Oval-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

2,577

Trades

6,643

lifetime

Volume

$88.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 11-06 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:55 UTC	4	$2.4K	2,812	2,812	+0	Down	+$278	06-11 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:30 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,324	1,324	+0	Up	+$275	06-11 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:15 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,032	2,032	+0	Down	+$112	06-11 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:25 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,526	1,526	+0	Up	+$224	06-11 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:15 UTC	4	$1.5K	853	853	+0	Up	+$132	06-11 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	787	787	+0	Down	+$224	06-11 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	2,094	0	+2,094	Up	-$1,200	06-11 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:55 UTC	6	$1.2K	899	899	+0	Up	+$251	08-21 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$1.1K	805	805	+0	Up	+$128	06-11 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:20 UTC	2	$905	866	866	+0	Up	+$91	06-11 03:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:55 UTC	4	$596	403	403	+0	Up	+$36	06-11 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:10 UTC	2	$577	306	306	+0	Down	+$28	06-11 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:35 UTC	4	$569	377	377	+0	Up	+$26	08-22 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:05 UTC	2	$534	277	277	+0	Down	+$14	06-11 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:25 UTC	4	$525	361	361	+0	Up	+$15	08-22 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$483	529	529	+0	Down	+$51	08-23 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:50 UTC	4	$453	610	610	+0	Up	+$14	06-11 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:50 UTC	3	$410	477	229	+248	Up	-$120	03-03 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	4	$405	268	268	+0	Down	+$14	08-21 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:05 UTC	4	$372	595	595	+0	Down	+$73	08-21 01:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:50 UTC	5	$359	830	739	+90	Down	-$49	06-11 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:50 UTC	6	$358	351	351	+0	Down	+$45	08-21 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:35 UTC	8	$347	230	230	+0	Down	+$23	08-22 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:20 UTC	6	$322	411	410	+2	Up	+$12	03-03 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:30 UTC	4	$320	279	279	+0	Down	-$80	08-21 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:15 UTC	4	$319	252	252	+0	Up	+$24	08-21 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	4	$311	202	202	+0	Down	+$15	08-22 10:19
bitcoin up or down march 3 12pm et	6	$305	374	374	+0	Up	+$8	03-03 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:25 UTC	6	$294	749	749	+0	Down	+$35	08-22 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	8	$292	498	498	+0	Up	+$51	06-14 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x961928…
11-06 03:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa7ef0d…
11-06 03:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x028c82…
11-06 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x8ea0ed…
11-06 03:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe8453c…
11-06 03:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x956bf7…
11-06 03:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbbd383…
11-06 03:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	11¢	$1	0xf31093…
11-06 03:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x37f4be…
11-06 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x10c6df…
11-06 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5636c8…
11-06 01:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x5bc48c…
11-06 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x717993…
11-06 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x0da497…
11-06 01:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x12f831…
11-06 01:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x80c51b…
11-06 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x7f9647…
11-06 01:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xe54499…
11-06 01:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xbbb549…
11-06 01:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x8bb0f3…
11-05 15:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xc78ba4…
11-05 15:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3bf81b…
11-05 14:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x14927a…
11-05 14:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8e3bf4…
11-05 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x202de5…
11-05 14:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x4d11d5…
11-05 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xc622ca…
11-05 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x74ba0a…
11-05 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	416	7¢	$29	0x295bfa…
11-05 13:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	43	74¢	$32	0x1c147c…
11-05 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	78¢	$34	0xae35d9…
11-05 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x8efbe6…
11-05 13:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	260	13¢	$34	0x8ff69a…
11-05 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	274	10¢	$27	0xf42b0c…
11-05 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	134	23¢	$31	0x6757e4…
11-05 13:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	134	24¢	$32	0x722531…
11-05 13:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x3c8ffe…
11-05 13:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x850987…
11-05 13:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	72	46¢	$34	0xcb0fad…
11-05 13:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	58¢	$42	0x66ff2d…
11-05 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	173	26¢	$45	0x91d847…
11-05 13:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	173	22¢	$38	0xf80948…
11-05 13:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	96	44¢	$42	0x76165a…
11-05 13:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	96	24¢	$23	0xc54f89…
11-05 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	311	8¢	$26	0x2d9154…
11-05 13:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	311	11¢	$35	0x17f136…
11-05 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x76acd1…
11-05 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	58	46¢	$27	0xc66c05…
11-05 13:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x0c0183…
11-05 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x723e72…
11-05 13:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0x255828…
11-05 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xf91f37…
11-05 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	39	63¢	$24	0x9e7c32…
11-05 12:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	40¢	$15	0x476154…
11-05 12:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	23	73¢	$16	0x6cbef6…
11-05 12:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x5e36a4…
11-05 12:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x44aec8…
11-05 12:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x20acb4…
11-05 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xea7506…
11-05 12:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x708d51…
11-05 11:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xd1e6e9…
11-05 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x17a9d0…
11-04 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xb7ccef…
11-04 14:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	69	20¢	$14	0x6ac0aa…
11-04 14:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x97823b…
11-04 10:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0x161888…
11-04 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x2a6f76…
11-04 09:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xa0f7c3…
11-04 09:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x9ca876…
11-04 09:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x5b538a…
11-04 09:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xd1a7f2…
11-04 09:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0x607348…
11-04 09:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	98	17¢	$17	0xbf8544…
11-04 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x586259…
11-04 07:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x8e2405…
11-04 07:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x5c79b4…
11-04 07:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	49	38¢	$19	0xb450a1…
11-04 07:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0x31e45a…
11-04 03:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x9963f6…
11-04 03:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xe0739c…
11-04 03:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	61¢	$31	0xf95d4e…
11-04 03:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	204	16¢	$33	0x7a2ab0…
11-04 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	204	18¢	$37	0x1c2935…
11-04 03:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x217d9d…
11-04 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x689428…
11-04 03:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	160	21¢	$34	0x120048…
11-04 03:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	160	15¢	$24	0x9aef40…
11-04 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	370	8¢	$29	0x66ba16…
11-04 02:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	370	16¢	$61	0x7adafa…
11-04 01:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x2e16bf…
11-04 01:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	38¢	$26	0x68f8cd…
11-04 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x6054ca…
11-04 01:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xfbd9de…
11-04 01:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x672c4d…
11-04 01:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xdd1ff5…
11-04 01:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0xc493b5…
11-04 01:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x81cd67…
11-03 11:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	169	58¢	$98	0x7c623e…
10-31 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x4585ca…
10-31 08:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	97	15¢	$15	0xbc38ed…