Basic-Nestling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-14 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 80% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$26	19	18	+1	open	—	04-27 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$23	14	12	+2	open	—	04-27 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$22	13	10	+3	open	—	04-27 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$20	14	14	+1	open	—	04-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-27 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	6	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$15	9	8	+0	open	—	04-27 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	8	$13	8	7	+0	open	—	04-27 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$13	11	4	+7	open	—	04-28 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$12	7	6	+0	open	—	04-27 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$11	7	6	+0	open	—	04-27 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb0334a…
05-14 01:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x021318…
05-08 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x792e82…
05-08 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x45cf95…
05-08 23:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x213d8c…
05-08 23:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe12de6…
05-08 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe65a2a…
05-08 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfdcdae…
05-08 23:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x09c001…
05-08 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c891e…
05-08 23:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8a3440…
05-08 23:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a7386…
05-08 23:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9243c5…
05-08 23:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe5853d…
05-08 09:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4c6654…
05-08 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4f95b0…
05-08 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc825d…
05-08 09:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xce800c…
05-08 09:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa51a53…
05-08 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xced14d…
05-08 09:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd96ce5…
05-08 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4fe953…
05-08 09:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7e6e3…
05-08 09:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x90e010…
05-08 09:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x707a19…
05-08 09:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6c1447…
05-08 08:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x58e4a0…
05-08 08:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda0968…
05-08 08:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe4cce0…
05-08 08:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb62e4e…
05-08 08:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x62b1f3…
05-08 08:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf432ad…
05-08 08:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a6cb8…
05-08 08:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x89b5aa…
05-08 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b9696…
05-08 08:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66fd26…
05-08 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc3a898…
05-08 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33fc87…
05-08 08:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdee312…
05-08 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x79a34b…
05-08 08:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x269063…
04-29 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4a50e6…
04-29 07:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x69b890…
04-29 06:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xfe1a09…
04-29 06:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x59a3dc…
04-29 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x4107c4…
04-29 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfdf71d…
04-29 03:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa8640e…
04-29 00:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe126d5…
04-29 00:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15b20d…
04-29 00:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x83d022…
04-28 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a6569…
04-28 23:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe901c8…
04-28 23:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0becab…
04-28 23:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x125356…
04-28 23:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbafc83…
04-28 23:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xadbb40…
04-28 23:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe63e25…
04-28 23:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb6ce92…
04-28 23:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x27e8d3…
04-28 23:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9cb49b…
04-28 23:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x13791b…
04-28 23:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa0672f…
04-28 23:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xca2ba3…
04-28 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6f8d00…
04-28 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe52f1b…
04-28 23:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x6e9580…
04-28 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4515cc…
04-28 23:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x140aad…
04-28 23:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x90f126…
04-28 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd7b5d…
04-28 23:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6dc412…
04-28 23:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xbde2f2…
04-28 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8d306f…
04-28 23:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1a455c…
04-28 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x933f0b…
04-28 23:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbdd73e…
04-28 23:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa62f1b…
04-28 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6747d9…
04-28 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1366cb…
04-28 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4ea35f…
04-28 22:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4e7192…
04-28 22:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a8f87…
04-28 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x954788…
04-28 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x445fc9…
04-28 22:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5f54a7…
04-28 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x810bc8…
04-28 22:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe7924…
04-28 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35d13d…
04-28 22:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x41b51f…
04-28 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7d653b…
04-28 22:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x52cf53…
04-28 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xca74cd…
04-28 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe45d24…
04-28 22:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfa5ca0…
04-28 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa21fbd…
04-28 22:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x91bdc3…
04-28 22:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc1b6d0…
04-28 22:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9fc0a4…
04-28 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1bd6c0…