Smug-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

6,162

lifetime

Volume

$37.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-21 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 60% +$31

Other

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 386 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1775149200	91	$1.1K	904	770	+134	open	—	04-02 17:13
eth updown 15m 1775160000	129	$521	853	66	+787	open	—	04-02 20:14
eth updown 15m 1775151000	43	$506	464	172	+292	open	—	04-02 17:39
eth updown 15m 1775087100	28	$462	413	248	+165	open	—	04-01 23:53
eth updown 15m 1775142000	29	$371	418	239	+179	open	—	04-02 15:14
eth updown 15m 1775148300	25	$266	220	170	+50	open	—	04-02 16:57
eth updown 15m 1775151900	44	$241	323	18	+305	open	—	04-02 17:49
eth updown 15m 1774863000	30	$214	197	165	+32	open	—	03-30 09:38
eth updown 15m 1775152800	57	$201	407	50	+357	open	—	04-02 18:11
eth updown 15m 1775160900	59	$196	343	377	-34	open	—	04-02 20:27
eth updown 15m 1775122200	21	$178	300	0	+300	open	—	04-02 09:38
eth updown 15m 1775123100	12	$173	162	56	+106	open	—	04-02 09:57
eth updown 15m 1775131200	19	$172	168	107	+61	open	—	04-02 12:13
eth updown 15m 1775081700	20	$153	126	100	+26	open	—	04-01 22:29
eth updown 15m 1775150100	98	$143	498	551	-53	open	—	04-02 17:27
eth updown 15m 1775094300	20	$137	382	0	+382	open	—	04-02 01:51
eth updown 15m 1775124000	13	$126	122	79	+43	open	—	04-02 10:10
eth updown 15m 1774862100	16	$123	109	83	+26	open	—	03-30 09:23
eth updown 15m 1775083500	11	$121	95	91	+4	open	—	04-01 22:50
eth updown 15m 1775086200	11	$113	103	100	+3	open	—	04-01 23:34
eth updown 15m 1775145600	18	$103	105	80	+25	open	—	04-02 16:12
eth updown 15m 1775130300	15	$100	109	103	+6	open	—	04-02 11:52
will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260610160650642 886 186	5	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	06-24 11:41
eth updown 15m 1776850200	47	$99	98	63	+35	open	—	04-22 09:41
eth updown 15m 1775125800	16	$99	138	108	+30	open	—	04-02 10:40
will starmer say shadow during the next pmq 20260610160650641 996 994	4	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	06-24 11:41
will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	5	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	06-24 11:43
will starmer say urgent during the next pmq 20260610160650636	4	$98	54	54	+0	open	—	06-24 11:41
will starmer say northern ireland during the next pmq 20260610160650639 885 789	5	$98	54	53	+1	open	—	06-24 11:42
will starmer say record funding during the next pmq 20260610160650645 662 212	3	$97	54	54	+0	open	—	06-24 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 11:48:31	will trump say epstein this week 20260719005322454	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1887f5…
07-21 10:44:16	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc75440…
07-21 04:07:25	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260719005322453	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9c10dc…
07-20 16:35:12	will trump say epstein this week 20260719005322454	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3782a5…
07-18 19:07:28	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc95100…
07-18 02:33:45	will trump say beer this week 20260710153927795	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8e616c…
07-18 00:55:57	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020200	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4347d4…
07-18 00:55:49	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713143905575	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x34e202…
07-18 00:55:48	will anthropic be said 5 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260713144020196	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bfdc6…
07-17 20:10:10	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfc2aa5…
07-16 08:46:02	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ed146…
07-16 05:05:10	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x868cf4…
07-15 20:14:25	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xbd8a25…
07-15 01:01:59	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8d66ae…
07-15 01:01:58	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x11df77…
07-15 01:01:55	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd033c5…
07-15 01:01:53	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb8d60a…
07-15 01:01:52	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfd5139…
07-13 21:59:56	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa04254…
07-13 16:13:25	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260710153927801	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x56b788…
07-13 12:48:17	will trump say beer this week 20260710153927795	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x511a40…
07-13 10:46:53	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260710153927801	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f1fe3…
07-13 06:49:01	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x1279f2…
07-13 06:07:02	will trump say six seven this week 20260710153927810	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c25cf…
07-13 01:12:38	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeae1eb…
07-12 22:45:05	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5e7125…
07-12 22:04:02	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd87fe6…
07-12 22:03:37	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6b34…
07-12 21:28:56	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x94c4d0…
07-12 16:38:11	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc385d1…
07-12 02:12:53	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbc79ac…
07-11 21:13:29	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6baeaf…
07-11 11:24:56	will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e0e06…
07-11 04:53:17	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4002cc…
07-11 02:31:19	will cancer be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212430	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xbddbb2…
07-11 02:31:17	will disruptive be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212428	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x72868c…
07-11 02:31:17	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212426	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x3547e2…
07-11 02:31:17	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212427	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x17718b…
07-11 02:31:16	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212417	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa953e6…
07-11 02:31:16	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212419	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8c0789…
07-11 02:31:16	will canada be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212424	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x33b3f7…
07-11 02:30:55	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212416	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb3162c…
07-11 02:30:52	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212418	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xd3872d…
07-11 02:30:52	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd0964f…
07-11 01:59:04	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc2b0b0…
07-10 23:48:26	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd438fd…
07-10 19:15:01	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260703145736723	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5f0cc3…
07-10 19:14:59	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260703145736723	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa46554…
07-10 16:18:07	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6be1f0…
07-10 10:29:38	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbe344f…
07-10 01:24:19	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x479324…
07-09 22:53:52	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3db985…
07-09 22:32:58	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x547b30…
07-09 19:06:35	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x808409…
07-09 18:27:38	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xc4f7ca…
07-09 15:14:37	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc6d744…
07-09 13:11:04	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260703145736723	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x18181a…
07-09 07:11:16	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0e8423…
07-08 09:49:05	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260703145736723	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbc3641…
07-07 16:03:47	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1fb359…
07-06 21:56:28	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x949145…
07-06 21:56:13	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x33eea7…
07-06 21:45:55	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x2b54b7…
07-06 16:00:16	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7d30ce…
07-06 16:00:16	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x3ea674…
07-06 15:58:41	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x5e6ede…
07-06 15:58:20	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x086d6f…
07-06 15:55:35	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260703145736723	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x613bdd…
07-06 14:20:17	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260703145736711	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcbfa4a…
07-06 13:40:35	will trump say messi this week 20260703145736710	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf1e472…
07-06 04:22:35	will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x57e457…
07-05 21:05:41	will trump say female this week 20260626175002254	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c8b80…
07-05 20:54:47	will trump say six seven this week 20260626175002256	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x844846…
07-05 20:54:17	will trump say maduro this week 20260626175002248	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3866fc…
07-05 20:12:23	will trump say six seven this week 20260626175002256	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18de6d…
07-05 18:54:20	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa278b5…
07-05 18:54:01	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16213e…
07-05 18:16:46	will trump say maduro this week 20260626175002248	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb409df…
07-05 17:06:29	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x95fc35…
07-05 15:53:22	will trump say female this week 20260626175002254	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16a8f6…
07-05 15:50:02	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x093884…
07-05 15:30:05	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5c8d26…
07-05 15:19:10	will trump say female this week 20260626175002254	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x619653…
07-05 15:16:10	will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa46720…
07-05 15:16:08	will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xf8d307…
07-05 14:09:22	will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3751e2…
07-05 09:48:34	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260626175002255	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x910c6e…
07-05 08:54:38	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11972e…
07-05 08:53:56	will trump say maduro this week 20260626175002248	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94ac73…
07-05 08:53:47	will trump say fertilizer this week 20260626175002255	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x244e19…
07-05 08:42:59	will trump say female this week 20260626175002254	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85cdde…
07-05 03:58:28	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xf2e7d9…
07-05 01:36:08	will trump say six seven this week 20260626175002256	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa06015…
07-04 20:42:20	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb8fab9…
07-04 16:27:58	will trump say coach this week 20260626175002244	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x580e9e…
07-04 15:09:44	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb3fa86…
07-04 13:30:37	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x68ad6d…
07-04 09:09:23	will trump say beer this week 20260626175002246	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xabf496…
07-04 08:33:01	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260626175002259	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7dbe97…
07-04 06:32:17	will trump say beer this week 20260626175002246	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5720c6…