Essential-Miss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-27

last 08-29 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 60% +$1

Other

27% 36% +$2

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	08-29 14:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	4	$1.2K	583	583	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:57
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.2K	583	583	+0	No	+$1	06-02 14:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	7	$979	490	490	+0	No	+$0	05-28 02:19
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$974	489	489	+0	No	$0	05-29 02:03
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$971	486	486	+0	No	+$0	06-01 03:33
will ethereum reach 2700 june 1 7 2026	2	$959	480	480	+0	No	+$0	06-04 15:05
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$957	480	480	+0	No	+$2	05-30 02:09
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$16	16	0	+16	Hurricanes	+$0	05-28 02:26
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$16	16	0	+16	Alexander Zverev	+$0	06-02 14:49
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$15	258	258	+0	No	-$1	06-01 02:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	08-29 14:00
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$12	15	0	+15	Spurs	+$3	05-29 02:06
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilo	1	$11	14	0	+14	Nys/Roger-Vasselin	+$3	06-01 03:35
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	08-29 14:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	239	239	+0	No	-$2	05-31 00:59
2026 Balance of Power: Other	2	$4	244	244	+0	No	+$0	05-29 02:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$4	247	247	+0	No	$0	06-04 15:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$3	251	251	+0	No	$0	06-02 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$2	248	248	+0	No	-$2	05-28 02:23
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$2	250	250	+0	open	—	05-30 02:41
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	1	$1	13	0	+13	Rafael Jodar	-$1	05-27 15:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$0	12	0	+12	Spurs	$0	05-31 02:44
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	1	$0	13	0	+13	New York Yankees	$0	05-30 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:01:31	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d1b8e…
08-29 14:00:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe1cbb7…
07-31 01:54:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x41a408…
06-04 15:05:01	will ethereum reach 2700 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x995135…
06-04 15:02:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	247	1¢	$2	0x87223f…
06-02 16:19:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 June 1-7?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$479	0xf8de5d…
06-02 16:08:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	247	1¢	$2	0x29c430…
06-02 14:49:51	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xe9494d…
06-02 14:47:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	251	0¢	$1	0xd4d416…
06-02 14:45:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	266	99¢	$265	0xdbdbec…
06-02 14:44:27	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b9286…
06-02 14:44:02	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x2dcad0…
06-01 14:27:52	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x6302a8…
06-01 14:26:42	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdef043…
06-01 14:18:41	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	481	99¢	$478	0xf4eb0f…
06-01 03:46:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	251	1¢	$2	0x419227…
06-01 03:35:42	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilo	Nys/Roger-Vasselin	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xe675c1…
06-01 03:33:01	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	486	100¢	$486	0x610372…
06-01 02:10:11	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	258	3¢	$7	0x6cbff1…
05-31 04:00:13	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0xd8d1cc…
05-31 03:52:53	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	258	3¢	$8	0xbce18c…
05-31 02:44:00	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x88106d…
05-31 00:59:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	1¢	$1	0xc1cb3a…
05-31 00:57:41	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	SELL	493	100¢	$493	0xaf98a3…
05-30 14:57:19	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb598a2…
05-30 14:56:34	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x1f476c…
05-30 04:23:28	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	493	100¢	$493	0x1916e9…
05-30 04:20:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$3	0xb894b5…
05-30 03:39:34	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf86a5d…
05-30 02:41:25	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xd95f19…
05-30 02:09:34	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x19abae…
05-29 02:51:01	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	480	99¢	$477	0x10dd04…
05-29 02:45:50	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x387984…
05-29 02:06:41	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xed2f3a…
05-29 02:03:48	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	489	100¢	$487	0x2b0255…
05-29 02:01:39	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	SELL	244	1¢	$2	0xa4848c…
05-28 12:43:21	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	489	100¢	$487	0xcaa0e3…
05-28 12:40:12	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	244	1¢	$2	0xb52770…
05-28 02:26:58	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8a9516…
05-28 02:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	0¢	$0	0xaac385…
05-28 02:19:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	490	100¢	$490	0x8a297f…
05-27 15:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x678ab3…
05-27 15:44:59	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x8a05b8…
05-27 15:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xeb6a86…
05-27 15:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9ea17a…
05-27 15:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x034cb5…
05-27 15:44:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5017c8…
05-27 15:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	1¢	$2	0x2a74cb…
05-27 15:15:23	Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	James Duckworth	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xf63791…