Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$58.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$560

Open exposure

$3.82K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

60% 88% -$3,512

Other

27% 100% +$127

Tech

12% 100% +$140

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No		+3,820	$3,732	100¢	$3.8K	+$76	10-23 22:33
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes		+8	$6	100¢	$8	+$2	10-05 12:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	14	$7.3K	3,742	3,736	+6	Yes	+$140	10-22 21:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$7.0K	7,070	0	+7,070	Yes	+$28	08-15 02:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$6.9K	6,971	0	+6,971	No	+$21	07-29 15:32
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$6.9K	6,902	0	+6,902	Yes	+$15	07-21 15:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	3	$6.9K	6,924	0	+6,924	Yes	+$69	08-02 14:19
Iran leadership change by October 31?	5	$3.7K	3,820	0	+3,820	open	—	10-23 22:33
over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	2	$3.7K	3,686	0	+3,686	No	+$4	07-25 16:59
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	5	$3.5K	3,633	0	+3,633	No	-$3,535	08-28 08:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	6	$3.5K	3,603	0	+3,603	Yes	+$68	08-30 19:50
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	1	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	No	+$2	07-25 16:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$587	294	294	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$577	542	279	+263	No	-$57	05-24 10:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$293	293	0	+293	No	+$1	07-02 12:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$293	293	0	+293	No	+$0	06-20 02:26
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	3	$292	315	0	+315	Yes	+$22	07-17 16:33
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	1	$292	292	0	+292	Yes	+$0	06-18 01:06
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$292	292	0	+292	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:33
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	1	$263	266	0	+266	Yes	+$3	05-31 03:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$250	266	0	+266	No	+$15	05-20 23:26
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	05-20 23:20
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	1	$239	285	0	+285	Yes	+$46	07-24 15:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$205	250	0	+250	No	+$45	04-21 03:09
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	3	$205	205	0	+205	No	+$0	04-21 06:34
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$203	206	0	+206	No	+$2	04-14 06:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$203	204	0	+204	No	+$1	04-14 06:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$197	206	0	+206	No	-$197	05-24 10:27
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	03-25 15:43
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$187	191	0	+191	No	+$3	05-13 03:51
over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	07-25 16:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	06-08 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:55:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58b664…
10-23 22:33:23	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	2,726	98¢	$2,663	0x4f6ea4…
10-23 15:21:00	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7962ad…
10-23 14:31:48	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0xc72e18…
10-23 13:51:42	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x7c09fa…
10-23 13:21:39	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c77fe…
10-22 21:41:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	527	100¢	$526	0x0a5be3…
10-22 20:36:21	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x7fd926…
10-22 20:35:50	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	709	100¢	$708	0x5d3d9a…
10-05 12:01:16	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x4f8e33…
09-09 17:37:09	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	570	96¢	$548	0x2055a5…
09-09 16:51:25	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x911c73…
09-09 16:30:16	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	461	96¢	$443	0xb4ff2a…
09-09 16:18:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	151	96¢	$145	0x1514da…
09-09 10:40:19	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,396	96¢	$1,340	0xf9d510…
09-09 10:40:19	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x2ec5c9…
09-09 05:20:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x327022…
09-08 23:39:15	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0xd32dff…
09-08 23:39:07	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0xe3ea34…
09-08 23:39:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x3a8a23…
09-08 23:38:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	237	97¢	$229	0xaf7479…
08-30 19:50:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	442	98¢	$434	0x5df766…
08-29 11:24:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x5d03e4…
08-29 11:18:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,365	98¢	$2,320	0x5f4f88…
08-29 11:15:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	228	98¢	$224	0x2d90d4…
08-28 10:14:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8846c0…
08-28 08:46:46	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,985	97¢	$1,931	0x739bff…
08-28 03:58:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	484	98¢	$475	0x849b0e…
08-28 03:53:40	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	473	97¢	$460	0x5ee6d0…
08-28 03:19:43	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x48f348…
08-28 03:12:36	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf3bc88…
08-28 02:51:28	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,115	97¢	$1,085	0xef0436…
08-15 02:55:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	4,455	100¢	$4,437	0xd809e9…
08-15 02:50:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2,615	100¢	$2,604	0x475fe2…
08-04 04:07:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x229f11…
08-02 14:19:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xcff28f…
08-02 14:19:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x03b72f…
08-02 14:19:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	6,788	99¢	$6,721	0x937c63…
08-02 13:20:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x7d8a93…
07-29 15:32:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,869	100¢	$5,851	0xa7f487…
07-29 15:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xad1fca…
07-29 15:30:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x150965…
07-29 15:26:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	379	100¢	$377	0xef20bf…
07-25 16:59:46	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0854ec…
07-25 16:59:36	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa09065…
07-25 16:59:30	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	2,102	100¢	$2,100	0x16fb8f…
07-25 16:59:24	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	3,670	100¢	$3,666	0x6e3a7b…
07-24 15:11:42	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	285	84¢	$239	0x0dd1ea…
07-21 15:16:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,585	100¢	$6,571	0xd7827d…
07-20 03:11:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	318	99¢	$316	0xc4650e…
07-17 16:33:37	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xe54b3f…
07-17 16:33:34	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	232	93¢	$215	0xc4d5bc…
07-17 16:33:33	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xee8a23…
07-17 16:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x06aa04…
07-13 12:51:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x2eff55…
07-02 12:43:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0x48bf2c…
06-20 02:26:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0x7bf3e8…
06-18 01:06:34	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x64215a…
06-15 15:13:36	unai simon 20260609173616776	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xa31fe4…
06-15 15:13:25	fabian ruiz 20260609173616761	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf9ae0b…
06-15 15:13:16	aymeric laporte 20260609173616767	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x872ce8…
06-15 15:13:10	rodri 20260609173616769	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xfd716c…
06-08 08:33:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x913d7d…
06-08 00:44:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x473069…
06-04 11:08:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	149	94¢	$140	0xacc1a2…
05-31 03:05:47	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	266	99¢	$263	0x791934…
05-24 10:27:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	143	95¢	$136	0xc4b169…
05-24 10:20:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x5a0281…
05-24 10:06:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	263	75¢	$197	0x27bb0d…
05-24 01:43:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	279	46¢	$129	0xa654d4…
05-23 04:51:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	279	90¢	$251	0x772eeb…
05-20 23:26:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	266	94¢	$250	0x495eb1…
05-20 23:20:35	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	251	99¢	$250	0x55efaa…
05-13 06:13:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	98	95¢	$94	0x7ea393…
05-13 05:32:28	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x539ac2…
05-13 03:51:09	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0x29b812…
05-13 03:50:50	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	107	88¢	$94	0x5c9a03…
04-26 01:17:20	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xae9b47…
04-26 00:35:58	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x6377b3…
04-25 22:37:50	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x923e9b…
04-25 21:23:44	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x4beb36…
04-25 20:25:00	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x5783bf…
04-25 17:38:36	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xb17882…
04-25 07:54:56	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0d5ff0…
04-25 05:16:54	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x963835…
04-25 04:22:48	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x8dc9cc…
04-25 04:07:26	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x27f5ae…
04-25 03:24:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0x628c8f…
04-25 03:23:54	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x25e2c2…
04-21 06:34:16	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd4de1d…
04-21 06:17:22	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1bece…
04-21 06:15:20	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x7fd4c7…
04-21 03:09:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x1f5471…
04-14 06:38:47	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	201	99¢	$198	0xdae8e6…
04-14 06:38:15	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0331b9…
04-14 06:38:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x7f72b1…
03-25 21:13:35	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7b4ff3…
03-25 16:08:53	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc45ec0…
03-25 16:08:53	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x966e6c…
03-25 16:08:53	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8fd880…