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102580	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6b3b2d…
08-14 20:31:57	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102574	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9f91e…
08-14 20:31:57	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102571	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x05692c…
08-14 20:31:55	will anthropic be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102573	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58124c…
08-14 20:31:55	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102572	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e0a23…
08-13 02:21:19	will no episode air 20260812155102581	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x0f1ad6…
08-13 02:21:18	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102575	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xab7601…
08-13 02:21:18	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102580	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x66361e…
08-13 02:21:13	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260812155102579	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a9a2c…
08-08 01:31:13	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505809	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7830f7…
08-08 01:31:13	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505806	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x527652…
08-08 01:31:13	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505807	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x1b9e08…
08-08 01:31:12	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505800	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x00636d…
08-08 01:31:07	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505804	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x83214e…
07-31 22:49:39	will regulatory or regulation be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921253	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41968a…
07-31 22:49:38	will cancer be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921252	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe03b63…
07-31 22:49:38	will disruptive be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921250	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb340c4…
07-31 22:49:38	will canada or canadian be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921254	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7c29d6…
07-31 22:49:36	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161838587	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2bc5e…
07-31 22:49:36	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921249	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x090449…
07-31 22:49:29	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161838581	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x14875f…
07-26 21:50:36	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x992aa0…
07-26 15:14:46	will trump say stupid question this week 20260719005322449	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xafb029…
07-26 04:23:10	will trump say stupid question this week 20260719005322449	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8fce2a…
07-25 20:58:31	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xea7094…
07-25 05:58:06	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef49a3…
07-25 03:50:28	will trump say stupid question this week 20260719005322449	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9eb37b…
07-25 03:18:18	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa3e37f…
07-25 02:19:49	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7f8e22…
07-25 00:43:58	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9758f9…
07-25 00:31:06	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcafd9a…
07-24 21:03:13	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813229	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe452b3…
07-24 21:03:13	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708327	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7c7f59…
07-24 21:03:13	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708328	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19d150…
07-24 21:03:12	will miracle be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813243	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xf7c439…
07-24 21:03:12	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813231	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xe7bea6…
07-24 21:03:12	will alignment be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708324	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xd04d84…
07-24 21:03:12	will disruptive be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708329	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1a53b0…
07-24 21:03:12	will canada be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708325	No	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x18ec59…
07-24 21:03:10	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813227	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xff96bc…
07-24 21:03:01	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708326	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xffe048…
07-24 21:03:01	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813225	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x852fad…
07-24 21:03:00	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813228	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd9833e…
07-24 21:03:00	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708316	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd298f0…
07-24 21:03:00	will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155813232	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x02bacb…
07-24 20:34:45	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x3a107a…
07-24 14:11:13	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260719005322455	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8930d6…
07-24 02:23:22	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9680ff…
07-24 02:12:22	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0c936d…
07-24 01:28:58	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1e2a9b…
07-23 23:23:15	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x338422…
07-23 23:23:06	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260719005322455	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x545a25…
07-23 02:32:45	will trump say stupid question this week 20260719005322449	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2da490…
07-22 23:33:28	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260719005322455	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2cc4b7…
07-22 07:38:54	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4db47e…
07-21 11:48:31	will trump say epstein this week 20260719005322454	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1887f5…
07-21 10:44:16	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc75440…
07-21 04:07:25	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260719005322453	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9c10dc…
07-20 16:35:12	will trump say epstein this week 20260719005322454	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3782a5…
07-18 19:07:28	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc95100…
07-18 02:33:45	will trump say beer this week 20260710153927795	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8e616c…
07-18 00:55:57	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020200	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4347d4…
07-18 00:55:49	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905575	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x34e202…
07-18 00:55:48	will anthropic be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020196	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bfdc6…
07-17 20:10:10	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfc2aa5…
07-16 08:46:02	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ed146…
07-16 05:05:10	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x868cf4…
07-15 20:14:25	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xbd8a25…
07-15 01:01:59	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8d66ae…
07-15 01:01:58	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x11df77…
07-15 01:01:55	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd033c5…
07-15 01:01:53	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb8d60a…
07-15 01:01:52	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfd5139…
07-13 21:59:56	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa04254…
07-13 16:13:25	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260710153927801	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x56b788…
07-13 12:48:17	will trump say beer this week 20260710153927795	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x511a40…
07-13 10:46:53	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260710153927801	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f1fe3…
07-13 06:49:01	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x1279f2…
07-13 06:07:02	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c25cf…
07-13 01:12:38	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeae1eb…
07-12 22:45:05	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5e7125…
07-12 22:04:02	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd87fe6…
07-12 22:03:37	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6b34…