Ancient-Armadillo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-19 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

38% 0% $-6

Crypto

32% 20% +$7

Other

25% 67% +$3

Sports

5% 33% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$393	654	592	+63	open	—	04-21 16:24
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	11	$258	270	270	+0	open	—	04-21 11:18
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	12	$124	439	414	+25	open	—	04-21 16:22
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$98	99	99	+0	open	—	04-22 06:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$74	108	108	+0	open	—	05-19 15:32
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$58	38	38	+0	Knicks	+$18	05-10 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	2	$57	53	50	+2	open	—	04-25 06:55
btc updown 5m 1776714000	9	$54	54	28	+27	open	—	04-20 19:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	6	$53	245	176	+69	open	—	04-21 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776695100	5	$53	51	26	+25	open	—	04-20 14:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$52	52	31	+21	open	—	04-21 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	Down	+$11	05-07 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$39	45	0	+45	open	—	04-24 08:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$37	67	67	+0	open	—	05-07 21:56
btc updown 5m 1776714600	11	$35	166	0	+166	open	—	04-20 19:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	04-23 09:47
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$30	61	0	+61	Knicks	+$31	05-08 14:33
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 06:17
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	6	$28	94	0	+94	open	—	04-19 11:53
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	2	$26	16	16	+0	Dallas Wings	+$6	05-09 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 22:05
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	9	$21	140	140	+0	open	—	04-30 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776714900	3	$21	35	10	+25	open	—	04-20 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	3	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	5	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 08:00
btc updown 5m 1776621600	4	$19	17	16	+1	open	—	04-19 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$19	24	9	+15	Down	$-1	05-09 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	4	$19	18	16	+1	open	—	04-28 07:58
btc updown 5m 1776693000	5	$18	17	9	+7	open	—	04-20 13:55
btc updown 5m 1776691800	4	$17	20	10	+10	open	—	04-20 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:33:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc3aeaa…
05-19 15:32:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa963c7…
05-13 21:41:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xda3991…
05-13 21:40:05	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6084c1…
05-13 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7729d7…
05-11 21:23:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x49ece0…
05-10 21:51:42	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe4efed…
05-09 22:16:58	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa9ebe1…
05-09 22:11:31	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbe4bc4…
05-09 22:08:27	Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	Dallas Wings	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x639f72…
05-09 18:22:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x143681…
05-09 18:22:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x55da00…
05-09 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x24b712…
05-09 18:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd622cd…
05-09 18:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x79367e…
05-09 18:10:32	Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	Dallas Wings	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x80e88d…
05-09 18:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa6cb12…
05-09 18:05:10	Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)	Team Heretics	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb40ad…
05-09 13:46:54	Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)	Team Heretics	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xded295…
05-09 13:43:29	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc316f0…
05-09 13:42:12	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x396ddc…
05-09 13:40:55	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8f6b11…
05-08 14:33:58	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x9de5bd…
05-07 22:27:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	31¢	$33	0xb6ef2e…
05-07 22:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54d520…
05-07 22:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x86c1bc…
05-07 21:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0xd197b7…
05-07 21:56:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	67	25¢	$17	0x3d0a8c…
05-07 21:34:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x1ca7a1…
05-07 21:33:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x081597…
05-03 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x14bd95…
05-03 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x284837…
05-03 21:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc36c11…
05-03 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2b5456…
05-03 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2d219d…
05-03 21:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x709dbf…
05-03 21:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaf32cd…
05-03 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x50962e…
05-03 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8e48a9…
05-03 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe30b2d…
05-03 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8be269…
05-03 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb22afb…
05-03 18:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x117558…
05-03 18:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbbdd5e…
05-03 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e273d…
05-03 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x1dd8a1…
05-03 18:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdcb828…
05-03 18:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae021f…
05-03 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3c97fb…
05-03 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1e456…
05-03 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a7e3f…
05-03 18:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x326079…
05-03 18:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdc2e5a…
05-03 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5c8b9…
05-03 18:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2111a9…
05-03 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x12c0c8…
05-03 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x66d9ca…
05-03 17:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0cc8dd…
05-02 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5b663c…
05-02 17:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe8f972…
05-02 17:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ced27…
05-02 17:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf9430…
05-02 17:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2fd65c…
05-02 17:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4cace7…
05-02 17:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd638a9…
05-02 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2016a4…
05-02 17:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x19fd11…
05-02 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8561ae…
05-02 17:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5bb2ad…
05-02 17:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfebaad…
05-02 17:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5bb557…
05-02 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x898051…
05-02 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d8be5…
05-02 09:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2fcc21…
05-02 09:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x383f8f…
05-02 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xff53e3…
05-02 09:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x7dd311…
05-02 09:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66ca26…
05-02 09:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc42cd9…
05-02 09:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x76e7fd…
05-02 09:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x114376…
05-02 09:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5b5b42…
05-02 07:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x79b176…
05-02 07:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x95c506…
05-01 22:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x6bd17f…
05-01 22:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb90a1e…
05-01 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0b7065…
05-01 22:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x13d3fd…
05-01 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x21890a…
05-01 22:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x502553…
05-01 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xc1f0d7…
05-01 22:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8f0437…
05-01 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x74a555…
05-01 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f6a44…
05-01 22:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x67ce05…
05-01 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9edc1e…
05-01 22:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xddd19d…
05-01 22:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x632f27…
05-01 22:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x23ab19…
05-01 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd917ba…