Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

-$363

Hit rate

28.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$401

Open exposure

$327

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-09 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

93% 26% -$2,215

Other

6% 50% +$18

Sports

1% 0% -$229

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No		+184	$150	78¢	$143	-$7	11-09 23:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No		+185	$100	34¢	$62	-$38	11-06 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No		+256	$100	16¢	$40	-$60	11-06 17:36
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes		+359	$200	10¢	$34	-$166	08-10 21:40
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	—	+401	$20	4¢	$17	-$3	11-13 22:14
faa outage attributed to a foreign actor	Yes	—	+262	$20	6¢	$17	-$3	11-13 22:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+414	$100	3¢	$14	-$86	11-06 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$8.6K	3,356	11,328	-7,971	Yes	-$1,364	02-28 06:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,381	0	+2,381	Yes	+$381	11-03 03:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$1.9K	1,258	1,258	+0	Yes	+$382	04-04 23:08
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$1.2K	0	1,265	-1,265	Yes	-$23	02-28 06:29
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$920	1,158	1,158	+0	Yes	-$80	01-09 17:36
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	2	$918	672	672	+0	No	+$318	08-10 21:15
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	2	$629	602	602	+0	No	-$171	02-09 01:01
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$500	731	0	+731	No	-$500	07-14 19:32
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	2	$500	775	0	+775	No	-$500	08-11 14:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$406	535	535	+0	Yes	+$215	02-28 06:29
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	3	$300	67,619	0	+67,619	No	-$300	01-03 17:10
will donald trump say fentanyl during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	1	$300	374	0	+374	No	-$300	01-03 15:27
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$229	1,180	0	+1,180	Seahawks	-$229	02-09 01:02
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	1	$200	359	0	+359	open	—	08-10 21:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	1	$150	184	0	+184	open	—	11-09 23:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$150	789	0	+789	No	-$150	03-26 00:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	11-06 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$100	256	0	+256	open	—	11-06 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$100	414	0	+414	open	—	11-06 17:35
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	1	$100	1,232	0	+1,232	No	-$100	01-06 18:15
will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	1	$100	130	0	+130	Yes	+$30	01-03 15:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$74	1,335	1,335	+0	No	-$26	02-28 06:30
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	1	$60	136	0	+136	No	+$76	11-06 22:37
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$50	1,056	0	+1,056	No	-$50	02-23 20:00
faa outage attributed to a foreign actor	1	$20	262	0	+262	open	—	11-13 22:17
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	1	$20	401	0	+401	open	—	11-13 22:14
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	1	$20	253	0	+253	Yes	-$20	11-06 22:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	1	$10	199	0	+199	Yes	-$10	11-06 19:45
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$5	651	0	+651	No	-$5	07-14 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 22:17:37	faa outage attributed to a foreign actor	Yes	BUY	262	8¢	$20	0x056b6a…
11-13 22:14:39	FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	BUY	401	5¢	$20	0xd7b86f…
11-09 23:01:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	184	81¢	$150	0xf3089d…
11-06 22:37:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	136	44¢	$60	0x62b611…
11-06 22:34:22	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0x53ed14…
11-06 19:45:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	199	5¢	$10	0x2e618e…
11-06 17:36:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x213c9e…
11-06 17:36:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x949b4b…
11-06 17:35:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	414	24¢	$100	0x7c683a…
11-03 03:26:19	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0x4924cb…
08-11 14:29:25	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x66bf0e…
08-10 21:40:25	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	359	56¢	$200	0x98c26a…
08-10 21:39:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0xb63118…
08-10 21:15:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	672	92¢	$618	0xa904eb…
08-05 21:53:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	672	45¢	$300	0xa8852a…
07-14 19:32:41	Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	651	1¢	$5	0x626a21…
07-14 19:32:31	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	731	68¢	$500	0x5cbd3f…
04-04 23:08:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	950	90¢	$855	0x7b56b9…
04-04 23:08:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xeeb4b6…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xecf138…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd408e1…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xadf6a4…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xa44f23…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa423bc…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x62bf9d…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x36015f…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x31b9b6…
04-03 22:26:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x2ac8b1…
04-03 22:26:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	277	90¢	$250	0x256920…
03-26 00:34:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	789	19¢	$150	0x346a3d…
03-26 00:33:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,258	60¢	$750	0xbbaa64…
02-28 06:30:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1,335	2¢	$24	0xceafdd…
02-28 06:29:57	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,265	98¢	$1,242	0xdc94d0…
02-28 06:29:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	535	58¢	$310	0x84c226…
02-28 06:29:39	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	SELL	11,328	67¢	$7,607	0x4d933d…
02-27 18:55:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	318	15¢	$48	0x172d12…
02-27 18:55:29	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,335	4¢	$50	0x551c5d…
02-23 20:00:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	217	22¢	$48	0x950f38…
02-23 20:00:12	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,056	5¢	$50	0x2553a6…
02-09 01:02:21	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	1,180	19¢	$229	0xd8ecee…
02-09 01:01:53	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	SELL	602	38¢	$229	0x4699b6…
01-09 17:55:26	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	BUY	602	66¢	$400	0xa832df…
01-09 17:36:30	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,158	36¢	$420	0xa608c8…
01-06 18:36:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,158	43¢	$500	0x510a5e…
01-06 18:15:01	israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,232	8¢	$100	0x360a6e…
01-04 21:53:51	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	BUY	3,356	30¢	$1,000	0x06c0af…
01-03 17:10:09	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x50a317…
01-03 16:07:07	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x21503b…
01-03 15:27:03	will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc3557b…
01-03 15:27:01	will donald trump say fentanyl during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	Yes	BUY	374	80¢	$300	0x1a357b…
01-03 15:11:31	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0x7859af…