Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

115

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$185

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 11-13 04:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

79% 53% -$12

Politics

19% 65% +$9

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+1	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	11-11 11:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	+2	$1	62¢	$1	+$0	11-09 01:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	11-11 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	+1	$1	56¢	$1	$0	11-13 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$5	13	+13	Yes	+$5	08-02 01:51
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:11
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 22:57
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-20 04:02
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-23 23:18
will spy dip to 770 by september 21 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-22 02:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 15:49
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-20 12:31
will abnb reach 168 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 19:09
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-23 03:13
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-20 21:54
will mu dip to 960 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-17 21:27
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-13 18:28
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 09:51
will googl dip to 335 by august 10 2026	1	$2	11	+11	No	-$2	08-13 09:47
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-18 22:20
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-18 14:19
tsla up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Up	-$2	08-11 17:30
will abnb dip to 140 by august 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-03 09:27
spx up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-05 13:37
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 06:07
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 10:29
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 00:58
spy up or down on august 26 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	-$2	08-26 15:36
spx up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$4	08-14 12:45
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-01 14:10
spy up or down on august 12 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-12 13:40
will pltr dip to 171 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 00:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 10:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaa3d77…
11-12 20:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x695967…
11-12 12:28:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x53c6d5…
11-12 04:27:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf36bc4…
11-11 20:22:28	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x683f30…
11-11 11:41:13	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc6be14…
11-11 03:40:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x524d70…
11-10 19:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x752a02…
11-10 11:24:00	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfc1c5f…
11-10 03:06:34	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2ffc5f…
11-09 19:05:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8858ea…
11-09 10:39:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd7da45…
11-09 01:31:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf452fc…
11-08 17:31:07	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc4ce10…
11-08 09:28:33	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 7+ times during "60 Minutes" extended interview?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9289a2…
11-07 15:12:21	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x523c79…
11-06 21:38:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa10624…
11-06 13:08:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x062d7b…
11-06 01:24:33	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x81276c…
11-05 12:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x080021…
11-05 02:59:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc5144…
11-05 02:38:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbddf04…
11-04 06:08:33	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34c680…
11-03 22:00:58	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c23d1…
11-03 12:26:48	Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x542aa1…
11-03 04:25:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x395d59…
11-03 04:24:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0e7d64…
11-02 20:22:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd49e71…
11-02 12:22:33	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x55a16f…
11-02 04:22:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9bb1a6…
11-01 20:09:01	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x411cf8…
10-27 20:54:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd299ea…
10-27 12:32:33	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4788d5…
10-25 04:00:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8ca45e…
10-22 12:09:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf1a394…
10-21 19:11:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf96764…
10-21 11:05:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8c65a0…
10-21 03:05:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x15104f…
10-20 05:03:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x48e7b8…
10-19 21:02:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc399ec…
10-19 12:25:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaf64e5…
10-19 04:25:41	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xedbb74…
10-18 20:25:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x582126…
10-18 12:06:21	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x160ec4…
10-18 01:04:00	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe4087d…
10-17 16:00:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeb4f19…
10-16 12:33:00	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3dcac0…
10-16 04:31:55	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x09b109…
10-15 19:49:53	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfe5734…
10-15 09:38:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x384fba…
10-15 00:39:35	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb25699…
10-15 00:00:07	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf63b57…
10-14 15:32:06	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd86a93…
10-14 07:27:53	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xae7d74…
10-13 11:13:20	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x192509…
10-12 15:01:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2dc5b2…
10-12 06:37:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x57a1c0…
10-11 22:37:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbac3a1…
10-11 14:27:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1aaa89…
10-11 03:03:32	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f3cf1…
10-10 11:40:40	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe0de28…
10-09 11:49:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa86d74…
10-09 03:48:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x904986…
10-08 19:46:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc5636f…
10-08 08:23:05	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc6922f…
10-08 00:21:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x98d148…
10-07 16:21:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6c1d1d…
10-07 04:23:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7cc7e9…
10-06 20:23:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xca40a6…
10-06 12:22:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9c40cc…
10-06 04:21:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x884dcb…
10-05 16:12:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x755e54…
10-04 23:47:04	will mu dip to 1050 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2692a1…
10-02 08:10:12	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5a1c25…
10-01 17:26:44	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a1234…
10-01 16:57:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f8d4e…
10-01 08:54:54	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa3d304…
09-26 21:31:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb17d82…
09-26 07:23:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeea76a…
09-25 04:14:57	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4b30a1…
09-24 19:29:09	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c823f…
09-24 07:18:54	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x35823c…
09-23 23:18:46	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5014cf…
09-23 03:13:25	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6a7fee…
09-22 19:09:19	will abnb reach 168 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x184ef0…
09-22 10:29:24	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x701709…
09-22 02:29:12	will spy dip to 770 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x06f71e…
09-21 06:07:44	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x583576…
09-20 21:54:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1c56d5…
09-20 12:31:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc9e5a9…
09-20 04:02:49	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x76fb5e…
09-19 07:11:34	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x01362d…
09-01 14:10:12	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x96094b…
08-26 15:36:04	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf87bb7…
08-18 22:20:37	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6658b…
08-18 14:19:58	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9b7444…
08-18 05:28:24	will abnb reach 186 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5278ea…
08-17 21:27:00	will mu dip to 960 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8b5e80…
08-17 09:51:36	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe85dd6…
08-17 00:37:52	will pltr dip to 171 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd557f9…